Insuchasituation,Ifairlyacknowledge,thatIcannotdiscoveranyexpedienttoavoidabankruptcy。Engagingtheforeigncreditorstobecomecitizens,bytheallurementsofthegreatestprivileges,andbillsofnaturalization,arevainspeculations。Unlesssomeresource,hiddenfromme,should,uponsuchanoccasion,openitself,inthedeeprecessesoffutureevents,Ibelievethenationwouldsoonbedrivenuponthefatalrockofbankruptcy。Theideaofanation’sbecomingbankrupttoitself,Ihavealwayslookeduponasacontradiction;butthatitmaybecomebankrupttotherestoftheworld,isquiteconsistentwithreasonandcommonsense。
Ishallnottakeuponmetosuggestwhatmodeofbankruptcywouldinsuchacasebethebest;atotal,orapartialone。Thepartial,Iamafraid,would,inEngland,workeffectsalmostashurtfulastheother。Butifeverthecaseshouldhappen,theonlywaywillbe,towatchovereverysymptomoftheapproachingcatastrophe,andtoimprovecircumstancestothebestadvantage。
Icannotomitinsertinginthisplacetheopinionofamostsagaciousandmostintelligentforeignmerchant,mostconsolatorytoGreatBritain,withrespecttothedebtssheowestoforeigners。
ThelateMrMegens,wholivedmanyyearsinEngland,composedatreatiseinGerman,whichMrHorsleytranslatedin1752,underthetitleoftheUniversalMerchant。Inthe31stSectionofthisworkisthefollowingpassage:
’Andalthoughitcannotbedenied,thatforasmuchasforeignersarebecomegreatcreditorsinthepublicdebtsofEngland,agreatsumofinterestmustbeannuallymadegoodtothem。Yetifitappearthattheprivatepeopleabroad,aremoreindebtedtotheprivatepeoplehere,thansuchinterestamountsto;thenationhasnoprejudicialdraughtuponit,onaccountofsuchdebt;andthatthegeneralbalanceoftradeishighlyinfavorofEngland。’
Fewpeople,Iampersuaded,haveanysuchideaasthislaiddownbyMrMegens。Happy,forGreatBritain,coulditbeverified!
OfwhatinfiniteconsequenceisitthenforaBritishstatesmantoinquireintotheamountofdebtsowingtostrangers,andintothestateofthebalanceoftrade?Inspeakingofexchange,Ithrewoutmanythingsconcerningtheideaofputtingthatbranchofbusinessintothehandsofthebank,inconjunctionwiththeexchequer。Werethestatebroughtintothedilemmaofeithersubmittingtothisgradualdeclineoftrade,fromacausewhichcouldnotberemoved;orofbeingpushedtothenecessityofleapingintotheterriblegulphofadeliberatebankruptcy;insuchadilemma,Isay,whatinfiniteadvantagesmightnotbedrawnfromthemanagementofexchange?
Ihavehearditsaid,thatthedebtowingtostrangerswasagreatadvantagetoEngland;becauseitdrewpeopletothatmarketwheretheirfundsaresettled。Iallowalltheforceanyonecangivetothisproposition:Butalas!whatwoulditavail,wheneverEnglandbecomesincapabletofurnishgoodsequivalenttoallherimportsfromabroad,addedtoallsheowestoherforeigncreditors?
IamveryfarfromsupposingthepresentsituationofEnglandtoforebodetheapproachofanysuchdisaster;butitisgoodtorepresenttoone’sselfsomedeterminateobject,bywhichwemayjudgeofoursituationintimestocome。
Debtshaveincreasedfarbeyondtheimaginationofeverymortal。Greatmenhaveutteredprophecies,whichhaveprovedfalse,concerningtheconsequencesofadebtofonehundredmillions。Fromthismostpeopleconclude,thattheywillgoonuntilsomeunforeseenaccidentshalldashthefabrictopieces。I
havebeenpretendingtoshewhowtheymaygooninaperpetualchain。Butalas!onefatalcircumstancewasthereomitted;andnowthatithasbeentakenin,Ithinkitservesasadatum,toresolvethemostimportantproblemofthisscience,viz。Howtodeterminetheexactextentofpubliccredit。Thesolutionofwhichis,Thatitisnotnecessarythatpubliccreditshouldeverfail,fromanyaugmentationofdebtswhatever,duetonatives;
andthatitmustfail,sosoonasthenationbecomestotallyunableeithertoexportcommoditiesequaltoalltheirimportsandforeigndebts,ortopayoffaproportionalpartoftheircapital,sufficienttoturnthebalancetotherightside。
Fromthispropositiontwocorollariesmaybedrawn。
First,Thatthemostimportantobjectinpayingoffdebts,istogetquitofthoseduetostrangers。
Secondly,Thatwhatevercircumstancehasatendencytowardsdiminishingtheburdenofforeigndebts,shouldbeencouraged。
Ifitbesaid,thatwheneverourforeigndebtsexceedthebalanceofourtrade,thebestwaywouldbetobreakfaithwithstrangers,andkeepitwiththesubjectsofthestate:Ianswer,thatwerethethingpossible,whichIapprehenditisnot,theconsequencemightproveequallyhurtful。
Thegreatestofalltheinconveniencesproceedingfromabankruptcy,istheruinofindustry,andthestopputtocirculation。Canitthenbesupposed,thatacountrymightexecutesoglaringaschemeoftreacherytoallherneighbours,andstillcontinuehercorrespondencewiththemintheopenwayoftrade?Certainlynot。Wereallforeigntradetobestoptatonce,whatarevolutionwoulditoccasion!Thecirculationofforeigntrade,inthecityofLondononly,exceedsperhapstheamountofallthetaxes。Astopputtothiswouldoccasionsuchastagnation,aswouldruinthenationasmuchasifthebankruptcyweretobecomeuniversal。Idonotherepretendminutelytotraceconsequences,whicharefinite:allthatcanbedone,istosuggesthints,whicheveryonemaypursue,inproportiontotheextentofhiscombinations。
Theintentionoftouchinguponthissubjectatall,istoshew,thattheexpedientofaspunge,whichisfrequentlytalkedofasaremedyagainsttheconsequenceofdebts,is,perhaps,moredangerousthananythingwhichcanbeapprehendedfromthem。
Thereasonis,thatthespungeimpliesamoresuddenbankruptcythananyonebroughtoninagradualway,bynaturalcauses。
WerenaturalandirresistiblecausestotallytocutoffallprofituponthetradeofBritain,onecannotsayhowfartheothernationsofEuropemightnotfindittheirinteresttoassistus,providedwedidourutmosttopreserveourgoodfaithtothem。AndasIthinkIhavemadeitsufficientlyevidentthatnothingcanbegainedbyopenlyviolatingpublicfaith,thebestresolutionanationcantake,istoadheretoittothelastextremity,andtobanishfromtheirthoughtseveryideawhichmayberepugnanttoit。
Chap。X
MethodsofcontractingandpayingoffpublicDebtsWearenowtocollecttogether,inoneview,theseveralmethodsofcontractingandpayingoffthedebtsofanation。Suchmethodsmaybededuced,eitherfromprinciples,orfromwhatpracticehaspointedout。
Thefoundationuponwhichpubliccreditisbuilt,istheexistenceofasureandsufficientfundforperformingtheengagementscontracted。
When,intheearlytimesofpubliccredit,therepaymentofthecapitalwasanexpressconditionoftheloan,amuchmoreextensivepublicfundwasnecessarythanatpresent,whennomoreisrequiredthanthepaymentoftheinterest。Assuchfundsnevercanbeformedbutfromtaxes,orgeneralcontributionsfromthepeople,thegreatertheyare,thelargermustthecontributionbe。Wheneverthereforethereisoccasiontocontactdebt,thechiefobjectofastatesman’scareshouldbe,tomodelthespiritofhispeoplesoastodisposethemtoconcurintheproperresolutionstorendertheplanproposedaseasyaspossibleintheexecution。
Inthefirstplace,thebodyofthepeoplemustbemadesensiblethattheconsequenceofcontactingdebtsmustimplyadiminutionupontheincomeofsomeindividuals;butthatthefewertheobstaclesthrowninthewayoftheloanare,thelesswillthisdiminutionbe。
Inthesecondplace,hemustgaintheconfidenceofhispeople,sofarastoimpressthemwithafirmbeliefthathewillconsulttheirgood,andnothingelse,inwhatheundertakes。
Andinthelastplace,hemustgaintheconfidenceofthosefromwhomheistoborrow;andconvincethemthatallcovenantsbetweenthepublicandthemwillbereligiouslyperformed。
Inalimitedandfreegovernment,thesethreerequisitesareessentialtothefirmestablishmentofpubliccredit。
Wherethepowerofthestatesmanisunlimited,hemaysubstitutehisauthorityoverthepeoplewhoaretopay,insteadofconfidence;butwithrespecttothosewhoaretolend,hewillfindnoroomforanysuchsubstitution:confidencehereistheonlyexpedient。
Allthereforethatisrequiredofthestatesmanwithrespecttothepeople,istoenablethemtodowhatherequiresofthem。
Forthispurposehemustestablishcreditwiththem,forfindingthecontributionsheistoexactofthem;becausetheywillhaveasmuchoccasionforcredit,inpayingwhatisdemandedofthembyauthority,ashehimselfhasinpayingwhatheisobligedtopay,inconsequenceofhisengagements。
Ifthisgeneralplanbenotfollowed,theconsequencewillbe,thattheproduceoftaxeswillfailononehand,andpubliccreditontheother。
Ifallthisoperationcannotbepreviouslyconcerted,theplanofborrowingmustbecircumscribedtofundspreviouslyestablished。
Whenmoneyisborrowedbeforethefundbeprepared,everyobstaclewhichoccursinestablishingit,becomesadrawbackupontheconfidenceofthosewholend,andrenderstheconditionslessfavourabletothestatewhichborrows。
Inthecontractofloan,thefirstarticletobeagreeduponistherateofinterest。Wehave,inthebeginningofthisbook,examinedthecausesofitsriseandfall;andhaveingeneraldetermined,thatwhenthedemandisforborrowing,interestrises;whenforlending,interestfalls。
Astheobjectoftheborroweristohaveinterestlow,thestatesmanwhointendstoborrow,mustuseallpossiblemeanstoincreasethequantityofmoneyincirculation。
Butifcoinalonebeusedasmoney,andifthiscoinbesentoutofthecountry,whenborrowed,andifwhatissentawaycannotbereplacedatwill,theschemeofaugmentingmoneybecomesimpracticable:itwilldailybecomemorescarce,moredifficulttoprocure,andinterestmustrisehighereveryday。
Symbolicalorpapermoney,thatiscredit,mustthenbeestablishedathome,uponthefirmestbasis:thiswillenableeveryonetopaywhatheowes;consequently,thetaxeswillbepaid,thecreditorswillreceivewhatisduetothemregularly,moneywilleveryyearaugmentinproportionasdebtsarecontracted;andifborrowingdonotaugmentbeyondthisproportion,interestwillnotrise;andifborrowingshouldfallbelowthisproportion,interestwillsink。
IsnotthiswholedoctrineverifiedinthestrongestmannerbytheoperationoftheMissisippi?AtthedeathofthelateKingofFrance,moneyhaddisappeared。Someyearsbefore,hehad,forsevenmillionsincoin,engagedhiskingdomforthirty-twomillions;uponadistantfundindeed,butstillitbecameadebttobepaid。Papermoneyhadnotbeenintroducedthreeyears,wheninterestfellto2percent。Thepaperindeedwasactuallyabubble;butwehaveshewnthatitbecamesofrombadmanagementonly。
Bytheaugmentationofmoney,capitalsceasetobesovaluable。Bythemeltingdownofproperty,theverycapital,thoughinthehandsofthestate,maybeturnedintomoneybythecreditor,wheneverhehasoccasionforit;inthesamewayasthecoinwhichisburiedinthevaultsofthetown-houseofAmsterdam,isconstantlyperformingalltheusesofcirculation。
Themethod,therefore,ofborrowingmoneytothebestadvantage,ispreviouslytoestablishafundofcredit,arisingfromannualtaxes;toprovidethepeoplewhoaretopaythem,withcreditormoneyinproportiontotheirpropertyorindustry;
andtopreventthelatterfromeverfailingforwantofthemedium,money,forcaringiton。
Ifintimeofpeaceinterestshallstandhigh,relativelytootherstateswithwhichyouareatwar,throwasmuchmoneyaspossibleintothehandsofyourcreditors,inpaymentofthedebtsalreadycontracted;becausethemoreyouthrowinthere,themoreyouwilldrawout,ifyouhaveoccasiontoborrowmore;
andifyouhavenooccasiontoborrowmore,theloweryouwillreducetherateofinterest,byaugmentingthefundofmoneytobelent。
FromtheseprinciplesIconclude,thateverynationwhichsetsoutbycontractingdebtswithitsowncitizens,mustbeginbyborrowinguponconditionofrepayingthecapitalinashorttermofyears。Thisisalsothebestmethodtoengagethepeopletocontributelargelywithoutmurmuring。Thereasonis,thatwhentaxesbegintobeimposed,themassofcirculationbecomesproportionallyaugmented;andthepayingbackofconsiderablesumstothecreditors,prevents,ontheonehand,thedebtsfromincreasingsofast,andsuppliescirculationandfacilitatesnewborrowingsontheother。Whilethisplanofaugmentingcirculationiscarryingon,thestatesmanmustpreventhisexpenceabroadfromdiminishingcirculationproportionallyathome。Thisistobeaccomplishedbyopeningloansforforeignexpenceinforeigncountries,andbypayingtheinterestonlyofsuchloans,withthegreatestpunctuality。
Thedifficultyofperformingthis,isnoargumentagainstit。
Itmusteitherbedone,orcreditwillbehurt;becausewithoutobtainingcreditabroad,itisimpossibletodefrayanyexpenceincurredabroad,beyondwhatthemetalsofyourcountryandtheexportsfromitcanpay:thatis,inotherwords,beyondthequantityofmetalsexported,andgeneralbalanceinyourfavouruponallreciprocalpaymentswiththeworld。
Ifitbesaid,thatnationsneverpaytheinterestoftheirdebtsanywherebutathome,Ianswer,thatitissomuchtheworseforthem;becausewhereverthedebtsorinterestistobepaid,thelenderalwaysstateshisaccountasifthepaymentweremadeinhisownhouse。Alltheexpencetohimofsendinghismoneytotheplaceofsubscription,andofdrawingbackhisreturns,arecomparedwiththeinterestofferedbytheborrower;
andifuponthewholethelenderfindhisaccountinthebargain,hesubscribes;otherwisenot。Sincethereforethemoneyborrowedmustinthiscasebesentabroad,itisanadvantagefortheborrowertobeunderanobligationtoprovideamethodofsendingit;andbythismeanshewillborrowcheaperthanhecando,whenherefundstoeverylenderallhisexpenceandtroubleingettinghisinterestremittedtohim。
Iamnowdeducingprinciples,andthereforeshallnotenterintoadiscussionofthemanyobjectionswhichoccuragainstthisplan,fromforeignconsiderations;suchasthefacilityitmightprocuretoastatesmanindefraudinghisforeigncreditors,andseveralotherswhichmightbeformed:allIsayis,thatthisisacheaperandmoresystematicalwayofborrowing,andithasthisgoodeffect,thatitconstantlypointsoutthestateoftheexternaldebt,fromwhichaloneabankruptcyistobefeared。
Wereafavourablebalancetoreturnafteranexpensivewar,thepaymentofthisforeigndebtwouldbetheconsequencethen,asmuchasnowwhenthepaymentismadeathome,andrathermoreso;becausewhoeverowedabalancetoEngland,IsupposewouldthenpayhisdebtsatLondon,withmoneyduebyEngland,payableatAntwerp,forexample;consequently,hewouldremitatdiscount;andwhenheremittedinfavourofanEnglishman,thedebtsmightbeconsideredasdischargedupontheforeignfund,andstateda-newuponthefundspayableinLondon。Couldthepaymentoftheinterestofthepublicdebtsberenderedsusceptibleofsuchtransfersuponalloccasions,itwould,I
imagine,havearemarkableeffectinfavourofpubliccredit。
Thisthoughtsuggesteditself,whileIwasconsideringthesituationofacountrywhereborrowingisinitsinfancy;anditoccurredasanexpedientforpreventingforeignexpencefromdrainingthecountryofthemoneynecessaryforcirculationathome。This,ineverycombinationofcircumstances,isthemostimportantobjectofastatesman’scare,whileheisengagedinwarsabroad。
Nowwhetherthemoneyofacountrybepaperorcoin,itisequallytakenoutofcirculation,byeveryforeignpayment。Whenitiscoin,itgoesoutofthecountry,aswellasoutofcirculation:whenitispaper,itdoesnotgooutofthecountry,certainly,butbycominguponthedebtorinitforpayment,itisequallytakenoutofcirculation;andwhatthedebtorgivesforitviz。abillofexchangeuponanothercountrygoesoutofthecountry。Andunlessthisbillofexchangecanbepaidwithvalueexportedinmerchandize,itwillremainadebtuponthecountry,contractedinfavourofsomeothernation。
ThisIhopewillbesufficienttorecalltomindwhathasbeensofullyexplainedinthe13thchapteruponbanks;wherethesamequestionwasstatedwithregardtothepaymentsScotlandwasobligedtomaketoEngland,towardstheendofthelastwar。Thesameprinciplesoperateinthecasebeforeus,andmaybeappliedtoeverycircumstanceofit;withthisdifferenceonly,thatherethestatesman’sinterestissupposedtobemorecloselyconnectedwiththatofhisbanksthanwasthecaseduringthedistressinScotland:becauseifhedonotsupportthembyasystematicalchainofconduct,hewilldrainthefundofcirculationbyhisremittances;hiscreditwillfail;histaxeswillnomorebepaid;andhispeoplewillbeoppressed。Butifhepursuehisplansystematically,circulationwillbekeptfull;hiscreditwillbesupported;histaxeswillbepaid;hispeoplewillbeeasy:
becausenocheckwillbeputeithertotheirindustryorconsumptionforwantofmoney;agreatpartofthesolidpropertywillbemelteddownintomoney;whateverpartofthismoneyislenttothestatewillbe,bythatoperation,consolidatedintoanewspeciesofproperty,thepublicfunds;andif,aftertheborrowingschemeisoverthatis,whenpeaceisrestored
circulationshouldbecontracted,apartofthemoneywillthenstagnateinthehandsofindividuals,andwill,intheirfavour,berealizedinthatpartofthesolidpropertywhichwasformerlymelteddowninordertoproduceit。Thatis,landswillbesoldbytheformerproprietors,andwillbeacquiredbythosewhohavemoneynotrealizedinstock;andforwhichmoney,circulationhasnofartherdemand。Thisisthereasonwhy,attheendofeverywarwhichhasrunthenationindebt,landshaveconstantlyrisenintheirvalue,evenwhenconsiderablequantitiesofthemhavebeenofferedtosale。
Ifitbesaidthatthestock-holdersarethosewhomwecommonlyseebuyingthelands,andnotthosewhohavesumsnotrealized:
Ishall,inanswer,observe,thatthestock-holderscannotbuylandsunlesstheyselltheirstock,tothosewhohavemoneynotrealized;soitisstillthemoneynotrealizedwhichisemployedinbuyingeveryarticleofsolidproperty:andevenafterthisoperation,thesamemoneywillstillremainincirculationasbefore;becauseitisimpossibletorealizeevenpapermoneyitself,exceptwhenthecreditorinitbecomesproprietorofthepropertyuponwhichitissecured;andifthemoneybecoin,itisplainthatthiscannotberealizedanyfartherthanitisbynature。Whenthereforewesay,thatamanrealizeshismoney,wedonotmeananythingfarther,thanthathegiveshismoneytoanotherinexchangeforsolidproperty。
Thuswhenanestateisboughtinacountrywherebanksuponmortgageareestablished,apartofthepriceiscommonlytakenoutofcirculationaltogether;becauseinconsequenceofthepricepaid,thebankisrefundedwhatithadmelteddownofthelandsold;consequently,thispaperbecomesconsolidateda-new,asitwere,withthelandswhicharerelievedofthemortgage。
Butwhenlandsaresoldinacountrywherethereisnopaper,thepriceremainsincirculationasbefore;andifthequantityofcoinincirculationshouldexceedtheusesforit,acasewhichseldomhappensinthesedays,itwouldbeexported,andrealizedabroad。
Whenthiscomplicatedandsystematicalschemeofcreditisnotestablished,thefallibleconsequenceis,thatmoneydisappears:consequently,interestrises。Thetaxesformerlyimposedcannotbepaid:consequently,itisinvaintoseektoaugmentthem;becauseinproportionastheyareaugmented,theybecomelessproductive。Ifmoneybeborroweduponremotefunds,engagedforotherdebtspreviouslycontracted,andifpublicfaithbeatalleventstobepreserved,theconsequencemustthenbe,thatthepublicwillbeeatupbyusurers。
ThiswasthecaseinEnglandduringthewarsofQueenAnne。
Soearlyas1706,government,ashasbeensaid,begantoborrowat6percentuponfundsalreadyengaged。Whatwastheconsequence?Theexchequerhavingnomoneytopaytheinterestasitfelldue,paidwithtallies;thesefelltogreatdiscount,andhadtheyremainedlonginthatdiscreditedsituation,lendingwouldhavestopt,orinterestwouldhaverisen,asinFrance,sohighastolosethenameofinterestaltogether。Thiswasthecase,intheexampleabovecited,whensevenmillionsreadymoney,borrowedbythelatekingofFrance,becameadebtofthirty-twomillionsonthestate。
Upontheoccasionabovementioned,governmentavailedthemselvesofthebankofEngland,asIsayeveryprivatecitizenshouldhaveapowertodo,oneveryoccasion,whenhiscreditisgood,thoughmoneyshouldfailhim。Theyengagedthebanktodiscountalltalliesissuedfortheinterestofdebts;thatis,inotherwords,toturnthosesticksintomoney:butaspubliccreditwassolowthatmoneycouldnotbefoundtodischargeeventheinterestoftheadvancemadebythebank,thegovernmentconsented,thatalladvancesofthatkindshouldbearcompoundinterestquarterly,at6percent。Whatamonstrousprofittothebank!whatachargeuponthestate!Hadabankofcirculationuponmortgagesbeenestablishedatthattime,moneywouldhavecomeinatamoderatesimpleinteresttoindividuals,whowouldhaveavailedthemselvesofthem,forthepaymentofallpublicburdens。Insteadofwhich,industrywasmadeto,sufferthepublicmoneydidnotcomein;taxationstopt;expenceswenton,anddeficiencieswerepaidbythepublicatthismonstrouscharge。
Ontheotherhand,haditnotbeenfortheassistancethebankthengavethestate,incirculatingthoseexchequertallies,bills,&c。itisverycertainthatcreditwouldhavefailedastotallyinEnglandasithaddoneinFrancein1708,whenDesmaretzundertookthefinances。Thisministerhadnobanktoavailhimselfof,andaccordinglyherunFranceindebtattherateoftwohundredmillionsoflivresperannum,duringsevencampaigns;ofwhich,Iampersuaded,hedidnotreceiveonehalf,ornearit,ineffectivevalue。
WhatIhavesaidwill,Ihope,besufficienttoshewthattheonlywayforanystatetoborrow,ispreviouslytoprovideafundformakinggoodwhatisagreeduponwiththelenders;andthatallexpedientstosupplythewantofitwillintheendbringgreatexpenceuponthepeople,eitherbyinvolvingtheminanexcessiveburdenofdebts,incasepublicengagementsshouldbeheldsacred,ashasconstantlybeenthecaseinGreatBritain;orbydrivingthestatetoabankruptcy,aswasthecaseinFranceuponthedeathofthelateKing。Icallitabankruptcy,becauseallthatwasowingwasnotpaid。Amanwhopaysnomorethan19s。
113/4d。inthepound,isabankrupt,aswellashewhocannotpayonefarthing。
Icomenexttothemethodsofpayingoffdebtswhenalreadycontracted。
Publicdebtsmaybedividedintotwoclasses,redeemableandirredeemable。Redeemabledebtsmaybepaidoffinseveralways,whichweshallbrieflyenumeratebeforewecomparetheirseveraladvantages。
Firstthen,suchdebtsmaybepaidoffatonce,byrefundingtothecreditorsthewholecapital,withallarrearsofinterest。
Secondly,Theymaybepaidoffyearly,accordingtoacertainruletodeterminethepreference,andorderofpayment:forthispurpose,adeterminatesummustbesetapartasasinkingfundfordischargingthecapitalandinterest。
Thirdly,Theymaybepaidoffcumulativelyandproportionallyeveryyear,byincorporatingthesinkingfundintothemoneyappropriatedfordischargingtheinterest,andbyplacingallthatispaidbeyondtheinterest,aspaymentinpartofthecapital。
Fourthly,Theymaybepaidinonesense,asshallbefartherexplainedbyreducingtheinterestuponthecapitals,withoutdiminishingthem。
Fifthly,Theymaybepaidoffbyconvertingthemintoannuitiesforlives。
Sixthly,Andlastly,theymaybepaidoffbelowthevalueofthecapitals,bythemeansoflotteries;wherethestatemaygainwhatthecreditorschoosetolosefromadesireofgaming。
Tooneorotherofthesemethods,maybereducedallthefairandhonestexpedientswhichastatemayemploytogetridofitsdebts,withoutanybreachofpublicfaith,orwithoutproceedingtotheextremityofprescribingconditionsofpayment,whichthecreditorsareforcedtoacceptagainsttheirwill。
Asfortheirredeemabledebts,Iapprehend,that,withoutconsentofthecreditors,nochangeupontheconditionofloancanjustlybemade。
Ishallnextpointouttheadvantagesanddisadvantagesoftheseveralmethodsofdischargingdebts,astheymayaffecttheseparate,orcumulativeinterestofastate。
Werelargedebtswhichhavesubsistedforalongtimetobepaidoffallatonce,itwouldoccasionasuddenandaviolentrevolution,whichisalwaysattendedwithinconveniences。
Were,forexample,theproprietorsoflandstoconsenttoselloffapartoftheirestatesforthepaymentofthepublicdebts,thequantityoflandbroughttomarket,wouldsinkthepriceofitveryconsiderably;fromwhichwouldariseagreatdetrimenttolandlords。Ishallnothereinquirefromwhencesuchasumofmoneycouldcome;thatitmaybeproducedisverypossible,fromwhathappenedinFranceintheyear1720。
CouldatreasurebebroughtfromIndialetmesuppose
sufficientatoncetodischargethedebtsofGreatBritain,circulationwouldbecomesogluttedwithmoney,thatinterestwouldfalltonothing。Thiswouldbeatemporarylosstoalltheformercreditors,untiltheyhadtimetolendtotheotherstatesofEurope;whowould,inconsequenceofthiscircumstance,sinktherateofinterestupontheirowndebts。SomethinglikethiswastheconsequenceofpayingoffallthedebtsofFrancewithbanknotesin1720,uponwhichinterestfell,aswehaveobservedabove,to2percent。
When,inthesecondplace,debtsarepaidoffpartiallyeveryyear,accordingtoacertainrule,itisexpedienttohavethecapitalsreducedintosharesofadeterminatevalue,asisthepracticeinFrance,thattheymaybedrawnoutasinalottery。
Thelotsdrawnmaythenbepaid,andnodetrimentwillfollowtoanyparticularcreditor,morethantoanother。becauseifbybeingpaidtherebeeitherprofitorlosstothecreditor,itwillaffectthevalueofthewholestockinproportion。If,upontheestablishmentofsuchaplan,thestockbefoundtorise,itwillbeaproofthateithertheinterestformerlypaidwasbelowthecommonrate,orthatthecreditofthestatewaslookeduponasprecarious:ifitshouldsink,contraryconclusionsmaysafelybedrawn。
ThisisacommonmethodofpayingoffdebtsinFrance,wherefundsaremorecommonlydividedintosharesthaninGreatBritain。
In1759,theKingopenedasubscriptionforseventy-twomillionsoflivresuponthegeneralfarms:thissumwasdividedintoseventy-twothousandactions,bearing5percentanditwasstipulated,thatupontherenewalofthefarmsin1762,twelvethousandactionsshouldbedrawnbylot,andpaidoffmonthly;sothatinsixmonthsthewholedebtwastobedischarged。Thethirdmethodofapplyingwhatisannuallypaidabovetheinterest,inextinctionofthecapital,isthemeasureproposedbyCardinaldeRichlieufordischargingthedebtsofFrances。onlytheCardinalwenttoworkinaveryarbitraryway,bothindeterminingtheinterest,andinfixingavalueuponthecapital,equallydetrimentaltothecreditors。
Toapplythistoanexample。HadEnglandatthetimegovernmentfirstestablishedasinkingfund,arisingoutofthesavingswhichweremadeuponreducingtherateofinterest,fromtimetotime,continuedtopaytothecreditorsthesameannualsumsasformerly;andtherebyappliedwhatwaspaidbeyondtheinterest,tothepaymentofthecapital,therecouldnothavebeenanymisapplicationofthesinkingfund;andthedebtsbythistimewouldhavebeengreatlydiminished。Whereasbyapplyingthesinkingfundtotheserviceoftheyear,fortheeaseofthepeopleandadvantagetothecreditors,theconsequencesmayproveexceedinglyinconvenient。
ThefourthmethodofreducingdebtsisthatadoptedbyGreatBritain,viz。byreducingtheinterestpaiduponthem。Fromthiswediscoverthereasonwhytaxes,evenintimeofwar,areseldomaugmentedinthiskingdommuchabovetheproportionoftheinterestofthemoneyborrowed。
Wehave,inthesecondchapterofthefirstbook,boldlydeclaredthistobeagainstprinciples,andtheauthorsofsuchaschemeweretherestigmatizedasmenofnoforesight:wenowseehowmuchpeoplemaybemistakenintheirconclusionsinpoliticalmatters,whentheyareformedupontoonarrowcombinations。
Werecapitalsintendedevertobepaid,nodoubttheconclusionwouldbejust;butifitberesolved,thatcapitalsshallneverbeconsideredastheobjectofattention,andthattheinterestaloneshallbelookeduponastherealburden,thenallpaymentofcapitalsisunnecessary,exceptsofarasbypayingapartofthem,itmayservetoreducetheinterestupontherest,bymakingmoneyregorgeinthemarketbeyondtheusesfoundforit。
Thisplancannotbecarriedonwhileanationisengagedinanexpensivewar,whichabsorbsallthemoneytobelent:butitbecomestheobjectofastatesman’scare,afterpeaceisrestored,andwhentradebeginstobringinabalanceuponexportations。
Wehaveseenhowthisbalancetendseveryyeartodiminishthecapitalsduetostrangers,andtokeepmoneyathome。Thenisthetimetoextendtaxationbeyondtheusesfoundformoneytopaytheinterest。Twoorthreemillionsextraordinary,raisedatthecloseofawar,andthrownintothehandsofthecreditorsofGreatBritain,inextinctionoftheircapitals,wouldsoonengagethemtocryformercy。TheywouldfindnooutletbutFranceforsuchsums;anditispreciselyafterawar,thatFranceisbusyinplayingoffthearbitraryoperationsonherdebts,whichreduceshercredittoolowforanyonetotrustherwithmoney。
Letpeacecontinueforatractofyears,confidencewillthereadvanceapace,andthenitwillbecomemoredifficulttomakemoneyregorgeinEngland。
Tosaythattaxesarealreadybeyondallbounds,is,inotherwords,tosaythenationisnomoreinastateofdefence:
because,shouldBritainbeagaininvolvedinanunavoidablewar,theconsequencewillbe,eithertorendermoretaxesindispensable,ortoobligethenationtosubmittoanytermsdemandedbyherenemies。
Ifitbethereforetrue,thattaxesmaystillbeaugmented,themostpropertimeforaugmentingthem,is,attheverycloseofawar;becausetheneverycircumstancefavoursthescheme,asweshallnowexplain。
Wehavesaidabove,andexperienceprovesthetruthofit,thatattheendofawarcirculationbecomestoofullfordomesticuses;andthatthesuperfluityofmoneyisrealizeduponproperty。Thisistheconsequenceofasuddenstopinnationalexpence。Weretaxesatsuchatimeaugmented,partofthisregorgingmoneywouldfindaventbytheaugmentationupondomesticcirculationwhichtaxeswouldoccasion;whichaugmentationwouldcirculateintotheexchequer,insteadofbecomingconsolidatedwithproperty,ashasbeensaid,andcomingintothehandsofgovernment,wouldbepouredintothoseofthecreditors,inpaymentofpartoftheircapitals。Thereitwouldregorgeanew;becauseitisobserved,ingeneral,thatthosewhohavepropertyinthefundsarenotapttosquandermoneywhenunexpectedlythrownintotheirhands;onthecontrary,theyarecommonlyfoundtoliveverymuchwithintheirincome。8*
Butsupposeitshouldnotimmediatelyregorge,itwouldthenincreaseexpenceandconsumption;consequently,wouldadvanceindustry,andrendereverybranchofexcisemoreproductive。Ineverysuppositionwecanmake,publicopulencewouldbeaugmented:moneywouldregorgeatlast;andthenthecreditorswouldcomewiththeirapplicationtogovernmenttosuspendthereimbursementofcapitals,andtoaccept,inlieuofthat,adiminutionupontheinterest。
Thisisthegoldenopportunityfordiminishingthepublicburdenoccasionedbydebts;andthismethodofcompassingsodesirableanend,isfarpreferabletothatofcompellingcreditorstosubmittoadiminution,byofferingasuddenreimbursement,whichwasputinpracticeinBritainintheyear1749,ashasbeenobserved。Hadthepublicwaitedwithpatienceoneyearlonger,andthenthrowninafewmillionsmorethantheydidintothehandsofthecreditors,theproposalofreducingtheinterestwouldhavecomefromtheotherquarter;whichinallbargainswithcreditorsisofthegreatestconsequencetothedebtor。
Thesumofinterestthusdiminished,uponanobligationtosuspendthereimbursementsofcapitalsforalimitedtime,threequestionswillnaturallyoccur:1。Whetherthetaxesshouldbediminishedinproportion:or2。Iftheyshouldbeallowedtosubsistwithaviewtoapplytheoverplusofthemtonationalpurposes:or3。Whetheritmaynotbemostadviseabletoturnsuchapartofthedebtsintoannuitiesforlives,asmayabsorbthesavingupontheformerinterestpaid。ThefirsttwoquestionsIreserveforthefollowingbook,wheretheywillbefullyexamined;thelastisthefifthexpedientalreadyproposedforacquittingthepublicdebts。Asthenatureofitisabundantlyevident,IshallrepeatonlywhatIformerlyobserved,namely,thatthismethodofestablishingasinkingfund,hastheadvantageofbeinglessexposedtomisapplicationsthananyother。
Thelastexpedientofpayingoffcapitals,belowtheoriginalvalue,bythemeansoflotteries,shouldtakeplaceonlyaftertheinterestofmoneyisbroughtsolowastocutoffanynearprospectofreducingitstillfarther。
Ishallnotpretendtoguessatthelowestpointtowhichtherateofinterestmaybebrought,bytheexpedientsofincreasingmoneyatwill,bythemeansofbanksuponmortgage。Ihaveintheseventhchapterofthefirstpartofthisbook,thrownoutahintofaland-bank,whichopensaverywidefieldofspeculation;butinthisplace,itwouldbeunnecessarytoenlargeuponthatsubject。
LetmesupposetherateofinterestbroughtlowerinBritainthananywhereelse,itwillneverthelessbesubjecttoperiodicalrisings,onmanyoccasions。
Uponeverysuchemergency,capitalswillsinkinthemarketbelowpar。
Itisthenonlythatastatecanhaverecoursetothislastexpedientofopeninglotteries,andtakinginsubscriptionsatthemarketpriceofthefundssubscribedintothem。Andalthoughtheannuitiestobepaiduponthelotteryfundberegulatedbytherateofinterestatthetime,andconsequentlyabovethestandardoftheotherdebts;yetthesamemethodsofreducingitafterwardswillconstantlyproducetheireffects,andtherebydiminishthecapitalbydegrees。
Inlikemanner,intimeofwar,whenthepublicfundsfallgreatlyintheirprice,governmentmayopennewsubscriptions,andreceivepaymentforthemintheirownpaperatthemarketprice,allowingasmallpremiumintherateofinterest。Ifthecreditorswillinglysubscribeupontheseconditions,noviolationofpublicfaithcanbealleged。Bythisoperation,thecapitalswillbediminished,andtheadvancedrateofinterestpaidduringthewar,willreturnuponthepeacetowhereitwas:thenthenewsubscriptionsmaybepaidoff,orsubscribedforagainatalowerratethanbefore。
Supposeitthenresolved,thatintimeofwar,thenation’screditorsshouldbeallowed,atcertaintimes,tosubscribetheircapitalsinbooksopenedatthebankforthatpurpose,onequarterpercent。abovethesellingprice。Wouldnotthishavethegoodeffectofsupportingthepriceofstocksononehand,andofreducingthecapitalofthenationaldebtupontheother?
Example:
Letmesupposethatintimeofwar,the3percents。sellat743/4,mightnotgovernmentreceivethemat75,andconstitutethenewsubscriptionat4percent?Whatinterestcouldanyonehavenottosubscribe,whoatsuchatimeintendstosellhisstock?His3percentsoldtogovernmentat75,andturnedintoa4percent。wouldafterwards,whensoldinthemarket,produce1/4percentmorethanifithadnotbeensubscribedintothenewfund。
PerhapsinChangeAlley,wherecalculationiscarriedtotheutmostpitchofrefinement,eventhiseventualadvantagetogovernmentmightsinkthevalueofthenew4percents。Letthisbeallowed。Theansweris,thatwhenpeoplecomputewithsuchnicety,andcomprehendintheircalculationseverycircumstancethemostminute,itis,Ithink,theinterestofastatewhoseviewsshouldextendfarbeyondtheperiodofhumanlifetograntapremiumuponsuchsubscriptionsmorethansufficienttoindenmifythesubscribers,accordingtothemostrigidcalculationconcerningtheirpresentadvantage。
Thesmallestprofittobediscoveredbythenicestpenwillengagethemoniedmantosubscribe;consequently,thecapitalsofdebtsmaybediminished,atalosstothepublicalmostimperceptible。Andforthisimperceptiblelossinthemeantime,thegreatestnationaladvantagemaybeobtainedatadistantperiod。
Itisnowfulltimetoclosethisbook,whichhasswelledfarbeyonditsdueproportion。Thesubjectofcreditanddebtsissoconnectedwithmanyquestionsrelatingtotaxes,andtotheapplicationoftheiramount,thattheunityofthesubjectwouldhavesufferedlittleinblendingthemtogether。ButasIfindittobeagreatrelieftothememorytointerpose,nowandthen,apause;andastaxeswereintendedtobetreatedofbythemselves,accordingtotheplanIatfirstproposed,Ishallmakenoalterationinit。
Attheendofthefirstandsecondbooks,Isubjoinedachapterofrecapitulation;inthethirdbook,thiswassuppliedbyaveryfulltableofcontents;here,becauseoftheintimateconnectionofthesubjectofthisandthefollowingbook,Ishallreferthereadertotheendofthevolume,forafullrecapitulationofboth。
NOTES:
1。AfterthelongandparticularaccountIhavegivenoftheMissisippi,Ishallnotenterintoalikedetailconcerningaschemewhichproceededupontheverysameprinciples;towit,theartificallyraisingthevalueofastock,bypromisingdividends,outoffundswhichwerenowiseproportionedtothem。
Ishalltherefore,inaveryfewwords,firstcomparesomeoftheoperationsoftheSouthSeaschemewiththoseoftheMissisippi;andindoingit,pointouttheprincipaldifferencesbetweenthem。
ThegreatprofitsupontheMissisippiwereexpectedfromtheinterestpaidbygovernmentforthegreatloan,fromthefarmsoftherevenue,andfromtheprofitsupontheirtrade。
ThoseoftheSouthSeawere,atsettingout,first,Theprofitsupontheirtrade:secondly,Theallowancemadethembygovernmentfortheexpenceofmanagement:thirdly,Thedifferenceofreceiving5percentforthemoneytheylaidoutinpurchasingthepublicdebts,whenmoneywasat4percentasitwaswhentheschemewassetonfoot:andfourthly,Thesurplusmoneysubscribedintothestockabovepar,inconsequenceoftheartificesusedtoenhancethevalueofit。
Thesevenmillionstheyweretopaytothestate,seeminglyfornovaluereceivedwereasortofcompensationforreceivingthe5percentfor7years,atatimewhenmoneywasworthnomorethan4percent。
Theseadvantagesraised,atfirst,thevalueoftheoriginalstockofelevenmillions。Theconsequencewas,thattheproprietorsofthe16millionsoftheredeemabledebts,whichweretobeboughtin,whentheycametosubscribetheircapitalsintothenewstock,transactedthemataproportionaldiscount;
whichdiscount,beinggoodagainstthegovernmentinfavourofthecompany,servedtodischargeproportionallythesevenmillionsthecompanywastopay。Thisgaveanadditionalvaluetothestock;andsoitrose,greatlyindeedabovethisproportion。
Thenthecompanypromisedadividendof10percentforonehalfyear,upontheircapital,atmidsummer1720;thisdividendwastobepaidinstock,whichwasconstantlyrisinginitsvalue;butnoinformationwasevergiventothepublicconcerningthefundswhichweretoproducethisdividend;soeveryoneconcludedthattherewerehiddentreasuresinthehandsofthecompanywhichenabledittopromisesuchlargedividends。Accordingly,stockrosefrom300percentto375;thento400,andatlastto1000
percent;andinproportionasitrose,thewealthoftheformersubscribersaugmentedfromthesurplusabovepar,paidbythelatter,andthosewhosubscribedlast,boreallthelossupontheblowingupofthescheme。
ButonegreatdifferencebetweentheSouthSeaandMissisippi,wasthis:ThatinFrancetherewasabundanceofmoneyinthehandsofthepublic,forpurchasingtheactions,attheexorbitantpricetowhichtheyrose;butinEnglandtherewasnot:consequently,inFrance,therateofinterestfellto2percentandinEngland,thegreatdemandformoneytoborrow,raiseditbeyondallbounds。
Thosewhosubscribedinmoney,paiddownnomorethan10percentatsubscribing;butbecameboundtopayuptheremainder。
Butwhenthestocktumbled,peoplewerebetterpleasedtolosethe10percenttheyhadpaid,thantopayuptheremaining90
percentaccordingtothetermsatsubscribing。Thoseindeedwhosubscribedtheirformercapitalsatavastdiscount,didnotlabourunderthesameinconvenienceforwantofmoney;butthisdiscountbecameasrealalosstothem,asthecashsubscribedbecamealosstothemoneysubscribers,themomentthatthosewhowereinthesecret,andwho,bythemostinfamouschainofartifices,hadblownupthepublicfrenzy,begantorealizeandsellout,andthatthewholewasdiscoveredtobeacheat。Sothatuponthewhole,theEnglishschemehadintrinsicallyamuchworsefoundationthantheFrench。Thefirstblewupfromanabsolutenecessity,andforwantofanybottomatall;thelastfrommisconduct,andratherfromfollythanknavery。Ireturntoanaccountofthescheme。
TheoriginalcapitaloftheSouthSeacompany,was11,750,000
l。Theredeemabledebtswhichtheproprietorsofthiscapitalafterwardsproposedtopurchase,amountedto16,750,000l。;andthevalueoftheirredeemable,orwhatwerecalledtheabsoluteterms,wascomputedat15,058,000l。together31,808,000l。
sterling。
Theproprietorsofthisoriginalcapitalof11,750,000l。
consultedtheirownadvantageonly,inpurchasinginthislargesumofdebts,whichweretobeconvertedintoadditionalstock;
andthereforesoundedveryhighthegreatadvantagesofsuchatransformationofthem;first,Fromtheprofitsofthetrade,whichtheyweretoenjoyexclusively。And,secondly,Fromthegreatadditiontotheirwealth,fromtheconstantrisinginthepriceoftheirstock。Theycarriedtheirviewstonothinglessthanobtainingamajorityinthehouseofcommons,bytheweightoftheirwealth,andofbecomingtheabsoluterulersofthenation。
Thepublicbeingfromthebeginningintoxicatedwithsuchideas,subscriptionsforstockwereopenedat200percentabovepar;andsomeoftheproprietorsofthe31,808,000l。subscribedatfirsttheircapitalsataproportionaldiscount;thatis,theymadeoveradebtof100l。for331/3inSouthSeastock;andsuccessivelythesubscriptionroseto1000percent。Theseimmenseprofitsbeingincorporatedintothegainsofthegeneralstock,wereproportionallysharedbythesubscribersthemselves,whobecameproprietors;andthehigherthestockrose,themorethesegainsaugmented。Thisinfluencedtheinfatuation;andthedividendsaugmentinginproportiontothepriceofsubscription,thereappearednoendoftherisingofthestock。
Thefirstdividendoffered,ashasbeensaid,was10percenthalf-yearlyinstock;thiswasafterwardsconvertedintonolessthan30percentinmoney,forthathalf-year:andwhenstockroseto1000,adividendofnolessthan50percentperannum,inmoney,waspromisedfortwelveyearstocome。
Hadstockrisento2000percentthedividendcouldhaveaseasilybeencarriedto100percentperannum,asithadbeento50percentwhenat1000。
Butwhencewasthisdividendtobepaid?Thecompanyandthedirectorstookgoodcarenevertogivetothepublicanylightastothisparticular。
Toprevent,therefore,suchabusesintherisingoftheSouthSea,itoughttohavebeenprovidedbyparliament,thatintakinginsubscriptions,andofferingdividends,thedirectorsshould,ontheonehand,haveinformedthepublic,first,Ofthemoneyowingtothembygovernment,secondly,Ofthemoneygainedbythesubscriptionsabovepar。Andthirdly,Oftheprofitsupontheirtrade。And,ontheotherhand,ofthedebtsduebythem;andofthenettbalanceupontheirbooks,intheirfavour。
Thiswouldhavebeenfairdealing。Buttopretendthenecessityofsecrecy,inapointwhereanationisinterested,wasinitselfamerepretext;andhaditbeenotherwise,itmighthavebeenanswered,thatacompanywhichisobligedtohaverecoursetosuchsecrets,oughttobepreventedfromdealingwiththosewhoweretoremainignorantofthem,howeverdeeplyinterested。
2。Thismayseemahighvaluation,andis,infact,farbeyondwhatanyofthoseannuitiessoldfor:butastheinterestofmoneycannotbeestimated,foraconstancy,atmorethan3percentandthatprobablythebestliveswerechosen,thevaluetogovernmentofsuchannuitiesmaywellbeestimatedat20yearspurchase。ByDeMoivre’stables,annuitiesforthemostfavourableages,interestbeingat3percentarevaluedat19。87
yearspurchase;andhisvaluationsaregenerallyallowednottobetoohigh。
3。Theannuitiesof1757,areestimated,bytheauthoroftheConsiderationonTradeandFinances,at472,500l。orat14
years’purchase;andtheannuitiesof1761,1762,at6,826,875l。
orat271/2years’purchase。Butthisvaluationseemstoolow。
4。Thisquestionhasbeendeterminedintheaffirmative,inapamphletascribedtoMrG。Grenville,entitled,ThePresentStateoftheNation,an。1768:page12inthenote。
5。Ifindthatthesinkingfundisnowestimatedat2,100,000l。
bytheauthoroftheConsiderationsonTrade,etc。abovecited。I
amalsoinformedthatthenetproduceofthecustomsexceeds2,200,000l。considerably:but4,600,000l。isratherthegrossthanthenetproduceofthepermanentdutiesofexcise;thatis,ofalltheexciseduties,exceptingtheannualmalt-duty。Itmustalsobeobserved,thattheannuitiespayabletothenationalcreditorsamounted,the5thJanuary1764,tomorethan4,720,000
l。Butontheotherhand,theinterestoftheunfunded9millionsisratedtoohigh,asappearsfromtheauthorabovequoted。I
cannotpretendtogiveexactdetails。Thegeneralsketchherestatedissufficientformypurpose。
6。Theloanof1766,was1,500,000l。at3percent。Everysubscriberfor100l。hadanannuityof3percenton60l。and4
lotterytickets,valuedtothembygovernmentat10l。each,inall100l。Theprizesandblanksinthelotteryamountto600,000
l。andbear3percentpaidbygovernment。Theannuitiesamountto900,000l。andbearalso3percent。Thenumberofticketsare60,000。Henceat10l。each,theyamountto600,000l。
Theadvantagegovernmentreapsbythiswayofborrowing,is,thatthedesireofgaming,raisesthelotteryticketsabovetheirvalue,whenthrownintothehandsofthepublic;andthisadvancedvaluebeingaprofittothosewhoreceivetheminpartoftheirsubscription,thisprofittheysharewithgovernment。
Example。InApril1766,whengovernmentborrowed1,500,000l。at3percent,the3percentswereat89:consequently,thedifferencebetween89and100,whichis11l。musthavebeensupposedtobethesumwhichthesubscribers,fromthepropensityofpeopletogame,hadareasonable,orratheracertainexpectationofgaininguponthesaleof4lotterytickets,thatis,2l。15s。uponeveryone。
Toknowthereforetherealparofalotteryticket,youmustproceedthus:itcoststhesubscribers10l。forwhichtheyreceivefromgovernment3percent。This10l。as3percentsstoodat89,isworthatthatratenomorethan8l。18s。Addtothissumwhatthepublicmustpayforthelibertytoplay,whichwehavestatedaboveat2l。15s。andyouhavetheexactparofalotteryticketat11l。13s。
Whatevertheysellatabove11l。13s。isprofittothesubscribers,whatevertheysellbelow11l。13s。isalosstothem。
Thisprofitthoughsmallinappearance,isgreatlyincreasedfromanothercircumstance,viz。
Thatthesubscribersmayselltheirsubscriptionsatatimewhentheyhavereallyadvancedbutasmallpartofit。Thefirstpaymentiscommonlyof15percentontheirsubscription:whentheysell,theymakethisprofituponthewholecapital。Supposethen15percentpaidin:iftheprofituponsellingbenomorethan1percentuponthecapital,that1percentturnsoutnolessthan62/3percentuponthemoneytheyhaveadvanced。Thusapersonwhoispossessedof1500l。only,maysubscribefor10,000l。inthisloan:hepaysinhis1500l。andreceiveshissubscription;whenhesells,hesells10,000l。subscription,uponwhichhegains1percent,1percent。of10,000l。is100
l。soinonemonthsupposehegainsbythismeans100l。fortheuseof1500l。Butasacounterbalanceforthisprofit,herunstheriskofthefallingofthesubscription,whichinvolveshiminaproportionallossifhesellsout;orintheinconvenienceofadvancingmoremoneythanhehadtoemployinthatway,incaseheshouldpreferkeepinghissubscriptionforalongertime,inhopesofariseinthepublicfunds。Bythismodeofborrowing,governmentprofitsbythedispositionofthepeopletogame。Butthispropensityhasitsbounds,andatpresentitisfoundbyexperiencenottoexceed60,000lotterytickets,or60,000l。Were,therefore,asubscriptionof3millionstakeninuponthesameplanwiththepresentof1,500,000l。theregorgingnumberofticketswouldsoglutthemarket,thatthewholewouldfallbelowtheparoftheirsupposedvalue。
7。Wemustalwayscarefullyavoidconfoundingthegrandbalanceofpaymentswiththebalancebetweenimportationandexportation,whichIconsiderasthebalanceoftrade。
8。Experienceshews,thatwhenthedebtsofanationhavecometoaheight,thepubliccreditorsbecomepeopleofgreatconsequence,uponaccountoftheeaseandaffluenceoftheircircumstances。Theyarenotexposedtothemanyhiddenexpencesincidenttolandproprietors。Theyareaclassinthestatebutlatelyknown;thecapitaloftheirwealthishidden;andopinionsconcerningtheirrank,andthefiguretheyoughttomake,areasyetunformed。Whereasthefamilyofalandproprietorisknown;
hisexpencemaysurpassthatofhispredecessorswithoutmuchobservation;butifitshouldfallbelowit,hecommonlysinksintheestimationofhisneighbours,whoseldomputcircumstancestogetherwhichcanonlybeguessedat。Anheirtoalandedestate,isbredupfromhisinfancywiththenotionoflivinglikehisfather:thesonofamoniedmanhascommonlyverydifferentsentiments;andevenwhenanyofthisclasstakesaturntoexpence,thelustreofitisalldisplayedroundhisownbody;thatis,inhisownhouse,andinhisownfamily:nocountryseats,hounds,horses,servantsineveryquarter,familyinteresttokeepup,littleeconomyinspending。Inaword,everyonefeelsbetterthanIcandescribethatlandedmencommonlyexceed,andmoniedmencommonlylivewithintheirincome。
AnInquiryintothePrinciplesofPoliticalOeconomyBookV
OfTaxes,andoftheProperApplicationoftheirAmountIntroductionThesubjectoftaxesissocloselyconnectedwitheverybranchofpoliticaloeconomy,thatIhavenotbeenabletoavoidanticipatingasubject,which,accordingtomyplan,isleftfortheconclusionofthiswork。
Whathasbeenhithertointroducedconcerningtaxation,intreatingofindustry,trade,money,credit,anddebts,relatesprincipallytotheeffectsoftaxesuponcirculation,prices,andseveralotherthingsrelatingtothosesubjects。
Whatthereforeremains,notasyettouchedupon,chieflyconcernstheprincipleswhichdeterminethenatureofeverytax,relativelytotheinterestitisintendedtoaffect。
Toinvestigatethedifferentconsequencesoftaxeswhenimposeduponpossessions,andwhenuponconsumption,arequestionswhichrelatedirectlytotheprinciplesoftaxation。
ButinthisbookIshallalsohaveoccasiontotraceout,fartherthanasyetIhavedone,certaincombinationsconcerningtheeffectswhichtaxeshaveinmultiplyingthefundofcirculation:
andastheaugmentationoftaxestendsgreatlytoincreasemoney,Iamthenceledtoexamine,howfartheadvantagegainedbythesuppressionoftaxesmaynotbemorethancompensatedtoanation,bytheinconveniencesproceedingfromsogreatadiminutionofcirculation。
Taxeshaveallalongbeensupposedtoenhancethepriceofliving;weshallthereforehaveanopportunityofinvestigatingtheproperextenttobeallowedtothatgeneralproposition。
Chap。I
OfthedifferentKindsofTaxesTaxeshavebeenestablishedinallagesoftheworld,underdifferentnamesoftribute,tithe,tally,impost,duty,gabel,custom,subsidy,excise;andmanyothersneedlesstorecapitulate,andforeigntomysubjecttoexamine。
Thoughineveryspeciesofthisvoluminousclass,therearecertaincharacteristicdifferences;yetoneprincipleprevailsinall,uponwhichthedefinitionmaybefounded。
Iunderstandthereforebytax,initsmostgeneralacceptation,acertaincontributionoffruits,service,ormoney,imposedupontheindividualsofastate,bytheactorconsentofthelegislature,inordertodefraytheexpencesofgovernment。
Thisdefinitionmay,Ithink,include,ingeneral,allkindsofburdenswhichcanpossiblybeimposed。Byfruitsareunderstoodeitherthoseoftheearth,ofanimals,orofmanhimself。Byservice,whatevermancaneitherbylabouroringenuityproduce,whilehehimselfremainsfree。Andundermoneyiscomprehendedtheequivalentgivenforwhatmaybeexactedintheothertwoways。
Ihavenooccasiontoconsiderthenatureofsuchtaxesasarenotinuseinourdays。Tributesofslavesfromconquerednationsareaslittleknowninourtimes,ascontributionsofsubsistencefromthesubjectsofthestate。
Idivide,therefore,moderntaxesintothreeclasses。
1。Thoseuponalienation,whichIcallproportional:2。Thoseuponpossessions,whichIcallcumulativeorarbitrary:and3。
Thoseexactedinservice,whichIcallpersonal。Thesetermsmustnowbefullyexplained,thatImayusethemhereafterwithoutbeingmisunderstood。
Aproportionaltaxpresentsasimplenotion。
Itispaidbythebuyer,whointendstoconsume,atthetimeoftheconsumption,whilethebalanceofwealthisturningagainsthim;andisconsolidatedwiththepriceofthecommodity。
Examplesofthistaxareallexcises,customs,stamp-duties,postage,coinage,andthelike。
Bythisdefinition,tworequisitesarenecessaryforfixingthetaxuponanyone:first,hemustbeabuyer;secondly,hemustbeaconsumer。Letthisberetained。
Acumulativeorarbitrarytax,presentsvariousideasatfirstsight,andcannotwellbedefineduntilthenatureofithasbeenillustratedbyexamples。
Itmaybeknown,First,Bytheintentionofit;whichistoaffectthepossessorinsuchamanner,astomakeitdifficultforhimtoaugmenthisincome,inproportiontothetaxhepays。
Secondly,Bytheobject;wheninsteadofbeinglaiduponanydeterminatepieceoflabourorarticleofconsumption,itismadetoaffectpastandnotpresentgains。
Thirdly,bythecircumstancesunderwhichitislevied;whichimplynotransitionofpropertyfromhandtohand,noranychangeinthebalanceofwealthbetweenindividuals。
Examplesofcumulativetaxesareland-taxes,poll-taxes,window-taxes,dutiesuponcoachesandservants,thatuponindustrie,inFrance,andmanyothers。
Apersonaltaxisknownbyitsaffectingtheperson,notthepurseofthosewhoarelaidunderit。
Examplesofitarethecorv閑,inFrance;thesixdayslabouronthehighroads,andthemilitiaservicebeforepaywasallowedinEngland。1*
HavingthusexplainedwhatImeanbyproportional,cumulative,andpersonaltaxes,itispropertoobserve,thathoweverdifferenttheymayproveintheireffectsandconsequences,theyallagreeinthis,thattheyoughttoimpairthefruitsandnotthefund;theexpencesofthepersontaxed,notthesavings;theservices,notthepersonsofthosewhodothem。
Thisholdstrueineverydenominationoftaxes。Informerdays,whenannualtributesofslavesweremade,andevenatpresentamongtheTurks,whereitiscustomarytorecruittheseragliosofgreatmenbysuchcontributions,Iconsidertheyoungwomenwhoaresent,aspartofthefruitsofthepeoplewhosendthem。Thisisafundamentalprincipleintaxation;andthereforepubliccontributions,whichnecessarilyimplyadiminutionofanycapital,cannotproperlyberangedundertheheadoftaxes。ThuswhentheDutchcontributed,notmanyyearsago,thehundredthpartoftheirpropertytowardstheserviceofthestate,Icannotproperlyconsiderthisinthelightofatax:
itwasindeedamostpublicspiritedcontribution,anddidmorehonourtothatpeople,fromthefidelitywithwhichitwasmade,thananythingofthekindeverboastedofbyamodernsociety。2*
Chap。II
OfproportionalTaxes,andtheirproperObjectWhateverexistsfortheuseofman,sofarasitisconsideredasafundfortaxation,maybeclassedunderthefollowingheads:1。Theproduceorfruitsoftheearth;2。theproduceoftheindustryofman;or3。hispersonalservice。
Farther,Fruitscannotbeobtainedwithoutthenecessarylabourofmanandcattle。Asthislabourpresupposesallthenecessaryconsumptionofmaintenance,&c。theproduceofthelandmustbeunderstood,relativelytotaxes,tobethatpartonlyofthefruitswhichremainsafterdeductinganequivalentforallnecessaryexpencesinmakingtheearthproducethem。Thenetproducealoneoftheearthistobeconsideredasafundliabletotaxation;andeverycontributionwhichbearsnotajustproportiontothisquantity,iswrongimposed,asshallbeshewnaswegoalong。
Again,astotheproduceofwork:thiscannotbebroughtintoexistencewithoutsomeexpence,viz。themaintenanceoftheworkman;thatistosay,hisfood,raiment,fire,lodging,andtheexpenceheisatfortools,andeveryothernecessary。Thisweshall,forthefuture,callhisphysical-necessary。Thevalueofthework,overandaboveanequivalentforthesearticles,istheonlyfundtobetaxedwithregardtotheworkman。
Astoworkitself,wehaveseenaboveBookII。chap。26。inthegeneraldistributionofthingswhichmaybepurchasedwithmoney,howitwasrangedundertheclassofthingsincorporeal。
Forthisreason,theworkperformedcannotcomeundertaxation;
andthereforethepersonworking,whobyworkacquiresabalanceinhisfavour,isbroughttobeaffectedbyproportionaltaxesuponthearticlesofhisconsumption;andwhenitisfoundthatthesearticlessuffernoalienationbeforetheyareconsumedbyhim,andconsequentlyescapetaxation,thenhemayeitherbelaidunderthecumulativetaxes,whichwillaffecthiswealth,orunderthepersonal,whicharepaidinworkitself,andinthisrespectmaybeconsideredasthefruitoftheman。
Nothingwouldbesoeasyasageneralruleforimposingproportionaltaxes,didthelabourersofthegroundactuallyconsumeapartofthefruitsoftheearth,andtheotherindustriousclassesapartoftheirownwork,inlieuofthewholeofthisphysical-necessary。Inthiscase,nothingbutwhatremainedoffruitsandwork,notalreadyconsumedbytheimmediateproducers,wouldcometomarketfortheuseofthosewhodonotwork;butwhohaveanequivalenttogiveforit,outoftheproduceofpastindustry。Werethis,Isay,thecase,thenatthetimeofalienationor,asweexpresseditinthe26thchapterofthesecondbook,atthetimewhenthebalanceofwealthisgoingtoturninfavouroftheindustrious,againsttheidleconsumerataxproportionaltothevalueofthealienationmight,withthegreatestpropriety,beimposed,asweshallpresentlydiscover。
This,Ihope,willrecalltomindtheprinciplesdeducedinthechapterabovecited,wherewemadeitappear,howtheindustriousclasses,whofurnishconsumablecommoditiesforthepriceoftheiroverplus,mustconstantlyhavethebalanceofwealthturningintheirfavour:andwhenoncetheyarriveatacertaindegreeofease,proportionaltotheirambition,thentheygiveoverworking,andbecomeincorporatedintotheclassofthosewhohaveenrichedthem。
Thusmattersgooninaperpetualcircle。Theindustriousbecomeeasy,andthepubliclaystheconsumersunderaperpetualcontributioninproportiontotheirexpence。
Thehypothesiswehavemade,isnotentirelyagreeabletomatteroffact;becausetheoperationoftaxesisfarmorecomplexthanwehavedescribedittobe;butbysimplifyingit,asIhavedone,itservestogiveanideaoftheresult,orgeneralconsequenceofproportionaltaxes,which,whenproperlyimposed,doaffecttheidleonly,butnevertheindustrious。
Were,Isay,theoperationoftaxationassimpleaswehaverepresentedit,nothingwouldbemoreeasythantodeduceitsprinciples。Nothingwouldcometoberefundedtothelabourerorworkman,atthesaleofhissurplus。Thissurpluswouldbeequaltothewholeproduceoftheearth,andwholeindustryofthecountry,deductingthephysical-necessaryofalltheindustrious;
andthisphysical-necessaryneednotthenbededucted;becauseitissupposedtobeconsumedintheveryproductionofthesurplus,astheaqueouspartofseawaterisconsumedbeforeyoucanhavethesalt。
Thisillustrateswhathasbeensaid,viz。thatthefruitsoftheearthareonlytobereckonedtoexist,afterdeductingthenecessaryexpenceofprovidingthem。Forthoughinfactafarmerpossessesallhiscropafterharvest,yetpartofit,astohim,isvirtuallyconsumedeitheroutofhisownstock,orthatofothers,whohavefurnishedhimfoodandnecessariesallthetimeitwascomingforward;thispartconsequently,canneitherbelongtotheground,ortothefarmer。
Ifitbeurgedstill,thatthewholemustbesupposedtoexistwithregardtothestate,Iagreetotheproposition;butaccordingtoourargument,itcannotbesupposedtoexistinfavourofthestate,totheprejudiceofthefarmer;becausethetotalofthefarmer’sexpencemustbeunderstoodtohavebeentakenfromthesurplusofotherpeople’sindustry,andthereforeifthecropbesupposedtoexistwithrespecttothestate,becauseitisinthefarmer’syard,thesurplusofotherpeople’sindustrywhichhehasconsumedmustnotbesupposedtoexistinfavourofthestate,atthesametime。Butasthefarmerissupposedtohavepaidthetaxuponwhathehasborrowedandconsumed,hemustdrawitbackfromthosewho,intheirturn,aretoconsumehiscrop:andifhedrawsitback,hecannotbesaidtopayit,althoughthestateprofitsofitasmuchasifhedid。
Doesitnotappearfromthisanalysis,thatastatecantakegratuitouslyandproportionallyoutofthesurplusonlyoffruitsandindustry?Nowwhatisherecalledsurplus,relativelytotheindustrious,isthenecessaryfundofconsumptionforalltherichandidle;consequently,werethestatetodiminishanypartofthequantity,theidleandtherichwouldbedeprivedofasufficiency:butinregardthatthosewhodonotworkgivemoney,whichisthepriceofallthings,inexchangeforwhattheyconsume,thestatestepsinatthetimeofthisexchange,andsays,weasknothingofthosewhohavenothingbuttheirphysical-necessary,thistheyhavebeenallowedtotake;wetakenoneoftheirsurplusfromthem,thisweallowthemtoselltoyou:butasforyou,whodonotwork,andhaveinyourcofferswherewithaltopurchasethelaboursofyourindustriousbrethren,thislabouryoushallnotprofitof,unlessyougivethestateacertainvalueoutofyourwealth,inproportiontotheworkandfruityouaregoingtoconsume,althoughyouhavecontributednothingtowardstheproductionofit。
Henceitappearsevident,thatwithoutmoneytherecouldbenotaximposed:forwerethestatetotaketheirproportionoftherealsurplus,anddisposeofitoutofthecountry,apartoftheinhabitantswouldbestarved。Butbyanequivalent’sbeingfound,quitedifferentfromthesurplusitself,ofnouseforsubsistence,thewholeproduceofindustryisleftfortheuseofthosewhohaveit;thestatetakeswhatpartoftheequivalenttheypleasefromtheidle;andnobodystarves,exceptsuchashaveneithermoney,norindustry,northetalentofexcitingthecompassionofthecharitable。
Bythissimplerepresentationofamostcomplicatedoperation,Ihavebeenabletodeducethecapitalprincipleofproportionaltaxation。Ifthereasoningbefoundsolid,itmayberetained:becauseweshallhaveoccasiontorecurtoit,atalmosteverynewcombination。