Theoppositeistruewhenitfalls。Ifthevalueisequalto2,000,then5%=100;ifitisequalto1,000,then5%=50。Butthisdoesnotaltertheinterestrateinanyway。Therationalpartofthismatterismerelythatgreatermoneyaccommodationisrequiredwhenittakes£;2,000
tosellthesamequantityofcommoditiesthanwhenonly£;1,000arerequired。Butthismerelyshowsthatprofitandinterestarehereinverselyproportionaltoeachother。Forthelowerthepricesofthecomponentsofconstantandvariablecapital,thehighertheprofitandthelowertheinterest。Buttheoppositecanalsobeandisoftenthecase。Forinstance,cottonmaybecheapbecausenodemandexistsforyarnandfabrics;andcottonmayberelativelyexpensivebecausealargeprofitinthecottonindustrycreatesagreatdemandforit。Ontheotherhand,theprofitsofindustrialistsmaybehighpreciselybecausethepriceofcottonislow。Hubbard’stableprovesthattheinterestrateandthepricesofcommoditiesexecutecompletelyindependentmovements,whereasthemovementsoftheinterestrateadherecloselytothoseofthemetalreserveandtheratesofexchange。
TheEconomiststates:”Whenever,therefore,commoditiesareabundant,theinterestofmoneymustbelow。”Preciselytheoppositeobtainsduringcrises。Commoditiesaresuperabundant,inconvertibleintomoney,andthereforetheinterestrateishigh;inanotherphaseofthecyclethedemandforcommoditiesisgreatandthereforequickreturnsaremade,butatthesametime,pricesarerisingandbecauseofthequickreturnstheinterestrateislow。”Whenthey[thecommodities]arescarce,theinterestofmoneymustbehigh。”Theoppositeisagaintrueintheslackperiodfollowingacrisis。Commoditiesarescarce,absolutelyspeaking,notwithreferencetodemand;andtheinterestrateislow。
Inregardtostatement,itisprettyevidentthatanownerofcommodities,providedhecansellthelatteratall,willgetridofthematalowerpricewhenthemarketisgluttedthanhewouldwhenthereisaprospectoftheexistingsupplybecomingrapidlyexhausted。Butwhytheinterestrateshouldfallbecauseofthatisnotsoclear。
Ifthemarketisgluttedwithimportedcommodities,theinterestratemayriseasaresultofanincreaseddemandonthepartoftheownersforloancapital,inordertoavoiddumpingtheircommoditiesonthemarket。