Theconverseistruewhentheproceedsfromtheenterprisediminish。Themarket-valueofthispaperisinpartspeculative,sinceitisdeterminednotonlybytheactualincome,butalsobytheanticipatedincome,whichiscalculatedinadvance。Butassumingtheexpansionoftheactualcapitalasconstant,orwherenocapitalexists,asinthecaseofstatedebts,theannualincometobefixedbylawandotherwisesufficientlysecured,thepriceofthesesecuritiesrisesandfallsinverselyastherateofinterest。Iftherateofinterestrisesfrom5%to10%,thensecuritiesguaranteeinganincomeof£;5willnowrepresentacapitalofonly£;50。Conversely,iftherateofinterestfallsto21/2%;
thesamesecuritieswillrepresentacapitalof£;200。Theirvalueisalwaysmerelycapitalisedincome,thatis,theincomecalculatedonthebasisofafictitiouscapitalattheprevailingrateofinterest。Therefore,whenthemoney-marketistightthesesecuritieswillfallinpricefortworeasons:first,becausetherateofinterestrises,andsecondly,becausetheyarethrownonthemarketinlargequantitiesinordertoconvertthemintocash。Thisdropinpricetakesplaceregardlessofwhethertheincomethatthispaperguaranteesitsownerisconstant,asisthecasewithgovernmentbonds,orwhethertheexpansionoftheactualcapital,whichitrepresents,asinindustrialenterprises,ispossiblyaffectedbydisturbancesinthereproductionprocess。Inthelatterevent,thereisonlystillanotherdepreciationaddedtothatmentionedabove。Assoonasthestormisover,thispaperagainrisestoitsformerlevel,insofarasitdoesnotrepresentabusinessfailureorswindle。Itsdepreciationintimesofcrisisservesasapotentmeansofcentralisingfortunes。[2]
Totheextentthatthedepreciationorincreaseinvalueofthispaperisindependentofthemovementofvalueoftheactualcapitalthatitrepresents,thewealthofthenationisjustasgreatbeforeasafteritsdepreciationorincreaseinvalue。”The。publicstocksandcanalandrailwayshareshadalreadybythe23rdofOctober,1847,beendepreciatedintheaggregatetotheamountof£;114,752,225。”Morris,GovernoroftheBankofEngland,testimonyintheReportonCommercialDistress,1847-48[No。3800]。
Unlessthisdepreciationreflectedanactualstoppageofproductionandoftrafficoncanalsandrailways,orasuspensionofalreadyinitiatedenterprises,orsquanderingcapitalinpositivelyworthlessventures,thenationdidnotgrowonecentpoorerbytheburstingofthissoapbubbleofnominalmoney-capital。
Allthispaperactuallyrepresentsnothingmorethanaccumulatedclaims,orlegaltitles,tofutureproductionwhosemoneyorcapitalvaluerepresentseithernocapitalatall,asinthecaseofstatedebts,orisregulatedindependentlyofthevalueofrealcapitalwhichitrepresents。