Chap。VIII
OfwhatiscalledExpence,Profit,andLossAswehavebeenemployedinexplainingofterms,itwillnotbeamisstosayawordconcerningthosewhichstandinthetitleofthischapter。
Thetermexpence,whensimplyexpressed,withoutanyparticularrelation,isalwaysunderstoodtoberelativetomoney。ThiskindIdistinguishunderthethreeheads,ofprivate,public,andnational。
1。Privateexpenceis,whataprivateperson,orprivatesociety,laysout,eithertoprovidearticlesofconsumption,orsomethingmorepermanent,whichmaybeconducivetotheirease,convenience,oradvantage。Thuswesay,alargedomesticexpence,relativelytoonewhospendsagreatincome。Wesay,amerchanthasbeenatgreatexpenceformagazines,forliving,forclerks,&c。butneverthathehasbeenatanyinbuyinggoods。Inthesamewayamanufacturermayexpendforbuilding,machines,horses,andcarriages,butneverforthematterhemanufactures。
Whenathingisbought,inordertobesoldagain,thesumemployediscalledmoneyadvanced;whenitisboughtnottobesold,itmaybesaidtobeexpended。
2。Publicexpenceis,theemploymentofthatmoney,whichhasbeencontributedbyindividuals,forthecurrentserviceofthestate。Thecontribution,orgatheringittogether,representstheeffectsofmanyarticlesofprivateexpence;thelayingitoutwhencollected,ispublicexpence。
3。Nationalexpence,iswhatisexpendedoutofthecountry:
thisiswhatdiminishesnationalwealth。Theprincipaldistinctiontobehereattendedto,isbetweenpublicexpence,orthelayingoutofpublicmoney,andnationalexpence,whichisthealienatingthenation’swealthinfavourofstrangers。Thusthegreatestpublicexpenceimaginable,maybenonationalexpence;becausethemoneymayremainathome。Ontheotherhand,thesmallestpublic,orevenprivateexpence,maybeanationalexpence,becausethemoneymaygoabroad。
Profit,andloss,Idivideintopositive,relative,andcompound。Positiveprofit,impliesnolosstoanybody;itresultsfromanaugmentationoflabour,industry,oringenuity,andhastheeffectofswellingoraugmentingthepublicgood。
Positiveloss,impliesnoprofittoanybody;itiswhatresultsfromthecessationoftheformer,oroftheeffectsresultingfromit,andmaybesaidtodiminishthepublicgood。
Relativeprofit,iswhatimpliesalosstosomebody,itmarksavibrationofthebalanceofwealthbetweenparties,butimpliesnoadditiontothegeneralstock。
Relativeloss,iswhat,onthecontrary,impliesaprofittosomebody;italsomarksavibrationofthebalance,buttakesnothingfromthegeneralstock。
Thecompoundiseasilyunderstood;itisthatspeciesofprofitandlosswhichispartlyrelative,andpartlypositive。I
callitcompound,becausebothkindsmaysubsistinseparablyinthesametransaction。
Chap。IX
ThegeneralConsequencesresultingtoatradingNation,upontheopeningofanactiveforeignCommerceDidInotintendtogivemyselftoverygeneraltopicsinthischapterImightinamannerexhaustthewholesubjectofmodernoeconomyunderthistitle;forIapprehendthatthewholesystemofmodernpoliticsisfoundeduponthebasisofanactiveforeigntrade。
Anationwhichremainspassiveinhercommerce,isatthemercyofthosewhoareactive,andmustbegreatlyfavoured,indeed,bynaturaladvantages,orbyaconstantfluxofgoldandsilverfromhermines,tobeabletosupportacorrespondence,notentirelyhurtfultotheaugmentationofherwealth。
Thesethingsshallbemoreenlargeduponaswegoalong:thepointinhand,istoconsidertheconsequencesofthistrade,relativelytothosewhoareactorsintheoperation。
WhenIlookuponthewidefieldwhichhereopenstomyview,Iamperplexedwithtoogreatavarietyofobjects。Inonepart,Iseeadecentandcomelybeginningofindustry,wealthflowinggentlyin,torecompenceingenuity;numbersaugmenting,andeveryonebecomingdailymoreusefultoanother;agricultureproportionallyextendingitself;noviolentrevolutions;noexorbitantprofits;noinsolenceamongtherich;noexcessivemiseryamongthepoor;multitudesemployedinproducing;greatoeconomyuponconsumption;andalltheinstrumentsofluxury,dailyproducedbythehandsofthediligent,goingoutofthecountryfortheserviceofstrangers;notremainingathomeforthegratificationofsensuality。Atlastaugmentationscomeinsensiblytoastop。Thentheseriversofwealth,whichwereinbriskcirculationthroughthewholeworld,andwhichreturnedtothistradingnationasbloodreturnstotheheart,tobethrownoutagainonlybynewpulsations,begintobeobstructedintheircourse;andflowingabroadmoreslowlythanbefore,cometoformstagnationsathome。These,impatientofrestraint,soonburstoutintodomesticcirculation。Uponthiscitiesswellinmagnificenceofbuildings;thefaceofthecountryisadornedwithpalaces,andbecomescoveredwithgroves;luxuryshinestriumphantineverypart;inequalitybecomesmorestrikingtotheeye;andwantandmiseryappearmoredeformed,fromthecontrast;
evenfortunegrowsmorewhimsicalinherinconstancy。thebeggaroftheotherday,nowridesinhiscoach;andhewhowasborninabedofstate,isseentodieinanalms-house。Sucharetheeffectsofgreatdomesticcirculation。
Thestatesmanlooksaboutwithamazement;he,whowaswonttoconsiderhimselfasthefirstmaninthesocietyineveryrespect,perceiveshimselfeclipsedbythelustreofprivatewealth,whichavoidshisgraspwhenheattemptstoseizeit。Thismakeshisgovernmentmorecomplexandmoredifficulttobecarriedon;hemustnowavailhimselfofartandaddressaswellasofpowerandauthority。Bythehelpofcajolingandintrigues,hegetsalittleintodebt;thislaysafoundationforpubliccredit,which,growingbydegrees,andinitsprogressassumingmanynewforms,becomes,fromthemosttenderbeginnings,amostformidablemonster,strikingterrorintothosewhocherisheditinitsinfancy。Uponthis,asuponatriumphantwar-horse,thestatesmangetsa-stride,hethenappearsformidableanew;hisheadturnsgiddy;heischoakedwiththedusthehasraised;andatthemomentheisreadytofall,hefinds,tohisutterastonishmentandsurprise,astrongmoniedinterest,ofhisowncreating,which,insteadofswallowinghimupasheapprehended,fliestohissupport。Throughthishegetsthebetterofallopposition,heestablishestaxes,multipliesthem,mortgageshisfundofsubsistence,eitherbecomesabankrupt,andrisesagainfromhisashes;orifhebelessaudacious,hestandstremblingandtotteringforawhileonthebrinkofthepoliticalprecipice。Fromoneortheotheroftheseperiloussituations,hebeginstodiscoveranendlesspathwhich,afteramultitudeofwindings,stillreturnsintoitself,andcontinuesanequalcoursethroughthisvastlabyrinth:butofthislastpart,moreinthefourthbook。
Itisnowfulltimetoleaveoffrhapsody,andreturntoreasoningandcoolinquiry,concerningthemoreimmediateandmoregeneraleffectsandrevolutionsproducedbytheopeningofaforeigntradeinanationofindustry。
Thefirstandmostsensiblealterationwillbeanincreaseofdemandformanufacturers,becausebysupplyingthewantsofstrangers,thenumberofconsumerswillnowbeconsiderablyaugmented。Whatagainwillfollowuponthis,mustdependuponcircumstances。
Ifthisrevolutioninthestateofdemandshouldprovetooviolent,theconsequenceofitwillbetoraisedemand;ifitshouldprovegradual,itwillincreaseit。Ihopethisdistinctioniswellunderstood,andthattheconsequenceappearsjust:for,ifthesupplydonotincreaseinproportiontothedemand,acompetitionwillensueamongthedemanders;whichisthecommoneffectofsuchsuddenrevolutions。If,ontheotherhand,agentleincreaseofdemandshouldbeaccompaniedwithaproportionalsupply,thewholeindustrioussocietywillgrowinvigour,andinwholesomestature,withoutbeingsensibleofanygreatadvantageorinconvenience;thechangeoftheircircumstanceswillevenbeimperceptible。
Theimmediateeffectsoftheviolentrevolutionwill,inthisexample,beflatteringtosome,anddisagreeabletoothers。
Wealthwillbefounddailytoaugment,fromtherisingofprices,inmanybranchesofindustry。Thiswillencouragetheindustriousclasses,andtheidleconsumersathomewillcomplain。Ihavealreadydweltabundantlylongupontheeffectsresultingfromthistothelowerclassesofthepeople,inprovidingthemwithacertainmeansofsubsistence。Letmenowexamineinwhatrespectthehigherclasseswillbelikewisemadetofeelthegoodeffectsofthisgeneralchange,althoughatfirsttheymaysufferatemporaryinconveniencefromit。
Farmers,ashasbeenobserved,willhaveagreaterdifficultyinfindingservants,who,insteadoflabouringtheground,willchoosetoturnthemselvestomanufactures。Thiswehaveconsideredinthelightofpurgingthelandsofsuperfluousmouths;buteveryconsequenceinthisgreatchainofpoliticsdrawsotherconsequencesafterit,andastheyfollowoneanother,thingsputondifferentfaces,whichaffectclassesdifferently。Thepurgingofthelandisbutoneofthefirst;
herefollowsanother。
Thedesertionofthehandsemployedinatriflingagriculturewillatfirst,nodoubt,embarrassthefarmers,andraisethepriceofwages;butinalittletimeeverythingbecomesbalancedinatradingnation,becausehereeveryindustriousmanmustadvanceprosperity,inspiteofallcombinationsofcircumstances。
Inthecasebeforeus,therelativeprofitsuponfarmingmustsoonbecomegreaterthanformerly,becauseoftheadditionalexpenceofservantswhichmustaffectthewholeclassoffarmers;
consequently,thisadditionalexpence,insteadofturningouttobealosstoeitherlandlordorfarmer,will,aftersomelittletime,turnouttotheadvantageofboth:becausetheproduceoftheground,beingindispensablynecessarytoeverybody,mustineveryarticleincreaseinitsvalue,inproportiontotheexpenceofraisingit。Thusinashorttimeaccountswillbenearlybalancedonallhands;thatistosay,thesameproportionofwealthwill,caterisparibus,continuethesameamongtheindustrious。Isayamongtheindustrious;forthosewhoareeitheridle,ornegligent,willbegreatlosers。
Aproprietorofland,inattentivetothecausesofhisfarmer’sadditionalexpence,mayveryimprudentlysufferhisrentstofall,insteadofassistinghimonaproperoccasion,inordertomakethemafterwardsrisethehigher。
Thosewholiveuponadeterminateincomeinmoney,andwhoarenowiseemployedintraffic,norinanyschemeofindustry,will,bytheaugmentationofprices,befoundinworsecircumstancesthanbefore。
Inatradingnationeverymanmustturnhistalentstoaccount,orhewillundoubtedlybeleftbehindinthisuniversalemulation,inwhichthemostindustrious,themostingenious,andthemostfrugalwillconstantlycarryofftheprize。
Thisconsiderationoughttobeaspurtoeverybody。Therichestmeninatradingnationhavenosecurityagainstpoverty,Imeanproportionalpoverty;forthoughtheydiminishnothingoftheirincome,yetbynotincreasingitinproportiontoothers,theylosetheirrankinwealth,andfromthefirstclassinwhichtheystood,theywillslideinsensiblydowntoalower。
Thisisoneconsequenceofanadditionalbeneficialtrade,thatitraisesdemandandincreaseswealth;butifwesupposenoproportionalaugmentationofsupply,itwillproveatbestbutanairydreamwhichlastsforamoment,andwhenthegildedsceneispassedaway,numberlessaretheinconvenienceswhichareseentofollow。
Ishallnowpointoutthenaturalconsequencesofthisaugmentationofwealthdrawnfromforeignnations,when,inproportiontotheaugmentationofmouths,andofthedemandfortheproduceofindustry,thestatesmanremainsinattentivetoincreasethesupplybothoffoodandmanufactures。
Insuchasituationprofitswilldailyswell,andeveryschemeforreducingthemwithintheboundsofmoderation,willbelookeduponasahurtfulandunpopularmeasure:beitso;butletusexaminetheconsequences。
Wehavesaid,thattheriseofdemandformanufacturesnaturallyincreasesthevalueofwork:nowImustadd,thatundersuchcircumstances,theaugmentationofriches,inacountry,eithernotcapableofimprovementastothesoil,orwhereprecautionshavenotbeentakenforfacilitatingamultiplicationofinhabitants,bytheimportationofsubsistence,willbeproductiveofthemostcalamitousconsequences。
Ononeside,thiswealthwilleffectuallydiminishthemassofthefoodbeforeproduced;andontheother,willincreasethenumberofuselessconsumers。Thefirstofthesecircumstanceswillraisethedemandforfood;andthesecondwilldiminishthenumberofusefulfreehands,andconsequentlyraisethepriceofmanufactures:hereareshortlytheoutlinesofthisprogress。
Themorerichandluxuriousapeopleare,themoredelicatetheybecomeintheirmannerofliving;iftheyfedonbreadformerly,theywillnowfeedonmeat;iftheyfedonmeat,theywillnowfeedonfowl。Thesamegroundwhichfeedsahundredwithbread,andaproportionalquantityofanimalfood,willnotmaintainanequalnumberofdelicatelivers。Foodmustthenbecomemorescarce;demandforitrises;thericharealwaysthestrongestinthemarket;theyconsumethefood,andthepoorareforcedtostarve。Herethewidedoortomoderndistressopens,towit,ahurtfulcompetitionforsubsistence。Farther,whenapeoplebecomerich,theythinklessofoeconomy;anumberofuselessservantsarehired,tobecomeanadditionaldeadweightonconsumption;andwhentheirstarvingcountrymencannotsupplytheextravaganceoftherichsocheaplyasothernations,theyeitherimportinstrumentsofforeignluxury,orseektoenjoythemoutoftheirowncountry,andtherebymakerestitutionoftheirgains。
Isitnotthereforeevident,thatif,beforethingscometothispass,additionalsubsistencebenotprovidedbyonemethodorother,thenumberofinhabitantsmustdiminish;althoughrichesmaydailyincreasebyabalanceofadditionalmatter,supposedtobebroughtintothecountryinconsequenceofthehithertobeneficialforeigntrade。Thisisnotall。Isayfarther,thatthebeneficialtradewilllastforatimeonly。Fortheinfallibleconsequenceoftheriseofpricesathomewillbe,thatthosenationswhichatfirstconsumedyourmanufactures,perceivingthegradualincreaseoftheirprice,willbegintoworkforthemselves;orfindingoutyourrivalswhocansupplythemcheaper,willopentheirdoorstothem。Theseagain,perceivingthegreatadvantagesgainedbyyourtraders,willbegintosupplythemarket;andsinceeverythingmustbecheaperincountrieswherewedonotsupposetheconcurrenceofallthecircumstancesmentionedabove,thesenationswillsupplantyou,andbeenrichedintheirturn。
Herecomesanewrevolution。Tradeiscometoastop:whatthenbecomesofallthehandswhichwereformerlyemployedinsupplyingtheforeigndemands?
Wererevolutionsassuddenasweareobligedtorepresentthem,allwouldgotowreck;inproportionastheyhappenbyquickerorslowerdegrees,theinconveniencesaregreaterorsmaller。
Prices,wehavesaid,aremadetorisebycompetition。Ifthecompetitionofthestrangerswaswhatraisedthem,thedistressuponthemanufacturerswillbeinproportiontothesuddennessoftheirdesertingthemarket。Ifthecompetitionwasdividedbetweenthestrangersandthehomeconsumers,theinconvenienceswhichensuewillbeless;becausethedesertionofthestrangerswillbeinsomemeasuremadeupbyanincreaseofhomeconsumptionwhichwillfollowuponthefallofprices。Andif,inthethirdcase,thenativeshavebeensoimprudentasnotonlytosupportacompetitionwiththestrangers,andtherebydisgustthemfromcominganymoretomarket,buteventocontinuethecompetitionbetweenthemselves,thewholelosssustainedbytherevolutionwillbenational。Wealthwillceasetoaugment,buttheinconveniences,insteadofbeingfeltbythemanufacturers,willaffectthestateonly;thesemanufacturerswillcontinueinaffluence,extollingthegenerosityoftheircountrymen,anddespisingthepovertyofthestrangerswhohadenrichedthem。
Domesticluxurywillhereproveanexpedientforpreservingfromruintheindustriouspartofapeople,who,insubsistingthemselves,hadenrichedtheircountry。Nochangewillfollowintheircondition;theywillgoonwithapainfulassiduitytolabour,andiftheconsequencesofitbecomenowhurtfultoonepartofthestate,theymust,atleast,beallowedtobeessentiallynecessaryforthesupportoftheother。
Butthatluxuryisnonecessaryconcomitantofforeigntrade,inanationwherethetrueprinciplesofitareunderstood,willappearveryplain,fromacontrastIamnowgoingtopointout,intheexampleofamodernstate,renownedforitscommerceandfrugality。ThecountryImean,isHolland。
Asetofindustriousandfrugalpeoplewereassembledinacountry,bynaturesubjecttomanyinconveniences,theremovingofwhichnecessarilyemployedabundanceofhands。Theirsituationuponthecontinent,thepoweroftheirformermasters,andtheambitionoftheirneighbours,obligedthemtokeepgreatbodiesoftroops。Thesetroopsaddedtothenumbersofthecommunity,withouteitherenrichingthestatebytheirlabourexported,orproducingfoodforthemselvesorcountrymen。
Theschemeofacommonwealthwascalculatedtodrawtogethertheindustrious;butithasbeenstillmoreusefulinsubsistingthem:therepublicanformofgovernment,beingtheregreatlysubdivided,vestsauthoritysufficientineverypartofit,tomakesuitableprovisionfortheirownsubsistence;andthetyewhichunitesthem,regardsmattersofpublicconcernonly。Hadthewholebeengovernedbyonesovereign,orbyonecouncil,thisimportantmatternevercouldhavebeeneffectuated。
Iimagineitwouldbeimpossibleforthemostableministerthateverlived,toprovidenourishmentforacountrysoextendedasFrance,orevenasEngland,supposingtheseasfullypeopledasHollandis:evenalthoughitshouldbeadmittedthatasufficientquantityoffoodmightbefoundinothercountriesfortheirsubsistence。Theenterprisewouldbetoogreat,abuseswouldmultiply;theconsequencewouldbe,thattheinhabitantswoulddieforwant。ButinHollandthecaseisdifferent,everylittletowntakescareofitsowninhabitants;andthiscare,beingtheobjectofapplicationandprofittosomanypersons,isaccomplishedwithsuccess。
Whenonceitislaiddownasamaximinacountry,thatfoodmustofnecessitybegotfromabroad,inordertofeedtheinhabitantsathome,thecorntradebecomesconsiderable,andatthesametimecertain,regular,andpermanent。ThiswasthecaseinHolland:astheinhabitantswereindustrious,thenecessaryconsequencehasbeen,averyextraordinarymultiplication;andatthesametimesuchanabundanceofgrain,thatinsteadofbeinginwantthemselves,theyoftensupplytheirneighbours。TherearemanyexamplesofEngland’sbeingsuppliedwithgrainfromthence,and,whichisstillmoreextraordinary,fromthere-exportationoftheveryproduceofitsownfruitfulsoil。
Itisthereforeevident,thattheonlywaytosupportindustry,istoprovideasupplyofsubsistence,constantlyproportionaltothedemandthatmaybemadeforit。Thisisaprecautionindispensablynecessaryforpreventinghurtfulcompetition。ThisistheparticularcareoftheDutch:solongasitcanbeeffectual,theirstatecanfearnodecline;butwhenevertheycometobedistressedinthemarkets,uponwhichtheydependforsubsistence,theywillsinkintoruin。Itisbymeredintoffrugality,cheapandparsimoniousliving,thatthenavigationofthisindustriouspeopleissupported。Constantemployment,andanaccumulationofalmostimperceptiblegains,fillstheircofferswithwealth,inspiteofthelargeoutgoingstowhichtheirownpropernourishmentyearlyforcesthem。Thelargeprofitsuponindustryinothercountries,whicharenoproofofthegenerosityoftheconsumers,butafataleffectoftheunsteadypriceofsubsistence,isfarfromdazzlingtheireyes。Theyseldomarefoundinthelistofcompetitorsatanyforeignport;iftheyhavetheircargotomake,theywaitwithpleasureintheirownvessels,consumingtheirownprovisions,andatlastacceptofwhatothershaveleft。Itmaybesaid,thatmanyothercircumstancesconcurinfavouroftheDutch,besidesthearticleofsubsistence。Ishallnotdisputethismatter;butonlyremindmyreaderofwhatwassaidinthefirstbook;towit,thatifacomputationbemadeofthehandsemployedinprovidingsubsistence,andofthosewhoareseverallytakenupinsupplyingeveryotherwant,theirnumberswillbefoundnearlytobalanceoneanotherinthemostluxuriouscountries。FromthisI
conclude,thatthearticleoffood,amongthelowerclasses,mustbearaveryhighproportiontoalltheotherarticlesoftheirconsumption;andthereforeadiminutionuponthepriceofsubsistence,itatalltimes,mustbeofandstillmoreanuniformityinthevalueofinfiniteconsequencetomanufacturers,whoareobligedtobuyit。Fromthisconsideration,letusjudgeoftheconsequenceofsuchsuddenaugmentationsuponthepriceofgrain,asarefamiliartous;30or40percentseemsnothing。
Nowthisaugmentationoperatesuponone-halfofthewholeexpenceofalabouringman:letanyonewholivesintolerableaffluencemaketheapplicationofthistohimself,andexaminehowhewouldmanagehisaffairsif,byaccidentsofrainsorwinds,one-halfofhisexpencesweretorise30percentwithoutapossibilityofrestrainingthem;forthisisunfortunatelythecasewithallthelowerclasses。FromwhenceIconclude,thatthekeepingfoodcheap,andstillmorethepreservingitatalltimesatanequalstandard,isthefountainofthewealthofHolland;andthatanyhurtfulcompetitioninthisarticlemustbegetadisorderwhichwillaffectthewholeofthemanufacturersofastate。
Chap。X
OftheBalanceofWorkandDemandItisquiteimpossibletogomethodicallythroughthesubjectofpoliticaloeconomy,withoutbeingledintoanticipations。Wehavefrequentlymentionedthisbalanceofworkanddemand,andshewedhowimportantamatteritisforastatesmantoattendtoit。Thething,therefore,ingeneraliswellunderstood;andallthatremainstobedone,istorenderourideasmoredeterminateconcerningit,andmoreadequate,ifpossible,totheprincipleswehavebeenlayingdown。
Wehavetreatedfullyofdemand,andlikewiseofcompetition。
Wehaveobservedhowdifferentcircumstancesinfluencetheseterms,soastomakethemrepresentideasentirelydifferent;andwehavesaidthatdoublecompetitionsupportsthebalancewearenowtospeakof,andthatsinglecompetitionoverturnsit。
Theworddemandinthischapteristakeninthemostsimpleacceptation;andwhenwesaythatthebalancebetweenworkanddemandistobesustainedinequilibrio,asfaraspossible,wemeanthatthequantitysuppliedshouldbeinproportiontothequantitydemanded,thatis,wanted。Whilethebalancestandsjustlypoised,pricesarefoundintheadequateproportionoftherealexpenceofmakingthegoods,withasmalladditionforprofittothemanufacturerandmerchant。
Ihave,inthefourthchapter,observedhownecessaryathingitistodistinguishthetwoconstituentpartsofeveryprice;
thevalue,andtheprofit。Letthenumberofpersonsbeeversogreat,who,uponthesaleofapieceofgoods,shareintheprofits;itisstillessential,insuchenquiriesasthese,tosupposethemdistinctlyseparatefromtherealvalueofthecommodity。andthebestwaypossibletodiscoverexactlytheproportionbetweentheoneandtheother,isbyascrupulouswatchfulnessoverthebalancewearenowtreatingof,asweshallpresentlysee。
Thevalueandprofits,combinedinthepriceofamanufactureproducedbyoneman,areeasilydistinguishedbymeansoftheanalysiswehavelaiddowninthefourthchapter。Aslongasanymarketisfullysuppliedwiththissortofwork,andnomore;
thosewhoareemployedinitlivebytheirtrade,andgainnounreasonableprofit:becausethereisthennoviolentcompetitionupononesideonly,neitherbetweentheworkmen,norbetweenthosewhobuyfromthem,andthebalancegentlyvibratesundertheinfluenceofadoublecompetition。Thisistherepresentationofaperfectbalance。
Thisbalanceisoverturnedinfourdifferentways。
Eitherthedemanddiminishes,andtheworkremainsthesame:
Ortheworkdiminishes,andthedemandremains:
Orthedemandincreases,andtheworkremains:
Ortheworkincreases,andthedemandremains。
Noweachofthesefourrelationsbetweendemandandworkmay,ormaynot,produceacompetitionupononesideofthecontractonly。
Thismustbeexplained。
Ifdemanddiminishes,andworkremainsthesame,whichisthefirstcase,eitherthosewhofurnishtheworkwillenterintocompetition,inwhichcasetheywillhurteachother,andpriceswillfallbelowthereasonablestandardoftheevenbalance;ortheywillnotenterintocompetition,andthenpricescontinuingasformerly,thewholedemandwillbesupplied,andtheremainderoftheworkwilllieuponhand。
Thisisasymptomofdecayingtrade。
Letusnow,ontheotherhand,supposedemandtoincrease,andworktoremainasbefore。
Thisexamplepointsoutnodiminutiononeitherside,aswasthecasebefore,butanaugmentationuponone;andiseitherasymptomofgrowingluxuryathome,orofanincreaseinforeigntrade。
Herethesamealternationofcircumstancesoccurs。Thedemanderswilleitherenterintocompetitionandraisethepriceofwork,ortheywillenterintonocompetition;butbeingdeterminednottoexceedtheordinarystandardoftheperfectbalance,willdefermakingtheirprovisiontillanothertime,orsupplythemselvesinanothermarket;thatistosay,thenewdemandwillceaseassoonasitismade,forwantofasupply。
Whenever,therefore,thisperfectbalanceofworkanddemandisoverturnedbytheforceofasimplecompetition,orbyoneofthescalepreponderating,oneoftwothingsmusthappen;eitherapartofthedemandisnotanswered,orapartofthegoodsisnotsold。
Thesearetheimmediateeffectsoftheoverturningofthebalance。
Letmenextpointouttheobjectofthestatesman’scare,relativelytosucheffects,andshewtheconsequencesoftheirbeingneglected。
Wemaynowsimplifyourideas,andinsteadoftheformer,makeuseofotherexpressionswhichmayconveythem。
Letusthereforesay,thatthefallorriseuponeithersideofthebalance,ispositive,orrelative。Positive,whenthesidewetalkofreallyaugmentsbeyond,ordiminishesbelowtheusualstandard。Relative,whenthereisnoalterationuponthesidewespeakof,andthatthesubversionofthebalanceisowingtoanalterationontheotherside。
Asforexample:
Insteadofsayingdemanddiminishes,andworkremainsthesame,letussay,demanddiminishespositively,orworkincreasesrelatively;accordingasthesubjectmayleadustospeakeitheroftheoneoroftheother。Thisbeingpremised。
Ifthescaleofworkshallpreponderatepositively,itshouldbeinquired,whetherthequantityfurnishedhasreallyswelled,inallrespects,beyondtheproportionoftheconsumption,inwhichcasethestatesmanshoulddiminishthenumberofhands,bythrowingapartofthemintoanewchannelorwhethertheimprudenceonlyoftheworkmenhasmadethemproducetheirworkunseasonably;inwhichcaseproperinformationandevenassistanceshouldbegiventhem,topreventmerchantsfromtakingadvantageoftheirwantofexperience:buttheselastprecautionsarenecessaryintheinfancyofindustryonly。
Ifastatesmanshouldbenegligentonthisoccasion;ifheshouldallownaturalconsequencestofollowupononeanother,justascircumstancesshalldetermine;thenitmayhappen,thatworkmenwillkeepuponhandthatpartoftheirgoodswhichexceedsthedemand,untilnecessityforcesthemtoenterintocompetitionwithoneanother,andsellforwhattheycanget。Nowthiscompetitionishurtful,becauseitisallononeside,andbecausewehavesupposedthepreponderingofthescaleofworktobeanoverturningofaperfectbalance,whichcanbynomeansbesetright,consistentlywithaschemeofthriving,butbythescaleofdemandbecomingheavier,andre-establishingadoublecompetition。Werethistohappenbeforetheworkmencometosellincompetition,thenthebalancewouldagainbeeven,afterwhatIcallashortvibration,whichisnosubversion;butwhenthescaleofworkremainstoolonginthesameposition,andoccasionsastrong,hurtful,andlastingcompetition,upononesideonly,then,Isay,thebalanceisoverturned;becausethisdiminishesthereasonableprofits,orperhaps,indeed,obligestheworkmentosellbelowprimecost。Theeffectofthisis,thattheworkmenfallintodistress,andthatindustrysuffersadiscouragement;andthiseffectiscertain。
Butitmaybeasked,Whether,bythisfallofprices,demandwillnotbeincreased?Thatistosay,willnotthewholeofthegoodsbesoldoff?
Ianswer,Thatthismay,ormaynot,betheeffectofthefall,accordingtocircumstances:itisacontingentconsequenceofthesimple,butnotthecertaineffectofthedoublecompetition:butthedistressoftheworkmenisacertainandunavoidableconsequenceofthesimplecompetition。
Butsupposingthiscontingentconsequencetohappen,willitnotsetthebalanceeven,byincreasingthedemand?Ianswer,thebalanceisthenmadeevenbyaviolentshockgiventoindustry,butitisnotsetevenfromanyprinciplewhichcansupportit,ormakeitflourish。Hereisthecriterionofaperfectbalance:
Apositivemoderateprofitmustbalanceapositivemoderateprofit;thebalancemustvibrate,andnolossmustbefoundoneitherside。Intheexamplebeforeus,thebalancestandseven,itistrue;theworkandthedemandareequallypoisedastoquantity;butitisarelativeprofit,whichhangsinthescale,oppositetoarelativeloss。Iwishthismaybewellunderstood;
fartherillustrationswillmakeitclear。
Next,letmesupposethescaleofdemandtopreponderatepositively。Inthiscase,thestatesmanshouldbestillmoreuponhisguard,toprovideaproportionalsupply;becausethedangerheremayatfirstputonashewofprofit,anddeceivehim。
Theconsequencesofthissubversionofthebalanceareeither,First,Thatacompetitionwilltakeplaceamongthedemandersonly,whichwillraiseprofits。Nowif,afterashortvibration,thesupplycomestobeincreasedbythestatesman’scare,noharmwillensue;competitionwillchangesides,andprofitswillcomedownagaintotheperfectstandard。Butifthescaleofdemandremainspreponderating,andsokeepsprofitshigh,theconsequencewillbe,that,inalittletime,notonlytheimmediatesellerofthegoods,butalsoeveryonewhohascontributedtothemanufacture,willinsistuponsharingthesenewprofits。Nowtheevilisnot,thateveryoneshouldshare,orthattheprofitsshouldswell,aslongastheyaresupportedbydemand,andaslongastheycantrulybeconsideredasprecarious;butthemischiefis,that,inconsequenceofthiswiderepartition,andbysuchprofitssubsistingforalongtime,theyinsensiblybecomeconsolidated,or,asitwere,transformedintotheintrinsicvalueofthegoods。This,Isay,isbroughtaboutbytime;becausethehabitualextraordinarygainsofeveryoneemployedinducethemoreluxuriousamongthemtochangetheirwayoflifeinsensibly,andfallintothehabitofmakinggreaterconsumptions,andengagethemoreslothfultoremainidle,tilltheyareexhausted。Whenthereforeithappens,thatlargeprofitshavebeenmadeforaconsiderabletime,andthattheyhavehadtheeffectofformingatasteforamoreexpensivewayoflivingamongtheindustrious,itwillnotbethecessationofthedemand,northeswellingofthesupply,whichwillengagethemtopartwiththeirgains。Nothingwillproducethiseffectbutsharpnecessity;andthebringingdownoftheirprofits,andthethrowingtheworkmenintodistress,arethensimultaneous;whichprovesthetruthofwhatIhavesaid,thattheseprofitsbecome,bylonghabit,virtuallyconsolidatedwiththerealvalueofthemerchandize。Thesearetheconsequencesofaneglectedsimplecompetition,whichraisestheprofitsuponindustry,andkeepsthebalanceoverturnedforaconsiderabletime。
Secondly,Letmeexaminetheconsequencesofthisoverturnintheactualpreponderancyofdemand,whenitdoesnotoccasionacompetitionamongthedemanders,andconsequently,whenitdoesnotincreasetheprofitsuponindustry。
Thiscasecanonlyhappen,whenthecommodityisnotamatterofgreatnecessity,orevenofgreatuse;sincethedesireofprocuringitisnotsufficienttoengagethebuyerstoraisetheirprice;unless,indeed,thisdifferenceshouldproceedfromtheeaseofprovidingthesame,inothermarkets,ascheapasformerly。Thislastisadangerouscircumstance,andloudlycallsfortheattentionofthestatesman。Hemustpreventthedesertionofthemarket,byaspeedysupplyforallthedemand,andmustevenperhapsgiveencouragementtomanufacturers,toenablethemtodiminishthepricesfixedbytheregularstandard。Thisisthesituationofanationwhichisinthewayoflosingbranchesofherforeigntrade;ofwhichafterwards。
Whateverthereforebetheconsequencesoftheactualpreponderancyofthescaleofdemand;thatis,whetherittendtoraiseprofits,ortodiscreditthemarket;thestatesman’scareshouldbedirectedimmediatelytowardsmakingthebalancecomeevenofitself,withoutanyshock,andthatassoonaspossible,byincreasingthesupply。Forifitbeallowedtostandlonginthisoverturnedstate,naturalconsequenceswilloperateaforcedrestitution;thatis,theriseintheprice,orthecallofaforeignmarket,willeffectuallycutoffaproportionalpartofthedemand,andleavethebalanceinanequilibrium,disadvantageoustotradeandindustry。
Intheformercase,themanufacturerswereforcedtostarve,byannaturalrestitution,whentherelativeprofitsandlossofindividualsbalancedoneanother。Herethemanufacturersareenrichedforalittletime,byariseofprofits,relativetothelossthenationsustains,bynotsupplyingthewholedemand。Thisresultsfromthecompetitionoftheircustomers;butsosoonastheseprofitsbecomeconsolidatedwiththeintrinsicvalue,theywillceasetohavetheadvantageofprofits,and,becominginamannernecessarytotheexistenceofthegoods,willceasetobeconsideredasadvantageous。Theseforcedrestitutionsthen,broughtabout,aswehavesaid,bysellinggoodsbelowtheirvalue,bycuttingoffapartofthedemand,orbysendingittoanothermarket,resemblestheoperationofacarrier,whosetshisass’sburdeneven,bylayingastoneuponthelightestendofit。Hehoweverlosesnoneofhismerchandise;buttheabsurdityofthestatesmanisstillgreater,forheappearswillinglytoopentheheavyendoftheload,andtothrowpartofhismerchandiseintothehighway。
Ihope,bythistime,Ihavesufficientlyshewnthedifferenceineffectbetweenthesimpleandthedoublecompetition;betweenthevibrationsofthisbalanceofworkanddemand,andtheoverturningofit。Whenitvibratesinmoderation,andbyshortalternaterisingsandsinkings,thenindustryandtradegoonprosperously,andareinharmonywitheachother;becausebothpartiesgain。Theindustriousmanisrecompencedinproportiontohisingenuity;theintrinsicvalueofgoodsdoesnotvary,nordeceivethemerchant;profitsonbothsidesfluctuateaccordingtodemand,butnevergettimetoconsolidatewith,andswelltherealvalue,andneveraltogetherdisappear,andstarvetheworkman。
Thishappystatecannotbesupportedbutbythecareofthestatesman;andwhenheisfoundnegligentinthedischargeofthispartofhisduty,theconsequenceis,thateitherthespiritofindustry,which,itissupposed,hascosthimmuchpainstocultivate,isextinguished,ortheproduceofitrisestosohighavalue,astobeoutofthereachofamultitudeofpurchasers。
Theprogresstowardstheoneortheotheroftheseextremesiseasilyperceived,byattendingtothesuccessiveoverturningsofthebalance。Whentheseareoftenrepeatedonthesameside,andthebalancesetright,byasuccessionofforcedrestitutionsonly,thesamescalepreponderatinga-new,thenisthelastperiodsoonaccomplished。When,onthecontrary,theoverturningsarealternate,sometimesthescaleofdemandoverturningthebalance,sometimesthescaleofwork,thelastperiodismoredistant。Tradeandindustrysubsistlonger,buttheyremaininastateofperpetualconvulsion。Ontheotherhand,whenthebalancegentlyvibrates,thenworkanddemand,thatis,tradeandindustry,likeagricultureandpopulation,provemutuallyassistingtoeachother,inpromotingtheirreciprocalaugmentation。
Inorderthereforetopreserveatradingstatefromdecline,thegreatestcaremustbetaken,tosupportaperfectbalancebetweenthehandsemployedinworkandthedemandfortheirlabour。Thatistosay,accordingtoformerdefinitions,topreventdemandfromeverstandinglongatanimmoderateheight,byprovidingatalltimesasupply,sufficienttoanswerthegreatestthatevercanbemade:or,inotherwords,still,inordertoaccustommyreaderstocertainexpressions,toencouragethegreat,andtodiscouragethehighdemand。Inthiscase,competitionwillneverbefoundtoostrongoneithersideofthecontract,andprofitswillbemoderate,butsure,onboth。
If,onthecontrary,therebefoundtoomanyhandsforthedemand,workwillfalltoolowforworkmentobeabletolive;
or,iftherebetoofew,workwillrise,andmanufactureswillnotbeexported。
Forwantofthisjustbalance,notradingstatehaseverbeenoflongduration,afterarrivingatacertainheightofprosperity。Weperceiveinhistorytherise,progress,grandeur,anddeclineofSydon,Tyre,Carthage,Alexandria,andVenice,nottocomenearerhome。Whilethesestateswereonthegrowinghand,theywerepowerful;whenoncetheycametotheirheight,theyimmediatelyfoundthemselveslabouringundertheirowngreatness。
Thereasonofthisappearsfromwhathasbeensaid。
Whilethereisademandforthetradeofanycountry,inhabitantsarealwaysontheincreasinghand。Thisisevidentfromwhathasbeensooftenrepeatedinthefirstbook,andconfirmedbythousandsofexamples。Thereneverwasanybranchoftradeestablishedinanykingdom,province,city,orevenvillage;butsuchkingdoms,province,&c。increasedininhabitants。Whilethisgradualincreaseofpeopleisinproportiontothegrowingdemandforhands,thebalancebetweenworkanddemandisexactlykeptup:butasallaugmentationsmustatlastcometoastop,whenthishappens,inconveniencesmustensue,greaterorless,accordingtothenegligenceorattentionofthestatesman,andtheviolenceorsuddennessoftherevolution。
Chap。XI
WhyinTimethisBalanceisdestroyedLetusnowexaminewhatmaybethereasonwhy,inatradingandindustriousnation,timenecessarilydestroystheperfectbalancebetweenworkanddemand。
Wehavealreadypointedoutonegeneralcause,towit,thenaturalstopwhichmustatlastbeputtoaugmentationsofeverykind。
Letusnowapplythistocircumstances,inordertodiscoverinwhatmannernaturalcausesoperatethisstop,eitherbypreventingtheincreaseofwork,ononesideofthebalance,ortheincreaseofdemand,ontheother。Whenoncewediscoverhowthestopisputtoaugmentations,wemaysafelyconclude,thatthecontinuationofthesame,orsimilarcauses,willsoonproduceadiminution,andoperateadecline。
Wehavetracedtheprogressofindustry,andshewnhowitgoeshandinhandwiththeaugmentationofsubsistence,whichistheprincipalallurementtolabour。Nowtheaugmentationoffoodisrelativetothesoil,andaslongasthiscanbebroughttoproduce,atanexpenceproportionedtothevalueofthereturns,agriculture,withoutanydoubt,willgoforwardineverycountryofindustry。Butsosoonastheprogressofagriculturedemandsanadditionalexpence,whichthenaturalreturn,atthestatedpricesofsubsistence,willnotdefray,agriculturecomestoastop,andsowouldnumbers,didnottheconsequencesofindustrypushthemforward,inspiteofsmalldifficulties。Theindustriousthen,Isay,continuetomultiply,andtheconsequenceis,thatfoodbecomesscarce,andthattheinhabitantsenterintocompetitionforit。
Thisisnocontingentconsequence,itisaninfallibleone;
becausefoodisanarticleofthefirstnecessity,andheretheprovisionissupposedtofallshortofdemand。Thisraisestheprofitsofthosewhohavefoodreadytosell;andasthebalanceuponthisarticlemustremainoverturnedforsometime,withouttheinterpositionofthestatesman,theseprofitswillbeconsolidatedwiththeprice,andgiveencouragementtoamoreexpensiveimprovementofthesoil。Ishallhereinterrupttheexaminationoftheconsequencesofthisrevolutionastoagriculture,untilIhaveexaminedtheeffectswhichtheriseofthepriceoffoodproducesonindustry,andonthedemandforit。
Thisaugmentationonthevalueofsubsistencemustnecessarilyraisethepriceofallwork,becauseweareherespeakingofanindustriouspeoplefullyemployed,andbecausesubsistenceisoneofthethreearticleswhichcomposetheintrinsicvalueoftheirwork,ashasbeensaid。
Therisetherefore,uponthepriceofwork,notbeinganyaugmentationofthatpartofthepricewhichwecallprofits,ashappenstobethecasewhenariseindemandhasproducedacompetitionamongthebuyers,cannotbebroughtdownbutbyincreasingthesupplyofsubsistence;andwereastatesmantomistaketherealcauseoftherise,andapplytheremedyofincreasingthequantityofwork,inordertobringdownthemarket,insteadofaugmentingthesubsistence,hewouldoccasionagreatdisorder;hewouldintroducethehurtfulsimplecompetitionbetweenpeoplewholabourformoderateprofits,mentionedinthelastchapter,andwouldthrowsuchadiscouragementupontheirindustry,aswouldquicklyextinguishitaltogether。Ontheotherhand,didheimprudentlyaugmentthesubsistence,bylargeimportations,hewouldputanendtotheexpensiveimprovementsofthesoil,andthiswholeenterprisewouldfalltonothing。Herethenisadilemma,outofwhichhecanextricatehimselfbyarightapplicationofpublicmoney,only。
Suchanecessaryriseinthepriceoflabourmayeitheraffectforeignexportation,oritmaynot,accordingtocircumstances。Ifitdoes,thepriceofsubsistence,atanyrate,mustbebroughtdownatleasttothosewhosupplytheforeigndemand;ifitdoesnotaffectforeignexportation,mattersmaybeallowedtogoon;butstilltheremedymustbereadyathand,tobeappliedthemomentitbecomesexpedient。
Thereisonenecessaryaugmentationuponthepricesofindustry,broughtaboutbyaverynaturalcause,viz。theincreaseofpopulation,whichmayimplyamoreexpensiveimprovementofthesoil;thatis,anextensionofagriculture。
Thisaugmentationmayveryprobablyputastoptotheaugmentationofdemandformanybranchesofmanufactures,consequentlymaystoptheprogressofindustry;andifthesamecausescontinuetooperateinagreaterdegree,itmayalsocutoffapartoftheformerdemand,maydiscreditthemarket,openadoortoforeignconsumption,andproducetheinconveniencesofpovertyanddistress,inproportiontothedegreeofnegligenceinthestatesman。
Ishallnowgiveanotherexample,ofaverynaturalaugmentationupontheintrinsicvalueofwork,whichdoesnotproceedfromtheincreaseofpopulation,butfromtheprogressofindustryitself;whichimpliesnointernalviceinastate,butwhichisthenecessaryconsequenceofthereformationofaverygreatone。Thisaugmentationmustbefeltlessormoreineverycountry,inproportionasindustrybecomesextended。
Wehavesaid,thattheintroductionofmanufacturesnaturallytends。topurgethelandsofsuperfluousmouths:nowthisisaveryslowandgradualoperation。AconsequenceofitwassaidtobeBookI。Chap。xx。anaugmentationofthepriceoflabour,becausethosewhohavebeenpurgedoff,mustbegintogaintheirwholesubsistenceattheexpenceofthosewhoemploythem。
Iftherefore,intheinfancyofindustry,anybranchofitshallfinditselfassistedinaparticularprovince,bythecheaplabourofthosemouthssuperfluouslyfedbytheland,examplesofwhichareveryfrequent,thisadvantagemustdiminish,inproportionasthecauseofitceases;thatis,inproportionasindustryisextended,andasthesuperfluousmouthsareofconsequencepurgedoff。
Thiscircumstanceisofthelastimportancetobeattendedtobyastatesman。Perhapsitwasentirelyowingtoit,thatindustrywasenabledtosetupitsheadinthiscorner。HowmanyexamplescouldIgive,ofthisassistancegiventomanufacturesindifferentprovinces,whereIhavefoundthevalueofaday’swork,ofspinning,forexample,notequaltohalfthenourishmentoftheperson。Thisisagreatencouragementtothemakingofcloths;andaccordinglyweseesomeinfantmanufacturesdisputethemarketwiththeproduceofthegreatestdexterity;thedistaffdisputepriceswiththewheel。Butwhentheseprovincescometobepurgedoftheirsuperfluousmouths,spinningbecomesatrade,andthespinnersmustlivebyit。Mustnotthenpricesnaturallyrise?Andifthesearenotsupportedbythestatesman,orifassistanceisnotgiventothesepoormanufacturers,toenablethemtoincreasetheirdexterity,inordertocompensatewhattheyarelosingincheapness,willnottheirindustryfail?
Willnotthepoorspinnersbeextinguished?Foritisnottobeexpected,thatthelandlordwillreceivethembackagainfromaprincipleofcharity,afterhehasdiscoveredtheirformeruselessness。
Athirdcauseofanecessaryaugmentationupontheintrinsicvalueofgoodsproceedsfromtaxes。Astatesmanmustbeverynegligentindeed,ifhedoesnotattendtotheimmediateconsequencesofhisownproperoperations。Ishallnotenlargeonthisatpresent,asitwouldbeannecessaryanticipation;butI
shallreturn,toresumethepartofmyreasoningwhichIbrokeoffabruptly。
Ihaveobserved,howthesamecausewhichstopstheprogressofindustry,givesanencouragementtoagriculture:howtheriseinthepriceofsubsistencenecessarilyincreasesthepriceofworktoanindustriousandwell-employedpeople:howthiscutsoffapartofthedemandforwork,orsendsittoaforeignmarket。
Nowalltheseconsequencesareentirelyjust,andyettheyseemContradictorytoanotherpartofmyreasoning,BookI,Chap。xvi。whereIsetforththeadvantagesofaprodigalconsumptionoftheearth’sproduceasadvantageoustoagriculture,byincreasingthepriceofsubsistence,withouttakingnotice,ontheotherhand,ofthehurttherebydonetoindustry,whichsupportstheconsumptionofthatproduce。
Theoneandtheotherchainofconsequencesisequallyjust,andtheyappearcontradictoryuponthesuppositiononly,thatthereisnostatesmanatthehelm。Thesecontradictionsrepresentthealternateoverturnofthebalance。Thedutyofthestatesmanis,tosupportthedoublecompetitioneverywhere,andtopermitthegentlealternatevibrationsonlyofthetwoscales。
Whentheprogressofindustryhasaugmentednumbers,andmadesubsistencescarce,hemustestimatetowhatheightitisexpedientthatthepriceofsubsistenceshouldrise。Ifhefinds,that,inordertoencouragethebreakingupofnewlands,thepriceofitmustrisetoohighandstandhightoolong,topreservetheintrinsicvalueofgoodsatthesamestandardasformerly;thenhemustassistagriculturewithhispurse,inorderthatexportationmaynotbediscouraged。Thiswillhavetheeffectofincreasingsubsistence,accordingtothetrueproportionoftheaugmentationrequired,withoutraisingthepriceofittoohigh。Andifthisoperationbetheworkoftime,andthedemandfortheaugmentationbepressing,hemustcontinuetoassisthisagricultureandhavesubsistenceimported,orbroughtfromabroad,duringthatinterval。Thissupplyhemaycutoffwheneverhepleases,thatis,wheneveritceasestobenecessary。
Ifthesupplycomesfromasistercountry,itmustbesotaken,astooccasionnoviolentrevolutionwhenitcomestobeinterrupteda-new。Asforexample:Oneprovincedemandsasupplyofgrainfromanother,forafewyearsonly,untiltheirownsoilcanbeimproved,soastoprovidethemsufficiently。Thestatesmanshouldencourageagriculture,nodoubt,intheprovincefurnishing,andletthefarmersknowtheextentofthedemand,andthetimeitmayprobablylast,asnearaspossible;buthemustdiscouragethepluckingupofvineyards,andevenperhapsthebreakingupofgreatquantitiesofoldpasture;because,upontheceasingofthedemand,suchchangesupontheagricultureoftheprovincefurnishing,mayoccasionahurtfulrevolution。
Whilethisforeignsupplyisallowedtocomein,thestatesmanshouldbecloselyemployedingivingsuchencouragementtoagricultureathome,accordingtotheprincipleshereaftertobededuced,asmaynearlybalancethediscouragementgiventoitbythisnewlypermittedimportation。Ifthisstepbeneglected,theconsequencemaybe,thattheforeignsupplywillgoonincreasingeveryyear,andwillextinguishtheagriculturealreadyestablishedinthecountry,insteadofsupplyingatemporaryexigency,whichiswithinthepowerofthecountryitselftofurnish。These,Isuppose,weretheprinciplesattendedtobythegovernmentofEngland,uponopeningtheirportsfortheimportationofprovisionsfromIreland。
Theprinciple,therefore,beingtosupportagentleincreaseoffood,inhabitants,work,anddemand,thestatesmanmustsuffersmallvibrationsinthebalance,which,byalternatecompetition,mayfavourbothsidesofthecontract;butwheneverthecompetitionstandstoolonguponeitherside,andthreatensasubversionofthebalance,then,withanartfulhand,hemustendeavourtoloadthelighterscale,andnever,butincasesofthegreatestnecessity,haverecoursetotheexpedientoftakinganythingfromtheheavier。
IntreatingofthepresentstateofFrance,weobserved,inthechapterabove-cited,howthevibrationofthebalanceofagricultureandpopulationmaycarryfoodandnumberstotheirheight;butasforeigntradewasnottherethedirectobjectofinquiry,Ididnotcaretointroducethissecondbalanceofworkanddemand,forfearofperplexingmysubject。IhopeIhavenowabundantlyshewntheforceofthedifferentprinciples,anditmustdependuponthejudgmentofthestatesmantocombinethemtogether,andadaptthemtohisplan:athingimpossibletobeevenchalkedoutbyanypersonwhoisnotimmediatelyattheheadoftheaffairsofanation。Myworkresemblestheformationofthepurecoloursforpainting,itistheartist’sbusinesstomixthem:allIcanpretendto,istoreasonconsequentiallyfromsuppositions。IfatanytimeIgofarther,Iexceedmyplan,andIconfessthefault。
Ishallnowconcludemychapterbyintroducinganewsubject。
Ihavebeenatpainstoshewhowthecontinuedneglectofastatesman,inwatchingoverthevibrationsofthebalanceofworkanddemand,naturallyproducesatotalsubversionofit;butthisisnot,ofitself,sufficienttoundoanindustriouspeople。
Othernationsmustbetaughttoprofitofthedisorder;andthisiswhatIcallthecompetitionbetweennations。
Chap。XII
OftheCompetitionbetweenNationsMankinddailyprofitbyexperience,andacquireknowledgeattheirowncost。
Wehavesaidthatwhatlaysthefoundationofforeigntrade,istheeaseandconveniencewhichstrangersfindinhavingtheirwantssuppliedbythosewhohavesetindustryonfoot。Thenaturalconsequenceofthisforeigndemandistobringinwealth,andtopromoteaugmentationsofeverykind。Aslongasthesegoon,itwillbeimpossibleforothernationstorivalthetraders,becausetheirsituationiseverydaygrowingbetter:dexterityincreasingdiminishesthepriceofwork;everycircumstance,inshort,becomesmorefavourable;thebalancenevervibrates,butbyoneofthescalesgrowingpositivelyheavier,anditisconstantlycomingevenbyanincreaseofweightontheotherside。Wehaveseenhowtheserevolutionsnevercanraisetheintrinsicvalueofgoods,andhaveobservedthatthisistheroadtogreatness。
Thesloweranymantravels,thelongerheisincomingtohisjourney’send;andwhenhishealthrequirestravelling,andthathecannotgofarfromhome,heridesoutinamorningandcomeshometodinner。
Thisrepresentsanotherkindofvibrationofthebalance,andwhenthingsarecometosuchaheightastorenderatrainofaugmentationsimpossible,thenextbestexpedientis,topermitalternatevibrationsofdiminutionandaugmentation。
Workaugments,Ishallsuppose,andnomoredemandcanbeprocured;itmaythenbeagoodexpedienttodiminishhands,bymakingsoldiersofthem;byemployingtheminpublicworks;orbysendingthemoutofthecountrytobecomeusefulinitscolonies。
Theseoperationsgivearelativeweighttothescaleofdemand,andreviveacompetitiononthatside。Thentheindustrioushandsmustbegentlyincreaseda-new,andthebalancekeptinvibrationaslongaspossible。Bythesealternateaugmentationsanddiminutions,hurtfulrevolutions,andthesubversionofthebalance,maybeprevented。Thisisanexpedientforstandingstillwithoutharm,whenonecannotgoforwardtoadvantage。
Ifsuchaplanbefollowed,anindustriousnationwillcontinueinasituationtoprofitofthesmallestadvantagefromrevolutionsinothercountries,occasionedbythesubversionoftheirbalance;whichmaypresentanopportunityofnewvibrationsbyalternateaugmentations。
Onsuchoccasions,theabilitiesofastatesmanarediscovered,indirectingandconductingwhatIcallthedelicacyofnationalcompetition。Weshallthenobservehimimitatingthemariners,whodonottakeintheirsailswhenthewindfallscalm,butkeepthemtrimmedandreadytoprofitoftheleastbreathofafavourablegale。Letmefollowmycomparison:ThetradingnationsofEuroperepresentafleetofships,everyonestrivingwhoshallgetfirsttoacertainport。Thestatesmanofeachisthemaster。Thesamewindblowsuponall;andthiswindistheprincipleofself-interest,whichengageseveryconsumertoseekthecheapestandthebestmarket。Notradewindcanbemoregeneral,ormoreconstantthanthis;thenaturaladvantagesofeachcountryrepresentthedegreeofgoodnessofeachvessel;
butthemasterwhosailshisshipwiththegreatestdexterity,andhewhocanlayhisrivalsundertheleeofhissails,will,caeterisparibus,undoubtedlygetbeforethem,andmaintainhisadvantage。
Whileatradingnation,whichhasgotanestablishedadvantageoverherrivals,canbekeptfromdeclining,itwillbeverydifficult,ifnotimpossible,foranyothertoenterintocompetitionwithher:butwhenthebalancebeginstovibratebyalternatediminutions;whenadecreaseofdemandoperatesafailureofsupply;whenthisagainiskeptlow,inordertoraisethecompetitionofconsumers;andwhen,insteadofrestoringthebalancebyagentleaugmentation,apeopleareengaged,fromtheallurementsofhighprofits,todiscourageeveryattempttobringdownthemarket;thenthescissorsofforeignrivalshipwillfairlytrimoffthesuperfluityofdemand;priceswillfall,andareturnofthesamecircumstanceswillpreparethewayforanothervibrationdownwards。
Suchoperationsasthese,arejustwhatisrequisiteforfacilitatingthecompetitionofrivalnations;andaretheonlymeanspossibletoengagethosewhodidnotformerlywork,tobeginandsupplythemselves。
Didmattersstandso,theevilwouldbesupportable;
strangerswouldsupplythesuperfluitiesonlyofdemand,andthebalancewouldstillbefoundinakindofequilibriumathome。
But,alas!eventhishappystatecanbeofshortdurationonly。
Thebeginningsoftradewiththestrangerswillprovejustasfavourabletothevibrationoftheirbalance,byaugmentations,asitwasformerlytothehome-traders;andnoweveryaugmentationtothose,mustimplyadiminutiontotheothers。
Whatwillthenbecomeofsuchhands,inthetradingnation,assubsistbysupplyingtheforeignmarketonly?Willnotthisrevolutionworkthesameeffect,astothese,asifanadditionalnumberofhandshadbeenemployedtosupplythesameconsumption?
Andwillnotthisutterlydestroythebalanceamongthetraders,bythrowinganunsurmountablecompetitiononthesideofthesupply?Itwillhoweverhaveadifferenteffectfromwhatmighthavehappened,ifthesamenumberofhandshadbeenthrownintothetradingnation;for,inthiscase,theymightdestroytheconsolidatedprofitsonlyuponlabour,andperhapsrestorethebalance:theinconveniencewouldbeequallyfeltbyeveryworkman,butprofitwouldresulttothepublic。Butintheothercase,theoldtraderswillfindnoforeignsalefortheirwork;
thesebranchesofindustrywillfallbelowthepriceofsubsistence,andthenewbeginnerswillhavereasonableprofitsinsupplyingtheirownwants,Isayreasonable,becausethistransitionoftradefromonenationtoanother,nevercanbesuddenoreasy;andcantakeplaceinproportiononlytotheriseintheintrinsicvalueofgoodsinthatwhichisuponthedecline,notinproportiontotheriseintheirprofitsuponthesaleofthem:foraslongasthemostextravagantprofitsdonotbecomeconsolidated,aswehavesaid,withthevalueofthework,adiminutionofcompetitionamongtheconsumers,whichmaybeoccasionedbyabeginningofforeignindustry,willquicklymakethemdisappear;andthiswillproveafatalblowtothefirstundertakingsoftherivalnations。Butwhenoncetheyarefairlysoconsolidated,thatpricescannomorecomedownofthemselves,andthatthestatesmanwillnotlendhishelpinghand,thenthenewbeginnerspluckupcourage,andsetoutbymakingsmallprofits:becauseinallnewundertakingsthereismismanagementandconsiderableloss;andnothingdiscouragesmankindfromnewundertakingsmorethandifficultbeginnings。
Aslong,therefore,asatradingstateisupontherisinghand,orevennotuponthedecline,andwhilethebalanceiskeptrightwithouttheexpedientofalternatediminutions,workwillalwaysbesuppliedfromthisquarter,cheaperthanitpossiblycanbefurnishedfromanyother,wherethesamedexteritydoesnotprevail。Butwhenanationbeginstoloseground,thentheverycolumnswhichsupportedhergrandeur,begin,bytheirweight,toprecipitateherdecline。Thewealthofhercitizenswillsupportandaugmentthehomedemand,andencouragethatblindfondnessforhighprofits,whichitisimpossibletopreserve。Themomenttheseconsolidatetoacertaindegree,theyhavetheeffectofbanishingfromthemarketthedemandofstrangers,whoonlycanenrichher。Itisinvaintolookfortheirreturnafterthenationhasdiscoveredhermistake,althoughsheshouldbeabletocorrectit;because,beforethiscanhappen,herrivalswillhaveprofitedofthegoldenopportunity,andduringtheinfatuationofthetraders,will,evenbytheirassistance,havegotfairlyoverthepainfulstruggleagainsttheirsuperiordexterity。
Thusithappens,thatsosoonasmattersbegintogobackwardinatradingnation,andthatbytheincreaseoftheirriches,luxuryandextravagancetakeplaceofoeconomyandfrugalityamongtheindustrious;whentheinhabitantsthemselvesfoolishlyenterintocompetitionwithstrangersfortheirowncommodities;
andwhenastatesmanlookscoollyon,withhisarmsacross,ortakesitintohishead,thatitisnothisbusinesstointerpose,thepricesofthedextrousworkmanwillriseabovetheamountofthemismanagement,loss,andreasonableprofits,ofthenewbeginners;andwhenthiscomestobethecase,tradewilldecaywhereitflourishedmost,andtakerootinanewsoil。ThisI
callacompetitionbetweennations。
Chap。XIII
HowfartheFormofGovernmentofaparticularCountrymaybefavourableorunfavourabletoaCompetitionwithotherNations,inmattersofCommerceThequestionbeforeus,thoughrelativetoanotherscience,isnotaltogetherforeigntothis。Iintroduceitinthisplace,notsomuchforthesakeofconnexion,asbywayofanillustration,whichatthesametimethatitmayserveasanexerciseupongeneralprinciples,mayalsoprovearelaxationtothemind,aftersolongachainofclosereasoning。
Insettingout,IinformedmyreadersthatIintendedtotreatofthepoliticaloeconomyoffreenationsonly;anduponeveryoccasionwhereIhavementionedslavery,Ihavepointedouthowfarthenatureofitiscontrarytotheadvancementofprivateindustry,theinseparableconcomitantofforeignanddomestictrade。
Notermislessunderstoodthanthatofliberty,anditisnotmyintention,atpresent,toenterintoaparticularinquiryintoallthedifferentacceptationsofit。
Byapeople’sbeingfree,Iunderstandnomorethantheirbeinggovernedbygenerallaws,wellknown,notdependingupontheambulatorywillofanyman,oranysetofmen,andestablishedsoasnottobechanged,butinaregularanduniformway;forreasonswhichregardthebodyofthesociety,andnotthroughfavourorprejudicetoparticularpersons,orparticularclasses。Sofarasapowerofdispensingwith,restrainingorextendinggenerallaws,isleftinthehandsofanygovernor,sofarIconsiderpubliclibertyasprecarious。Idonotsayitisherebyhurt;thiswilldependupontheusemadeofsuchprerogatives。Accordingtothisdefinitionofliberty,apeoplemaybefoundtoenjoyfreedomunderthemostdespoticformsofgovernment;andperpetualserviceitself,wherethemaster’spowerislimitedaccordingtonaturalequity,isnotaltogetherincompatiblewithlibertyintheservant。
Herenewideaspresentthemselvesconcerningthegeneralprinciplesofsubordinationanddependenceamongmankind;whichI
shalllaybeforemyreaderbeforeIproceed,submittingthejustnessofthemtohisdecision。
Asthesetermsarebothrelative,itispropertoobserve,thatbysubordinationisimpliedanauthoritywhichsuperiorshaveoverinferiors;andbydependence,isimpliedcertainadvantageswhichtheinferiorsdrawfromtheirsubordination:aservantisundersubordinationtohismaster,anddependsuponhimforhissubsistence。
DependenceistheonlybondofsocietyandIhaveobserved,inthefourthchapterofthefirstbook,thatthedependenceofonemanuponanotherforfood,isaverynaturalintroductiontoslavery。Thiswasthefirstcontrivancemankindfellupon,inordertobecomeusefultooneanother。
Upontheabolishingofslavery,fromaprincipleofchristianity,thenextsteptakenwastheestablishmentofanextraordinarysubordinationbetweenthedifferentclassesofthepeople;thiswastheprincipleofthefeudalgovernment。
Thelastrefinement,andthatwhichhasbroughtlibertytobegenerallyextendedtothelowestdenominationsofapeople,withoutdestroyingthatdependencenecessarytoserveasabandofsociety,wastheintroductionofindustry……bythisisimplied,thecirculationofanadequateequivalentforeveryservice,whichprocurestothericheveryadvantagetheycouldexpecttoreap,eitherfromtheservitudeordependenceofthepoor’;andtotheseagain,everycomforttheycouldwishtoenjoyunderthemildestslavery,ormostgentlesubordination。
Fromthisexposition,Idividedependenceintothreekinds。
Thefirstnatural,betweenparentsandchildren;thesecondpoliticalbetweenmastersandservants,lordsandvassals,Princesandsubjects;thethirdcommercial,betweentherichandtheindustrious。
MayIbeallowedtotransgressthelimitsofmysubjectforafewlines,andtodipsofarintotheprinciplesofthelawofnature,astoenquire,howfarsubordinationamongmenistherebyauthorized?IthinkImaydecide,thatsofarasthesubordinationisinproportiontothedependence,sofaritisreasonableandjust。Thisrepresentsanevenbalance。Ifthescaleofsubordinationisfoundtooweighty,tyrannyensues;andlicentiousnessisimplied,inproportionasitrisesabovethelevel。Fromthisletmedrawsomeconclusions。
First,Hewhodependeduponanother,forthepreservationofalifejustlyforfeited,andatalltimesinthepowerofhimwhosparedit,was,bythecivillaw,calledaslave。Thissurelyisthehighestdegreeofdependence。
Secondly,Hewhodependsuponanotherforeverythingnecessaryforhissubsistence,seemstobeintheseconddegree;
thisisthedependenceofchildrenupontheirparents。
Thirdly,Hewhodependsuponanotherforthemeansofprocuringsubsistencetohimselfbyhisownlabour,standsinthethirddegree:thisItaketohavebeenthecasebetweenthefeudallords,andthelowestclassesoftheirvassals,thelabourersoftheground。
Fourthly,Hewhodependstotallyuponthesaleofhisownindustry,standsinthefourthdegree:thisisthecaseoftradesmenandmanufacturers,withrespecttothosewhoemploythem。