Capital-3

第15章

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第15章

Capital-3 M and N

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Capital-3
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  Theconverseistruewhentheproceedsfromtheenterprisediminish。Themarket-valueofthispaperisinpartspeculative,sinceitisdeterminednotonlybytheactualincome,butalsobytheanticipatedincome,whichiscalculatedinadvance。Butassumingtheexpansionoftheactualcapitalasconstant,orwherenocapitalexists,asinthecaseofstatedebts,theannualincometobefixedbylawandotherwisesufficientlysecured,thepriceofthesesecuritiesrisesandfallsinverselyastherateofinterest。Iftherateofinterestrisesfrom5%to10%,thensecuritiesguaranteeinganincomeof£5willnowrepresentacapitalofonly£50。Conversely,iftherateofinterestfallsto21/2%;

  thesamesecuritieswillrepresentacapitalof£200。Theirvalueisalwaysmerelycapitalisedincome,thatis,theincomecalculatedonthebasisofafictitiouscapitalattheprevailingrateofinterest。Therefore,whenthemoney-marketistightthesesecuritieswillfallinpricefortworeasons:first,becausetherateofinterestrises,andsecondly,becausetheyarethrownonthemarketinlargequantitiesinordertoconvertthemintocash。Thisdropinpricetakesplaceregardlessofwhethertheincomethatthispaperguaranteesitsownerisconstant,asisthecasewithgovernmentbonds,orwhethertheexpansionoftheactualcapital,whichitrepresents,asinindustrialenterprises,ispossiblyaffectedbydisturbancesinthereproductionprocess。Inthelatterevent,thereisonlystillanotherdepreciationaddedtothatmentionedabove。Assoonasthestormisover,thispaperagainrisestoitsformerlevel,insofarasitdoesnotrepresentabusinessfailureorswindle。Itsdepreciationintimesofcrisisservesasapotentmeansofcentralisingfortunes。[2]

  Totheextentthatthedepreciationorincreaseinvalueofthispaperisindependentofthemovementofvalueoftheactualcapitalthatitrepresents,thewealthofthenationisjustasgreatbeforeasafteritsdepreciationorincreaseinvalue。”The。publicstocksandcanalandrailwayshareshadalreadybythe23rdofOctober,1847,beendepreciatedintheaggregatetotheamountof£114,752,225。”Morris,GovernoroftheBankofEngland,testimonyintheReportonCommercialDistress,1847-48[No。3800]。

  Unlessthisdepreciationreflectedanactualstoppageofproductionandoftrafficoncanalsandrailways,orasuspensionofalreadyinitiatedenterprises,orsquanderingcapitalinpositivelyworthlessventures,thenationdidnotgrowonecentpoorerbytheburstingofthissoapbubbleofnominalmoney-capital。

  Allthispaperactuallyrepresentsnothingmorethanaccumulatedclaims,orlegaltitles,tofutureproductionwhosemoneyorcapitalvaluerepresentseithernocapitalatall,asinthecaseofstatedebts,orisregulatedindependentlyofthevalueofrealcapitalwhichitrepresents。

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