Letters on the Study and Use of History

第22章

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第22章

Letters on the Study and Use of History Henry St。 John

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  Allowmetopushthesereflectionsalittlefurther,andtoobservetoyourlordship,thatiftheproposalofsendingthearchdukeintoSpainhadbeenacceptedintimebytheimperialcourt,andtakeneffectandbecomeameasureoftheconfederacy,thatwarindeedwouldhavebeenprotracted;

  butFrancecouldnothavehinderedthepassageofthisprinceandhisGermanforces:andourfleetwouldhavebeenbetteremployedinescortingthem,andincoveringthecoastsofSpainandofthedominionsofthatcrownbothinEuropeandinAmerica,thanitwasinsomanyunmeaningexpeditionsfromthebattleofLaHoguetotheendofthewar。Franceindeedwouldhavemadeherutmosteffortstohavehadsatisfactiononherpretensions,asillfoundedastheywere。Shewouldhaveendedthatwar,aswebeganthenext,whenwedemandedareasonablesatisfactionfortheemperor:andthoughIthinkthattheallieswouldhavehadinverymanyrespects,moreadvantageindefendingSpain,thaninattackingFrance;yet,uponasuppositionthatthedefencewouldhavebeenasillconductedastheattackwas,andthatbyconsequence,whetherCharlestheSecondhadlivedtotheconclusionofthiswar,orhaddiedbeforeit,thewarmusthaveendedinsomepartitionorother;thispartitionwouldhavebeenmadebytheSpaniardsthemselves。TheyhadbeenforcedtocompoundwithFranceonherformerpretensions,andtheymustandtheywouldhavecompoundedonthese,withanAustrianprinceonthethrone,justastheycompounded,andprobablymuchbetterthantheycompounded,onthepretensionswesupportedagainstthem,whentheyhadaprinceofBourbonontheirthrone。FrancewouldnothavedistressedtheSpaniards,norhaveoverruntheirmonarchy,iftheyhadbeenunited;andtheywouldhavebeenunitedinthiscase,andsupportedbythewholeconfederacy;aswedistressedbothFranceandthem,overruntheirmonarchyinonehemisphere,andmighthavedonesoinboth,whentheyweredisunited,andsupportedbyFrancealone。

  Francewouldnothaveacted,insuchnegotiations,theridiculouspartwhichtheemperoractedinthosethatledtothepeaceofUtrecht,norhavemadeherbargainworsebyneglectingtomakeitintime。Butthewarendingasitdid,thoughIcannotseehowkingWilliamcouldavoidleavingthecrownofSpainandthatentiremonarchyatthediscretionofLouistheFourteenth,otherwisethanbycompoundingtopreventanewwarhewasinnosortpreparedtomake;yetitisundeniable,thatbyconsentingtoapartitionoftheirmonarchy,hethrewtheSpaniardsintothearmsofFrance。Thefirstpartitionmighthavetakenplace,perhaps,iftheelectoralprinceofBavariahadlived,whomtheFrenchandSpaniardstoowouldhaveseenmuchmorewillinglythanthearchdukeonthethroneofSpain。Foramongallthepartiesintowhichthatcourtwasdividedinonethousandsixhundredandninety-eight,whenthistreatywasmade,thatofAustriawasgrowntheweakest,bythedisgusttakenataGermanqueen,andattherapacityandinsolenceofherfavorites。

  TheFrenchwerelookeduponwithesteemandkindnessatMadrid;buttheGermanswerebecome,orgrowingtobe,objectsofcontempttotheministers,andofaversiontothepeople。Theelectoralprincediedinonethousandsixhundredandninety-nine。ThestarofAustria,sofataltoallthosewhowereobstaclestotheambitionofthathouse,prevailed;astheelectorexpressedhimselfinthefirstpangsofhisgrief。Thestateofthingschangedverymuchbythisdeath。ThearchdukewastohaveSpainandtheIndies,accordingtoasecondpartition:andtheSpaniards,whohadexpressedgreatresentmentatthefirst,werepushedbeyondtheirbearingbythis。Theysoonappearedtobeso;forthesecondtreatyofpartitionwassignedinMarchonethousandsevenhundred;andthewillwasmade,tothebestofmyremembrance,intheOctoberfollowing。Ishallnotenterhereintomanyparticularsconcerningthesegreatevents。Theywillberelatedfaithfully,andIhopefullyexplained,inaworkwhichyourlordshipmaytakethetroubleveryprobablyofperusingsometimeorother,andwhichIshallratherleave,thangivetothepublic——

  Somethinghowevermustbesaidmore,tocontinueandwindupthissummaryofthelatterperiodofmodernhistory。

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