第23章
加入书架 A- A+
点击下载App,搜索"An Inquiry into the Principles of Political Econom",免费读到尾

  Insuchasituation,Ifairlyacknowledge,thatIcannotdiscoveranyexpedienttoavoidabankruptcy。Engagingtheforeigncreditorstobecomecitizens,bytheallurementsofthegreatestprivileges,andbillsofnaturalization,arevainspeculations。Unlesssomeresource,hiddenfromme,should,uponsuchanoccasion,openitself,inthedeeprecessesoffutureevents,Ibelievethenationwouldsoonbedrivenuponthefatalrockofbankruptcy。Theideaofanation’sbecomingbankrupttoitself,Ihavealwayslookeduponasacontradiction;butthatitmaybecomebankrupttotherestoftheworld,isquiteconsistentwithreasonandcommonsense。

  Ishallnottakeuponmetosuggestwhatmodeofbankruptcywouldinsuchacasebethebest;atotal,orapartialone。Thepartial,Iamafraid,would,inEngland,workeffectsalmostashurtfulastheother。Butifeverthecaseshouldhappen,theonlywaywillbe,towatchovereverysymptomoftheapproachingcatastrophe,andtoimprovecircumstancestothebestadvantage。

  Icannotomitinsertinginthisplacetheopinionofamostsagaciousandmostintelligentforeignmerchant,mostconsolatorytoGreatBritain,withrespecttothedebtssheowestoforeigners。

  ThelateMrMegens,wholivedmanyyearsinEngland,composedatreatiseinGerman,whichMrHorsleytranslatedin1752,underthetitleoftheUniversalMerchant。Inthe31stSectionofthisworkisthefollowingpassage:

  ’Andalthoughitcannotbedenied,thatforasmuchasforeignersarebecomegreatcreditorsinthepublicdebtsofEngland,agreatsumofinterestmustbeannuallymadegoodtothem。Yetifitappearthattheprivatepeopleabroad,aremoreindebtedtotheprivatepeoplehere,thansuchinterestamountsto;thenationhasnoprejudicialdraughtuponit,onaccountofsuchdebt;andthatthegeneralbalanceoftradeishighlyinfavorofEngland。’

  Fewpeople,Iampersuaded,haveanysuchideaasthislaiddownbyMrMegens。Happy,forGreatBritain,coulditbeverified!

  OfwhatinfiniteconsequenceisitthenforaBritishstatesmantoinquireintotheamountofdebtsowingtostrangers,andintothestateofthebalanceoftrade?Inspeakingofexchange,Ithrewoutmanythingsconcerningtheideaofputtingthatbranchofbusinessintothehandsofthebank,inconjunctionwiththeexchequer。Werethestatebroughtintothedilemmaofeithersubmittingtothisgradualdeclineoftrade,fromacausewhichcouldnotberemoved;orofbeingpushedtothenecessityofleapingintotheterriblegulphofadeliberatebankruptcy;insuchadilemma,Isay,whatinfiniteadvantagesmightnotbedrawnfromthemanagementofexchange?

  Ihavehearditsaid,thatthedebtowingtostrangerswasagreatadvantagetoEngland;becauseitdrewpeopletothatmarketwheretheirfundsaresettled。Iallowalltheforceanyonecangivetothisproposition:Butalas!whatwoulditavail,wheneverEnglandbecomesincapabletofurnishgoodsequivalenttoallherimportsfromabroad,addedtoallsheowestoherforeigncreditors?

  IamveryfarfromsupposingthepresentsituationofEnglandtoforebodetheapproachofanysuchdisaster;butitisgoodtorepresenttoone’sselfsomedeterminateobject,bywhichwemayjudgeofoursituationintimestocome。

  Debtshaveincreasedfarbeyondtheimaginationofeverymortal。Greatmenhaveutteredprophecies,whichhaveprovedfalse,concerningtheconsequencesofadebtofonehundredmillions。Fromthismostpeopleconclude,thattheywillgoonuntilsomeunforeseenaccidentshalldashthefabrictopieces。I

  havebeenpretendingtoshewhowtheymaygooninaperpetualchain。Butalas!onefatalcircumstancewasthereomitted;andnowthatithasbeentakenin,Ithinkitservesasadatum,toresolvethemostimportantproblemofthisscience,viz。Howtodeterminetheexactextentofpubliccredit。Thesolutionofwhichis,Thatitisnotnecessarythatpubliccreditshouldeverfail,fromanyaugmentationofdebtswhatever,duetonatives;

  andthatitmustfail,sosoonasthenationbecomestotallyunableeithertoexportcommoditiesequaltoalltheirimportsandforeigndebts,ortopayoffaproportionalpartoftheircapital,sufficienttoturnthebalancetotherightside。

  Fromthispropositiontwocorollariesmaybedrawn。

  First,Thatthemostimportantobjectinpayingoffdebts,istogetquitofthoseduetostrangers。

  Secondly,Thatwhatevercircumstancehasatendencytowardsdiminishingtheburdenofforeigndebts,shouldbeencouraged。

  Ifitbesaid,thatwheneverourforeigndebtsexceedthebalanceofourtrade,thebestwaywouldbetobreakfaithwithstrangers,andkeepitwiththesubjectsofthestate:Ianswer,thatwerethethingpossible,whichIapprehenditisnot,theconsequencemightproveequallyhurtful。

  Thegreatestofalltheinconveniencesproceedingfromabankruptcy,istheruinofindustry,andthestopputtocirculation。Canitthenbesupposed,thatacountrymightexecutesoglaringaschemeoftreacherytoallherneighbours,andstillcontinuehercorrespondencewiththemintheopenwayoftrade?Certainlynot。Wereallforeigntradetobestoptatonce,whatarevolutionwoulditoccasion!Thecirculationofforeigntrade,inthecityofLondononly,exceedsperhapstheamountofallthetaxes。Astopputtothiswouldoccasionsuchastagnation,aswouldruinthenationasmuchasifthebankruptcyweretobecomeuniversal。Idonotherepretendminutelytotraceconsequences,whicharefinite:allthatcanbedone,istosuggesthints,whicheveryonemaypursue,inproportiontotheextentofhiscombinations。

  Theintentionoftouchinguponthissubjectatall,istoshew,thattheexpedientofaspunge,whichisfrequentlytalkedofasaremedyagainsttheconsequenceofdebts,is,perhaps,moredangerousthananythingwhichcanbeapprehendedfromthem。

  Thereasonis,thatthespungeimpliesamoresuddenbankruptcythananyonebroughtoninagradualway,bynaturalcauses。

  WerenaturalandirresistiblecausestotallytocutoffallprofituponthetradeofBritain,onecannotsayhowfartheothernationsofEuropemightnotfindittheirinteresttoassistus,providedwedidourutmosttopreserveourgoodfaithtothem。AndasIthinkIhavemadeitsufficientlyevidentthatnothingcanbegainedbyopenlyviolatingpublicfaith,thebestresolutionanationcantake,istoadheretoittothelastextremity,andtobanishfromtheirthoughtseveryideawhichmayberepugnanttoit。

  Chap。X

  MethodsofcontractingandpayingoffpublicDebtsWearenowtocollecttogether,inoneview,theseveralmethodsofcontractingandpayingoffthedebtsofanation。Suchmethodsmaybededuced,eitherfromprinciples,orfromwhatpracticehaspointedout。

  Thefoundationuponwhichpubliccreditisbuilt,istheexistenceofasureandsufficientfundforperformingtheengagementscontracted。

  When,intheearlytimesofpubliccredit,therepaymentofthecapitalwasanexpressconditionoftheloan,amuchmoreextensivepublicfundwasnecessarythanatpresent,whennomoreisrequiredthanthepaymentoftheinterest。Assuchfundsnevercanbeformedbutfromtaxes,orgeneralcontributionsfromthepeople,thegreatertheyare,thelargermustthecontributionbe。Wheneverthereforethereisoccasiontocontactdebt,thechiefobjectofastatesman’scareshouldbe,tomodelthespiritofhispeoplesoastodisposethemtoconcurintheproperresolutionstorendertheplanproposedaseasyaspossibleintheexecution。

  Inthefirstplace,thebodyofthepeoplemustbemadesensiblethattheconsequenceofcontactingdebtsmustimplyadiminutionupontheincomeofsomeindividuals;butthatthefewertheobstaclesthrowninthewayoftheloanare,thelesswillthisdiminutionbe。

  Inthesecondplace,hemustgaintheconfidenceofhispeople,sofarastoimpressthemwithafirmbeliefthathewillconsulttheirgood,andnothingelse,inwhatheundertakes。

  Andinthelastplace,hemustgaintheconfidenceofthosefromwhomheistoborrow;andconvincethemthatallcovenantsbetweenthepublicandthemwillbereligiouslyperformed。

  Inalimitedandfreegovernment,thesethreerequisitesareessentialtothefirmestablishmentofpubliccredit。

  Wherethepowerofthestatesmanisunlimited,hemaysubstitutehisauthorityoverthepeoplewhoaretopay,insteadofconfidence;butwithrespecttothosewhoaretolend,hewillfindnoroomforanysuchsubstitution:confidencehereistheonlyexpedient。

  Allthereforethatisrequiredofthestatesmanwithrespecttothepeople,istoenablethemtodowhatherequiresofthem。

  Forthispurposehemustestablishcreditwiththem,forfindingthecontributionsheistoexactofthem;becausetheywillhaveasmuchoccasionforcredit,inpayingwhatisdemandedofthembyauthority,ashehimselfhasinpayingwhatheisobligedtopay,inconsequenceofhisengagements。

  Ifthisgeneralplanbenotfollowed,theconsequencewillbe,thattheproduceoftaxeswillfailononehand,andpubliccreditontheother。

  Ifallthisoperationcannotbepreviouslyconcerted,theplanofborrowingmustbecircumscribedtofundspreviouslyestablished。

  Whenmoneyisborrowedbeforethefundbeprepared,everyobstaclewhichoccursinestablishingit,becomesadrawbackupontheconfidenceofthosewholend,andrenderstheconditionslessfavourabletothestatewhichborrows。

  Inthecontractofloan,thefirstarticletobeagreeduponistherateofinterest。Wehave,inthebeginningofthisbook,examinedthecausesofitsriseandfall;andhaveingeneraldetermined,thatwhenthedemandisforborrowing,interestrises;whenforlending,interestfalls。

  Astheobjectoftheborroweristohaveinterestlow,thestatesmanwhointendstoborrow,mustuseallpossiblemeanstoincreasethequantityofmoneyincirculation。

  Butifcoinalonebeusedasmoney,andifthiscoinbesentoutofthecountry,whenborrowed,andifwhatissentawaycannotbereplacedatwill,theschemeofaugmentingmoneybecomesimpracticable:itwilldailybecomemorescarce,moredifficulttoprocure,andinterestmustrisehighereveryday。

  Symbolicalorpapermoney,thatiscredit,mustthenbeestablishedathome,uponthefirmestbasis:thiswillenableeveryonetopaywhatheowes;consequently,thetaxeswillbepaid,thecreditorswillreceivewhatisduetothemregularly,moneywilleveryyearaugmentinproportionasdebtsarecontracted;andifborrowingdonotaugmentbeyondthisproportion,interestwillnotrise;andifborrowingshouldfallbelowthisproportion,interestwillsink。

  IsnotthiswholedoctrineverifiedinthestrongestmannerbytheoperationoftheMissisippi?AtthedeathofthelateKingofFrance,moneyhaddisappeared。Someyearsbefore,hehad,forsevenmillionsincoin,engagedhiskingdomforthirty-twomillions;uponadistantfundindeed,butstillitbecameadebttobepaid。Papermoneyhadnotbeenintroducedthreeyears,wheninterestfellto2percent。Thepaperindeedwasactuallyabubble;butwehaveshewnthatitbecamesofrombadmanagementonly。

  Bytheaugmentationofmoney,capitalsceasetobesovaluable。Bythemeltingdownofproperty,theverycapital,thoughinthehandsofthestate,maybeturnedintomoneybythecreditor,wheneverhehasoccasionforit;inthesamewayasthecoinwhichisburiedinthevaultsofthetown-houseofAmsterdam,isconstantlyperformingalltheusesofcirculation。

  Themethod,therefore,ofborrowingmoneytothebestadvantage,ispreviouslytoestablishafundofcredit,arisingfromannualtaxes;toprovidethepeoplewhoaretopaythem,withcreditormoneyinproportiontotheirpropertyorindustry;

  andtopreventthelatterfromeverfailingforwantofthemedium,money,forcaringiton。

  Ifintimeofpeaceinterestshallstandhigh,relativelytootherstateswithwhichyouareatwar,throwasmuchmoneyaspossibleintothehandsofyourcreditors,inpaymentofthedebtsalreadycontracted;becausethemoreyouthrowinthere,themoreyouwilldrawout,ifyouhaveoccasiontoborrowmore;

  andifyouhavenooccasiontoborrowmore,theloweryouwillreducetherateofinterest,byaugmentingthefundofmoneytobelent。

  FromtheseprinciplesIconclude,thateverynationwhichsetsoutbycontractingdebtswithitsowncitizens,mustbeginbyborrowinguponconditionofrepayingthecapitalinashorttermofyears。Thisisalsothebestmethodtoengagethepeopletocontributelargelywithoutmurmuring。Thereasonis,thatwhentaxesbegintobeimposed,themassofcirculationbecomesproportionallyaugmented;andthepayingbackofconsiderablesumstothecreditors,prevents,ontheonehand,thedebtsfromincreasingsofast,andsuppliescirculationandfacilitatesnewborrowingsontheother。Whilethisplanofaugmentingcirculationiscarryingon,thestatesmanmustpreventhisexpenceabroadfromdiminishingcirculationproportionallyathome。Thisistobeaccomplishedbyopeningloansforforeignexpenceinforeigncountries,andbypayingtheinterestonlyofsuchloans,withthegreatestpunctuality。

  Thedifficultyofperformingthis,isnoargumentagainstit。

  Itmusteitherbedone,orcreditwillbehurt;becausewithoutobtainingcreditabroad,itisimpossibletodefrayanyexpenceincurredabroad,beyondwhatthemetalsofyourcountryandtheexportsfromitcanpay:thatis,inotherwords,beyondthequantityofmetalsexported,andgeneralbalanceinyourfavouruponallreciprocalpaymentswiththeworld。

  Ifitbesaid,thatnationsneverpaytheinterestoftheirdebtsanywherebutathome,Ianswer,thatitissomuchtheworseforthem;becausewhereverthedebtsorinterestistobepaid,thelenderalwaysstateshisaccountasifthepaymentweremadeinhisownhouse。Alltheexpencetohimofsendinghismoneytotheplaceofsubscription,andofdrawingbackhisreturns,arecomparedwiththeinterestofferedbytheborrower;

  andifuponthewholethelenderfindhisaccountinthebargain,hesubscribes;otherwisenot。Sincethereforethemoneyborrowedmustinthiscasebesentabroad,itisanadvantagefortheborrowertobeunderanobligationtoprovideamethodofsendingit;andbythismeanshewillborrowcheaperthanhecando,whenherefundstoeverylenderallhisexpenceandtroubleingettinghisinterestremittedtohim。

  Iamnowdeducingprinciples,andthereforeshallnotenterintoadiscussionofthemanyobjectionswhichoccuragainstthisplan,fromforeignconsiderations;suchasthefacilityitmightprocuretoastatesmanindefraudinghisforeigncreditors,andseveralotherswhichmightbeformed:allIsayis,thatthisisacheaperandmoresystematicalwayofborrowing,andithasthisgoodeffect,thatitconstantlypointsoutthestateoftheexternaldebt,fromwhichaloneabankruptcyistobefeared。

  Wereafavourablebalancetoreturnafteranexpensivewar,thepaymentofthisforeigndebtwouldbetheconsequencethen,asmuchasnowwhenthepaymentismadeathome,andrathermoreso;becausewhoeverowedabalancetoEngland,IsupposewouldthenpayhisdebtsatLondon,withmoneyduebyEngland,payableatAntwerp,forexample;consequently,hewouldremitatdiscount;andwhenheremittedinfavourofanEnglishman,thedebtsmightbeconsideredasdischargedupontheforeignfund,andstateda-newuponthefundspayableinLondon。Couldthepaymentoftheinterestofthepublicdebtsberenderedsusceptibleofsuchtransfersuponalloccasions,itwould,I

  imagine,havearemarkableeffectinfavourofpubliccredit。

  Thisthoughtsuggesteditself,whileIwasconsideringthesituationofacountrywhereborrowingisinitsinfancy;anditoccurredasanexpedientforpreventingforeignexpencefromdrainingthecountryofthemoneynecessaryforcirculationathome。This,ineverycombinationofcircumstances,isthemostimportantobjectofastatesman’scare,whileheisengagedinwarsabroad。

  Nowwhetherthemoneyofacountrybepaperorcoin,itisequallytakenoutofcirculation,byeveryforeignpayment。Whenitiscoin,itgoesoutofthecountry,aswellasoutofcirculation:whenitispaper,itdoesnotgooutofthecountry,certainly,butbycominguponthedebtorinitforpayment,itisequallytakenoutofcirculation;andwhatthedebtorgivesforitviz。abillofexchangeuponanothercountrygoesoutofthecountry。Andunlessthisbillofexchangecanbepaidwithvalueexportedinmerchandize,itwillremainadebtuponthecountry,contractedinfavourofsomeothernation。

  ThisIhopewillbesufficienttorecalltomindwhathasbeensofullyexplainedinthe13thchapteruponbanks;wherethesamequestionwasstatedwithregardtothepaymentsScotlandwasobligedtomaketoEngland,towardstheendofthelastwar。Thesameprinciplesoperateinthecasebeforeus,andmaybeappliedtoeverycircumstanceofit;withthisdifferenceonly,thatherethestatesman’sinterestissupposedtobemorecloselyconnectedwiththatofhisbanksthanwasthecaseduringthedistressinScotland:becauseifhedonotsupportthembyasystematicalchainofconduct,hewilldrainthefundofcirculationbyhisremittances;hiscreditwillfail;histaxeswillnomorebepaid;andhispeoplewillbeoppressed。Butifhepursuehisplansystematically,circulationwillbekeptfull;hiscreditwillbesupported;histaxeswillbepaid;hispeoplewillbeeasy:

  becausenocheckwillbeputeithertotheirindustryorconsumptionforwantofmoney;agreatpartofthesolidpropertywillbemelteddownintomoney;whateverpartofthismoneyislenttothestatewillbe,bythatoperation,consolidatedintoanewspeciesofproperty,thepublicfunds;andif,aftertheborrowingschemeisoverthatis,whenpeaceisrestored

  circulationshouldbecontracted,apartofthemoneywillthenstagnateinthehandsofindividuals,andwill,intheirfavour,berealizedinthatpartofthesolidpropertywhichwasformerlymelteddowninordertoproduceit。Thatis,landswillbesoldbytheformerproprietors,andwillbeacquiredbythosewhohavemoneynotrealizedinstock;andforwhichmoney,circulationhasnofartherdemand。Thisisthereasonwhy,attheendofeverywarwhichhasrunthenationindebt,landshaveconstantlyrisenintheirvalue,evenwhenconsiderablequantitiesofthemhavebeenofferedtosale。

  Ifitbesaidthatthestock-holdersarethosewhomwecommonlyseebuyingthelands,andnotthosewhohavesumsnotrealized:

  Ishall,inanswer,observe,thatthestock-holderscannotbuylandsunlesstheyselltheirstock,tothosewhohavemoneynotrealized;soitisstillthemoneynotrealizedwhichisemployedinbuyingeveryarticleofsolidproperty:andevenafterthisoperation,thesamemoneywillstillremainincirculationasbefore;becauseitisimpossibletorealizeevenpapermoneyitself,exceptwhenthecreditorinitbecomesproprietorofthepropertyuponwhichitissecured;andifthemoneybecoin,itisplainthatthiscannotberealizedanyfartherthanitisbynature。Whenthereforewesay,thatamanrealizeshismoney,wedonotmeananythingfarther,thanthathegiveshismoneytoanotherinexchangeforsolidproperty。

  Thuswhenanestateisboughtinacountrywherebanksuponmortgageareestablished,apartofthepriceiscommonlytakenoutofcirculationaltogether;becauseinconsequenceofthepricepaid,thebankisrefundedwhatithadmelteddownofthelandsold;consequently,thispaperbecomesconsolidateda-new,asitwere,withthelandswhicharerelievedofthemortgage。

  Butwhenlandsaresoldinacountrywherethereisnopaper,thepriceremainsincirculationasbefore;andifthequantityofcoinincirculationshouldexceedtheusesforit,acasewhichseldomhappensinthesedays,itwouldbeexported,andrealizedabroad。

  Whenthiscomplicatedandsystematicalschemeofcreditisnotestablished,thefallibleconsequenceis,thatmoneydisappears:consequently,interestrises。Thetaxesformerlyimposedcannotbepaid:consequently,itisinvaintoseektoaugmentthem;becauseinproportionastheyareaugmented,theybecomelessproductive。Ifmoneybeborroweduponremotefunds,engagedforotherdebtspreviouslycontracted,andifpublicfaithbeatalleventstobepreserved,theconsequencemustthenbe,thatthepublicwillbeeatupbyusurers。

  ThiswasthecaseinEnglandduringthewarsofQueenAnne。

  Soearlyas1706,government,ashasbeensaid,begantoborrowat6percentuponfundsalreadyengaged。Whatwastheconsequence?Theexchequerhavingnomoneytopaytheinterestasitfelldue,paidwithtallies;thesefelltogreatdiscount,andhadtheyremainedlonginthatdiscreditedsituation,lendingwouldhavestopt,orinterestwouldhaverisen,asinFrance,sohighastolosethenameofinterestaltogether。Thiswasthecase,intheexampleabovecited,whensevenmillionsreadymoney,borrowedbythelatekingofFrance,becameadebtofthirty-twomillionsonthestate。

  Upontheoccasionabovementioned,governmentavailedthemselvesofthebankofEngland,asIsayeveryprivatecitizenshouldhaveapowertodo,oneveryoccasion,whenhiscreditisgood,thoughmoneyshouldfailhim。Theyengagedthebanktodiscountalltalliesissuedfortheinterestofdebts;thatis,inotherwords,toturnthosesticksintomoney:butaspubliccreditwassolowthatmoneycouldnotbefoundtodischargeeventheinterestoftheadvancemadebythebank,thegovernmentconsented,thatalladvancesofthatkindshouldbearcompoundinterestquarterly,at6percent。Whatamonstrousprofittothebank!whatachargeuponthestate!Hadabankofcirculationuponmortgagesbeenestablishedatthattime,moneywouldhavecomeinatamoderatesimpleinteresttoindividuals,whowouldhaveavailedthemselvesofthem,forthepaymentofallpublicburdens。Insteadofwhich,industrywasmadeto,sufferthepublicmoneydidnotcomein;taxationstopt;expenceswenton,anddeficiencieswerepaidbythepublicatthismonstrouscharge。

  Ontheotherhand,haditnotbeenfortheassistancethebankthengavethestate,incirculatingthoseexchequertallies,bills,&c。itisverycertainthatcreditwouldhavefailedastotallyinEnglandasithaddoneinFrancein1708,whenDesmaretzundertookthefinances。Thisministerhadnobanktoavailhimselfof,andaccordinglyherunFranceindebtattherateoftwohundredmillionsoflivresperannum,duringsevencampaigns;ofwhich,Iampersuaded,hedidnotreceiveonehalf,ornearit,ineffectivevalue。

  WhatIhavesaidwill,Ihope,besufficienttoshewthattheonlywayforanystatetoborrow,ispreviouslytoprovideafundformakinggoodwhatisagreeduponwiththelenders;andthatallexpedientstosupplythewantofitwillintheendbringgreatexpenceuponthepeople,eitherbyinvolvingtheminanexcessiveburdenofdebts,incasepublicengagementsshouldbeheldsacred,ashasconstantlybeenthecaseinGreatBritain;orbydrivingthestatetoabankruptcy,aswasthecaseinFranceuponthedeathofthelateKing。Icallitabankruptcy,becauseallthatwasowingwasnotpaid。Amanwhopaysnomorethan19s。

  113/4d。inthepound,isabankrupt,aswellashewhocannotpayonefarthing。

  Icomenexttothemethodsofpayingoffdebtswhenalreadycontracted。

  Publicdebtsmaybedividedintotwoclasses,redeemableandirredeemable。Redeemabledebtsmaybepaidoffinseveralways,whichweshallbrieflyenumeratebeforewecomparetheirseveraladvantages。

  Firstthen,suchdebtsmaybepaidoffatonce,byrefundingtothecreditorsthewholecapital,withallarrearsofinterest。

  Secondly,Theymaybepaidoffyearly,accordingtoacertainruletodeterminethepreference,andorderofpayment:forthispurpose,adeterminatesummustbesetapartasasinkingfundfordischargingthecapitalandinterest。

  Thirdly,Theymaybepaidoffcumulativelyandproportionallyeveryyear,byincorporatingthesinkingfundintothemoneyappropriatedfordischargingtheinterest,andbyplacingallthatispaidbeyondtheinterest,aspaymentinpartofthecapital。

  Fourthly,Theymaybepaidinonesense,asshallbefartherexplainedbyreducingtheinterestuponthecapitals,withoutdiminishingthem。

  Fifthly,Theymaybepaidoffbyconvertingthemintoannuitiesforlives。

  Sixthly,Andlastly,theymaybepaidoffbelowthevalueofthecapitals,bythemeansoflotteries;wherethestatemaygainwhatthecreditorschoosetolosefromadesireofgaming。

  Tooneorotherofthesemethods,maybereducedallthefairandhonestexpedientswhichastatemayemploytogetridofitsdebts,withoutanybreachofpublicfaith,orwithoutproceedingtotheextremityofprescribingconditionsofpayment,whichthecreditorsareforcedtoacceptagainsttheirwill。

  Asfortheirredeemabledebts,Iapprehend,that,withoutconsentofthecreditors,nochangeupontheconditionofloancanjustlybemade。

  Ishallnextpointouttheadvantagesanddisadvantagesoftheseveralmethodsofdischargingdebts,astheymayaffecttheseparate,orcumulativeinterestofastate。

  Werelargedebtswhichhavesubsistedforalongtimetobepaidoffallatonce,itwouldoccasionasuddenandaviolentrevolution,whichisalwaysattendedwithinconveniences。

  Were,forexample,theproprietorsoflandstoconsenttoselloffapartoftheirestatesforthepaymentofthepublicdebts,thequantityoflandbroughttomarket,wouldsinkthepriceofitveryconsiderably;fromwhichwouldariseagreatdetrimenttolandlords。Ishallnothereinquirefromwhencesuchasumofmoneycouldcome;thatitmaybeproducedisverypossible,fromwhathappenedinFranceintheyear1720。

  CouldatreasurebebroughtfromIndialetmesuppose

  sufficientatoncetodischargethedebtsofGreatBritain,circulationwouldbecomesogluttedwithmoney,thatinterestwouldfalltonothing。Thiswouldbeatemporarylosstoalltheformercreditors,untiltheyhadtimetolendtotheotherstatesofEurope;whowould,inconsequenceofthiscircumstance,sinktherateofinterestupontheirowndebts。SomethinglikethiswastheconsequenceofpayingoffallthedebtsofFrancewithbanknotesin1720,uponwhichinterestfell,aswehaveobservedabove,to2percent。

  When,inthesecondplace,debtsarepaidoffpartiallyeveryyear,accordingtoacertainrule,itisexpedienttohavethecapitalsreducedintosharesofadeterminatevalue,asisthepracticeinFrance,thattheymaybedrawnoutasinalottery。

  Thelotsdrawnmaythenbepaid,andnodetrimentwillfollowtoanyparticularcreditor,morethantoanother。becauseifbybeingpaidtherebeeitherprofitorlosstothecreditor,itwillaffectthevalueofthewholestockinproportion。If,upontheestablishmentofsuchaplan,thestockbefoundtorise,itwillbeaproofthateithertheinterestformerlypaidwasbelowthecommonrate,orthatthecreditofthestatewaslookeduponasprecarious:ifitshouldsink,contraryconclusionsmaysafelybedrawn。

  ThisisacommonmethodofpayingoffdebtsinFrance,wherefundsaremorecommonlydividedintosharesthaninGreatBritain。

  In1759,theKingopenedasubscriptionforseventy-twomillionsoflivresuponthegeneralfarms:thissumwasdividedintoseventy-twothousandactions,bearing5percentanditwasstipulated,thatupontherenewalofthefarmsin1762,twelvethousandactionsshouldbedrawnbylot,andpaidoffmonthly;sothatinsixmonthsthewholedebtwastobedischarged。Thethirdmethodofapplyingwhatisannuallypaidabovetheinterest,inextinctionofthecapital,isthemeasureproposedbyCardinaldeRichlieufordischargingthedebtsofFrances。onlytheCardinalwenttoworkinaveryarbitraryway,bothindeterminingtheinterest,andinfixingavalueuponthecapital,equallydetrimentaltothecreditors。

  Toapplythistoanexample。HadEnglandatthetimegovernmentfirstestablishedasinkingfund,arisingoutofthesavingswhichweremadeuponreducingtherateofinterest,fromtimetotime,continuedtopaytothecreditorsthesameannualsumsasformerly;andtherebyappliedwhatwaspaidbeyondtheinterest,tothepaymentofthecapital,therecouldnothavebeenanymisapplicationofthesinkingfund;andthedebtsbythistimewouldhavebeengreatlydiminished。Whereasbyapplyingthesinkingfundtotheserviceoftheyear,fortheeaseofthepeopleandadvantagetothecreditors,theconsequencesmayproveexceedinglyinconvenient。

  ThefourthmethodofreducingdebtsisthatadoptedbyGreatBritain,viz。byreducingtheinterestpaiduponthem。Fromthiswediscoverthereasonwhytaxes,evenintimeofwar,areseldomaugmentedinthiskingdommuchabovetheproportionoftheinterestofthemoneyborrowed。

  Wehave,inthesecondchapterofthefirstbook,boldlydeclaredthistobeagainstprinciples,andtheauthorsofsuchaschemeweretherestigmatizedasmenofnoforesight:wenowseehowmuchpeoplemaybemistakenintheirconclusionsinpoliticalmatters,whentheyareformedupontoonarrowcombinations。

  Werecapitalsintendedevertobepaid,nodoubttheconclusionwouldbejust;butifitberesolved,thatcapitalsshallneverbeconsideredastheobjectofattention,andthattheinterestaloneshallbelookeduponastherealburden,thenallpaymentofcapitalsisunnecessary,exceptsofarasbypayingapartofthem,itmayservetoreducetheinterestupontherest,bymakingmoneyregorgeinthemarketbeyondtheusesfoundforit。

  Thisplancannotbecarriedonwhileanationisengagedinanexpensivewar,whichabsorbsallthemoneytobelent:butitbecomestheobjectofastatesman’scare,afterpeaceisrestored,andwhentradebeginstobringinabalanceuponexportations。

  Wehaveseenhowthisbalancetendseveryyeartodiminishthecapitalsduetostrangers,andtokeepmoneyathome。Thenisthetimetoextendtaxationbeyondtheusesfoundformoneytopaytheinterest。Twoorthreemillionsextraordinary,raisedatthecloseofawar,andthrownintothehandsofthecreditorsofGreatBritain,inextinctionoftheircapitals,wouldsoonengagethemtocryformercy。TheywouldfindnooutletbutFranceforsuchsums;anditispreciselyafterawar,thatFranceisbusyinplayingoffthearbitraryoperationsonherdebts,whichreduceshercredittoolowforanyonetotrustherwithmoney。

  Letpeacecontinueforatractofyears,confidencewillthereadvanceapace,andthenitwillbecomemoredifficulttomakemoneyregorgeinEngland。

  Tosaythattaxesarealreadybeyondallbounds,is,inotherwords,tosaythenationisnomoreinastateofdefence:

  because,shouldBritainbeagaininvolvedinanunavoidablewar,theconsequencewillbe,eithertorendermoretaxesindispensable,ortoobligethenationtosubmittoanytermsdemandedbyherenemies。

  Ifitbethereforetrue,thattaxesmaystillbeaugmented,themostpropertimeforaugmentingthem,is,attheverycloseofawar;becausetheneverycircumstancefavoursthescheme,asweshallnowexplain。

  Wehavesaidabove,andexperienceprovesthetruthofit,thatattheendofawarcirculationbecomestoofullfordomesticuses;andthatthesuperfluityofmoneyisrealizeduponproperty。Thisistheconsequenceofasuddenstopinnationalexpence。Weretaxesatsuchatimeaugmented,partofthisregorgingmoneywouldfindaventbytheaugmentationupondomesticcirculationwhichtaxeswouldoccasion;whichaugmentationwouldcirculateintotheexchequer,insteadofbecomingconsolidatedwithproperty,ashasbeensaid,andcomingintothehandsofgovernment,wouldbepouredintothoseofthecreditors,inpaymentofpartoftheircapitals。Thereitwouldregorgeanew;becauseitisobserved,ingeneral,thatthosewhohavepropertyinthefundsarenotapttosquandermoneywhenunexpectedlythrownintotheirhands;onthecontrary,theyarecommonlyfoundtoliveverymuchwithintheirincome。8*

  Butsupposeitshouldnotimmediatelyregorge,itwouldthenincreaseexpenceandconsumption;consequently,wouldadvanceindustry,andrendereverybranchofexcisemoreproductive。Ineverysuppositionwecanmake,publicopulencewouldbeaugmented:moneywouldregorgeatlast;andthenthecreditorswouldcomewiththeirapplicationtogovernmenttosuspendthereimbursementofcapitals,andtoaccept,inlieuofthat,adiminutionupontheinterest。

  Thisisthegoldenopportunityfordiminishingthepublicburdenoccasionedbydebts;andthismethodofcompassingsodesirableanend,isfarpreferabletothatofcompellingcreditorstosubmittoadiminution,byofferingasuddenreimbursement,whichwasputinpracticeinBritainintheyear1749,ashasbeenobserved。Hadthepublicwaitedwithpatienceoneyearlonger,andthenthrowninafewmillionsmorethantheydidintothehandsofthecreditors,theproposalofreducingtheinterestwouldhavecomefromtheotherquarter;whichinallbargainswithcreditorsisofthegreatestconsequencetothedebtor。

  Thesumofinterestthusdiminished,uponanobligationtosuspendthereimbursementsofcapitalsforalimitedtime,threequestionswillnaturallyoccur:1。Whetherthetaxesshouldbediminishedinproportion:or2。Iftheyshouldbeallowedtosubsistwithaviewtoapplytheoverplusofthemtonationalpurposes:or3。Whetheritmaynotbemostadviseabletoturnsuchapartofthedebtsintoannuitiesforlives,asmayabsorbthesavingupontheformerinterestpaid。ThefirsttwoquestionsIreserveforthefollowingbook,wheretheywillbefullyexamined;thelastisthefifthexpedientalreadyproposedforacquittingthepublicdebts。Asthenatureofitisabundantlyevident,IshallrepeatonlywhatIformerlyobserved,namely,thatthismethodofestablishingasinkingfund,hastheadvantageofbeinglessexposedtomisapplicationsthananyother。

  Thelastexpedientofpayingoffcapitals,belowtheoriginalvalue,bythemeansoflotteries,shouldtakeplaceonlyaftertheinterestofmoneyisbroughtsolowastocutoffanynearprospectofreducingitstillfarther。

  Ishallnotpretendtoguessatthelowestpointtowhichtherateofinterestmaybebrought,bytheexpedientsofincreasingmoneyatwill,bythemeansofbanksuponmortgage。Ihaveintheseventhchapterofthefirstpartofthisbook,thrownoutahintofaland-bank,whichopensaverywidefieldofspeculation;butinthisplace,itwouldbeunnecessarytoenlargeuponthatsubject。

  LetmesupposetherateofinterestbroughtlowerinBritainthananywhereelse,itwillneverthelessbesubjecttoperiodicalrisings,onmanyoccasions。

  Uponeverysuchemergency,capitalswillsinkinthemarketbelowpar。

  Itisthenonlythatastatecanhaverecoursetothislastexpedientofopeninglotteries,andtakinginsubscriptionsatthemarketpriceofthefundssubscribedintothem。Andalthoughtheannuitiestobepaiduponthelotteryfundberegulatedbytherateofinterestatthetime,andconsequentlyabovethestandardoftheotherdebts;yetthesamemethodsofreducingitafterwardswillconstantlyproducetheireffects,andtherebydiminishthecapitalbydegrees。

  Inlikemanner,intimeofwar,whenthepublicfundsfallgreatlyintheirprice,governmentmayopennewsubscriptions,andreceivepaymentforthemintheirownpaperatthemarketprice,allowingasmallpremiumintherateofinterest。Ifthecreditorswillinglysubscribeupontheseconditions,noviolationofpublicfaithcanbealleged。Bythisoperation,thecapitalswillbediminished,andtheadvancedrateofinterestpaidduringthewar,willreturnuponthepeacetowhereitwas:thenthenewsubscriptionsmaybepaidoff,orsubscribedforagainatalowerratethanbefore。

  Supposeitthenresolved,thatintimeofwar,thenation’screditorsshouldbeallowed,atcertaintimes,tosubscribetheircapitalsinbooksopenedatthebankforthatpurpose,onequarterpercent。abovethesellingprice。Wouldnotthishavethegoodeffectofsupportingthepriceofstocksononehand,andofreducingthecapitalofthenationaldebtupontheother?

  Example:

  Letmesupposethatintimeofwar,the3percents。sellat743/4,mightnotgovernmentreceivethemat75,andconstitutethenewsubscriptionat4percent?Whatinterestcouldanyonehavenottosubscribe,whoatsuchatimeintendstosellhisstock?His3percentsoldtogovernmentat75,andturnedintoa4percent。wouldafterwards,whensoldinthemarket,produce1/4percentmorethanifithadnotbeensubscribedintothenewfund。

  PerhapsinChangeAlley,wherecalculationiscarriedtotheutmostpitchofrefinement,eventhiseventualadvantagetogovernmentmightsinkthevalueofthenew4percents。Letthisbeallowed。Theansweris,thatwhenpeoplecomputewithsuchnicety,andcomprehendintheircalculationseverycircumstancethemostminute,itis,Ithink,theinterestofastatewhoseviewsshouldextendfarbeyondtheperiodofhumanlifetograntapremiumuponsuchsubscriptionsmorethansufficienttoindenmifythesubscribers,accordingtothemostrigidcalculationconcerningtheirpresentadvantage。

  Thesmallestprofittobediscoveredbythenicestpenwillengagethemoniedmantosubscribe;consequently,thecapitalsofdebtsmaybediminished,atalosstothepublicalmostimperceptible。Andforthisimperceptiblelossinthemeantime,thegreatestnationaladvantagemaybeobtainedatadistantperiod。

  Itisnowfulltimetoclosethisbook,whichhasswelledfarbeyonditsdueproportion。Thesubjectofcreditanddebtsissoconnectedwithmanyquestionsrelatingtotaxes,andtotheapplicationoftheiramount,thattheunityofthesubjectwouldhavesufferedlittleinblendingthemtogether。ButasIfindittobeagreatrelieftothememorytointerpose,nowandthen,apause;andastaxeswereintendedtobetreatedofbythemselves,accordingtotheplanIatfirstproposed,Ishallmakenoalterationinit。

  Attheendofthefirstandsecondbooks,Isubjoinedachapterofrecapitulation;inthethirdbook,thiswassuppliedbyaveryfulltableofcontents;here,becauseoftheintimateconnectionofthesubjectofthisandthefollowingbook,Ishallreferthereadertotheendofthevolume,forafullrecapitulationofboth。

  NOTES:

  1。AfterthelongandparticularaccountIhavegivenoftheMissisippi,Ishallnotenterintoalikedetailconcerningaschemewhichproceededupontheverysameprinciples;towit,theartificallyraisingthevalueofastock,bypromisingdividends,outoffundswhichwerenowiseproportionedtothem。

  Ishalltherefore,inaveryfewwords,firstcomparesomeoftheoperationsoftheSouthSeaschemewiththoseoftheMissisippi;andindoingit,pointouttheprincipaldifferencesbetweenthem。

  ThegreatprofitsupontheMissisippiwereexpectedfromtheinterestpaidbygovernmentforthegreatloan,fromthefarmsoftherevenue,andfromtheprofitsupontheirtrade。

  ThoseoftheSouthSeawere,atsettingout,first,Theprofitsupontheirtrade:secondly,Theallowancemadethembygovernmentfortheexpenceofmanagement:thirdly,Thedifferenceofreceiving5percentforthemoneytheylaidoutinpurchasingthepublicdebts,whenmoneywasat4percentasitwaswhentheschemewassetonfoot:andfourthly,Thesurplusmoneysubscribedintothestockabovepar,inconsequenceoftheartificesusedtoenhancethevalueofit。

  Thesevenmillionstheyweretopaytothestate,seeminglyfornovaluereceivedwereasortofcompensationforreceivingthe5percentfor7years,atatimewhenmoneywasworthnomorethan4percent。

  Theseadvantagesraised,atfirst,thevalueoftheoriginalstockofelevenmillions。Theconsequencewas,thattheproprietorsofthe16millionsoftheredeemabledebts,whichweretobeboughtin,whentheycametosubscribetheircapitalsintothenewstock,transactedthemataproportionaldiscount;

  whichdiscount,beinggoodagainstthegovernmentinfavourofthecompany,servedtodischargeproportionallythesevenmillionsthecompanywastopay。Thisgaveanadditionalvaluetothestock;andsoitrose,greatlyindeedabovethisproportion。

  Thenthecompanypromisedadividendof10percentforonehalfyear,upontheircapital,atmidsummer1720;thisdividendwastobepaidinstock,whichwasconstantlyrisinginitsvalue;butnoinformationwasevergiventothepublicconcerningthefundswhichweretoproducethisdividend;soeveryoneconcludedthattherewerehiddentreasuresinthehandsofthecompanywhichenabledittopromisesuchlargedividends。Accordingly,stockrosefrom300percentto375;thento400,andatlastto1000

  percent;andinproportionasitrose,thewealthoftheformersubscribersaugmentedfromthesurplusabovepar,paidbythelatter,andthosewhosubscribedlast,boreallthelossupontheblowingupofthescheme。

  ButonegreatdifferencebetweentheSouthSeaandMissisippi,wasthis:ThatinFrancetherewasabundanceofmoneyinthehandsofthepublic,forpurchasingtheactions,attheexorbitantpricetowhichtheyrose;butinEnglandtherewasnot:consequently,inFrance,therateofinterestfellto2percentandinEngland,thegreatdemandformoneytoborrow,raiseditbeyondallbounds。

  Thosewhosubscribedinmoney,paiddownnomorethan10percentatsubscribing;butbecameboundtopayuptheremainder。

  Butwhenthestocktumbled,peoplewerebetterpleasedtolosethe10percenttheyhadpaid,thantopayuptheremaining90

  percentaccordingtothetermsatsubscribing。Thoseindeedwhosubscribedtheirformercapitalsatavastdiscount,didnotlabourunderthesameinconvenienceforwantofmoney;butthisdiscountbecameasrealalosstothem,asthecashsubscribedbecamealosstothemoneysubscribers,themomentthatthosewhowereinthesecret,andwho,bythemostinfamouschainofartifices,hadblownupthepublicfrenzy,begantorealizeandsellout,andthatthewholewasdiscoveredtobeacheat。Sothatuponthewhole,theEnglishschemehadintrinsicallyamuchworsefoundationthantheFrench。Thefirstblewupfromanabsolutenecessity,andforwantofanybottomatall;thelastfrommisconduct,andratherfromfollythanknavery。Ireturntoanaccountofthescheme。

  TheoriginalcapitaloftheSouthSeacompany,was11,750,000

  l。Theredeemabledebtswhichtheproprietorsofthiscapitalafterwardsproposedtopurchase,amountedto16,750,000l。;andthevalueoftheirredeemable,orwhatwerecalledtheabsoluteterms,wascomputedat15,058,000l。together31,808,000l。

  sterling。

  Theproprietorsofthisoriginalcapitalof11,750,000l。

  consultedtheirownadvantageonly,inpurchasinginthislargesumofdebts,whichweretobeconvertedintoadditionalstock;

  andthereforesoundedveryhighthegreatadvantagesofsuchatransformationofthem;first,Fromtheprofitsofthetrade,whichtheyweretoenjoyexclusively。And,secondly,Fromthegreatadditiontotheirwealth,fromtheconstantrisinginthepriceoftheirstock。Theycarriedtheirviewstonothinglessthanobtainingamajorityinthehouseofcommons,bytheweightoftheirwealth,andofbecomingtheabsoluterulersofthenation。

  Thepublicbeingfromthebeginningintoxicatedwithsuchideas,subscriptionsforstockwereopenedat200percentabovepar;andsomeoftheproprietorsofthe31,808,000l。subscribedatfirsttheircapitalsataproportionaldiscount;thatis,theymadeoveradebtof100l。for331/3inSouthSeastock;andsuccessivelythesubscriptionroseto1000percent。Theseimmenseprofitsbeingincorporatedintothegainsofthegeneralstock,wereproportionallysharedbythesubscribersthemselves,whobecameproprietors;andthehigherthestockrose,themorethesegainsaugmented。Thisinfluencedtheinfatuation;andthedividendsaugmentinginproportiontothepriceofsubscription,thereappearednoendoftherisingofthestock。

  Thefirstdividendoffered,ashasbeensaid,was10percenthalf-yearlyinstock;thiswasafterwardsconvertedintonolessthan30percentinmoney,forthathalf-year:andwhenstockroseto1000,adividendofnolessthan50percentperannum,inmoney,waspromisedfortwelveyearstocome。

  Hadstockrisento2000percentthedividendcouldhaveaseasilybeencarriedto100percentperannum,asithadbeento50percentwhenat1000。

  Butwhencewasthisdividendtobepaid?Thecompanyandthedirectorstookgoodcarenevertogivetothepublicanylightastothisparticular。

  Toprevent,therefore,suchabusesintherisingoftheSouthSea,itoughttohavebeenprovidedbyparliament,thatintakinginsubscriptions,andofferingdividends,thedirectorsshould,ontheonehand,haveinformedthepublic,first,Ofthemoneyowingtothembygovernment,secondly,Ofthemoneygainedbythesubscriptionsabovepar。Andthirdly,Oftheprofitsupontheirtrade。And,ontheotherhand,ofthedebtsduebythem;andofthenettbalanceupontheirbooks,intheirfavour。

  Thiswouldhavebeenfairdealing。Buttopretendthenecessityofsecrecy,inapointwhereanationisinterested,wasinitselfamerepretext;andhaditbeenotherwise,itmighthavebeenanswered,thatacompanywhichisobligedtohaverecoursetosuchsecrets,oughttobepreventedfromdealingwiththosewhoweretoremainignorantofthem,howeverdeeplyinterested。

  2。Thismayseemahighvaluation,andis,infact,farbeyondwhatanyofthoseannuitiessoldfor:butastheinterestofmoneycannotbeestimated,foraconstancy,atmorethan3percentandthatprobablythebestliveswerechosen,thevaluetogovernmentofsuchannuitiesmaywellbeestimatedat20yearspurchase。ByDeMoivre’stables,annuitiesforthemostfavourableages,interestbeingat3percentarevaluedat19。87

  yearspurchase;andhisvaluationsaregenerallyallowednottobetoohigh。

  3。Theannuitiesof1757,areestimated,bytheauthoroftheConsiderationonTradeandFinances,at472,500l。orat14

  years’purchase;andtheannuitiesof1761,1762,at6,826,875l。

  orat271/2years’purchase。Butthisvaluationseemstoolow。

  4。Thisquestionhasbeendeterminedintheaffirmative,inapamphletascribedtoMrG。Grenville,entitled,ThePresentStateoftheNation,an。1768:page12inthenote。

  5。Ifindthatthesinkingfundisnowestimatedat2,100,000l。

  bytheauthoroftheConsiderationsonTrade,etc。abovecited。I

  amalsoinformedthatthenetproduceofthecustomsexceeds2,200,000l。considerably:but4,600,000l。isratherthegrossthanthenetproduceofthepermanentdutiesofexcise;thatis,ofalltheexciseduties,exceptingtheannualmalt-duty。Itmustalsobeobserved,thattheannuitiespayabletothenationalcreditorsamounted,the5thJanuary1764,tomorethan4,720,000

  l。Butontheotherhand,theinterestoftheunfunded9millionsisratedtoohigh,asappearsfromtheauthorabovequoted。I

  cannotpretendtogiveexactdetails。Thegeneralsketchherestatedissufficientformypurpose。

  6。Theloanof1766,was1,500,000l。at3percent。Everysubscriberfor100l。hadanannuityof3percenton60l。and4

  lotterytickets,valuedtothembygovernmentat10l。each,inall100l。Theprizesandblanksinthelotteryamountto600,000

  l。andbear3percentpaidbygovernment。Theannuitiesamountto900,000l。andbearalso3percent。Thenumberofticketsare60,000。Henceat10l。each,theyamountto600,000l。

  Theadvantagegovernmentreapsbythiswayofborrowing,is,thatthedesireofgaming,raisesthelotteryticketsabovetheirvalue,whenthrownintothehandsofthepublic;andthisadvancedvaluebeingaprofittothosewhoreceivetheminpartoftheirsubscription,thisprofittheysharewithgovernment。

  Example。InApril1766,whengovernmentborrowed1,500,000l。at3percent,the3percentswereat89:consequently,thedifferencebetween89and100,whichis11l。musthavebeensupposedtobethesumwhichthesubscribers,fromthepropensityofpeopletogame,hadareasonable,orratheracertainexpectationofgaininguponthesaleof4lotterytickets,thatis,2l。15s。uponeveryone。

  Toknowthereforetherealparofalotteryticket,youmustproceedthus:itcoststhesubscribers10l。forwhichtheyreceivefromgovernment3percent。This10l。as3percentsstoodat89,isworthatthatratenomorethan8l。18s。Addtothissumwhatthepublicmustpayforthelibertytoplay,whichwehavestatedaboveat2l。15s。andyouhavetheexactparofalotteryticketat11l。13s。

  Whatevertheysellatabove11l。13s。isprofittothesubscribers,whatevertheysellbelow11l。13s。isalosstothem。

  Thisprofitthoughsmallinappearance,isgreatlyincreasedfromanothercircumstance,viz。

  Thatthesubscribersmayselltheirsubscriptionsatatimewhentheyhavereallyadvancedbutasmallpartofit。Thefirstpaymentiscommonlyof15percentontheirsubscription:whentheysell,theymakethisprofituponthewholecapital。Supposethen15percentpaidin:iftheprofituponsellingbenomorethan1percentuponthecapital,that1percentturnsoutnolessthan62/3percentuponthemoneytheyhaveadvanced。Thusapersonwhoispossessedof1500l。only,maysubscribefor10,000l。inthisloan:hepaysinhis1500l。andreceiveshissubscription;whenhesells,hesells10,000l。subscription,uponwhichhegains1percent,1percent。of10,000l。is100

  l。soinonemonthsupposehegainsbythismeans100l。fortheuseof1500l。Butasacounterbalanceforthisprofit,herunstheriskofthefallingofthesubscription,whichinvolveshiminaproportionallossifhesellsout;orintheinconvenienceofadvancingmoremoneythanhehadtoemployinthatway,incaseheshouldpreferkeepinghissubscriptionforalongertime,inhopesofariseinthepublicfunds。Bythismodeofborrowing,governmentprofitsbythedispositionofthepeopletogame。Butthispropensityhasitsbounds,andatpresentitisfoundbyexperiencenottoexceed60,000lotterytickets,or60,000l。Were,therefore,asubscriptionof3millionstakeninuponthesameplanwiththepresentof1,500,000l。theregorgingnumberofticketswouldsoglutthemarket,thatthewholewouldfallbelowtheparoftheirsupposedvalue。

  7。Wemustalwayscarefullyavoidconfoundingthegrandbalanceofpaymentswiththebalancebetweenimportationandexportation,whichIconsiderasthebalanceoftrade。

  8。Experienceshews,thatwhenthedebtsofanationhavecometoaheight,thepubliccreditorsbecomepeopleofgreatconsequence,uponaccountoftheeaseandaffluenceoftheircircumstances。Theyarenotexposedtothemanyhiddenexpencesincidenttolandproprietors。Theyareaclassinthestatebutlatelyknown;thecapitaloftheirwealthishidden;andopinionsconcerningtheirrank,andthefiguretheyoughttomake,areasyetunformed。Whereasthefamilyofalandproprietorisknown;

  hisexpencemaysurpassthatofhispredecessorswithoutmuchobservation;butifitshouldfallbelowit,hecommonlysinksintheestimationofhisneighbours,whoseldomputcircumstancestogetherwhichcanonlybeguessedat。Anheirtoalandedestate,isbredupfromhisinfancywiththenotionoflivinglikehisfather:thesonofamoniedmanhascommonlyverydifferentsentiments;andevenwhenanyofthisclasstakesaturntoexpence,thelustreofitisalldisplayedroundhisownbody;thatis,inhisownhouse,andinhisownfamily:nocountryseats,hounds,horses,servantsineveryquarter,familyinteresttokeepup,littleeconomyinspending。Inaword,everyonefeelsbetterthanIcandescribethatlandedmencommonlyexceed,andmoniedmencommonlylivewithintheirincome。

  AnInquiryintothePrinciplesofPoliticalOeconomyBookV

  OfTaxes,andoftheProperApplicationoftheirAmountIntroductionThesubjectoftaxesissocloselyconnectedwitheverybranchofpoliticaloeconomy,thatIhavenotbeenabletoavoidanticipatingasubject,which,accordingtomyplan,isleftfortheconclusionofthiswork。

  Whathasbeenhithertointroducedconcerningtaxation,intreatingofindustry,trade,money,credit,anddebts,relatesprincipallytotheeffectsoftaxesuponcirculation,prices,andseveralotherthingsrelatingtothosesubjects。

  Whatthereforeremains,notasyettouchedupon,chieflyconcernstheprincipleswhichdeterminethenatureofeverytax,relativelytotheinterestitisintendedtoaffect。

  Toinvestigatethedifferentconsequencesoftaxeswhenimposeduponpossessions,andwhenuponconsumption,arequestionswhichrelatedirectlytotheprinciplesoftaxation。

  ButinthisbookIshallalsohaveoccasiontotraceout,fartherthanasyetIhavedone,certaincombinationsconcerningtheeffectswhichtaxeshaveinmultiplyingthefundofcirculation:

  andastheaugmentationoftaxestendsgreatlytoincreasemoney,Iamthenceledtoexamine,howfartheadvantagegainedbythesuppressionoftaxesmaynotbemorethancompensatedtoanation,bytheinconveniencesproceedingfromsogreatadiminutionofcirculation。

  Taxeshaveallalongbeensupposedtoenhancethepriceofliving;weshallthereforehaveanopportunityofinvestigatingtheproperextenttobeallowedtothatgeneralproposition。

  Chap。I

  OfthedifferentKindsofTaxesTaxeshavebeenestablishedinallagesoftheworld,underdifferentnamesoftribute,tithe,tally,impost,duty,gabel,custom,subsidy,excise;andmanyothersneedlesstorecapitulate,andforeigntomysubjecttoexamine。

  Thoughineveryspeciesofthisvoluminousclass,therearecertaincharacteristicdifferences;yetoneprincipleprevailsinall,uponwhichthedefinitionmaybefounded。

  Iunderstandthereforebytax,initsmostgeneralacceptation,acertaincontributionoffruits,service,ormoney,imposedupontheindividualsofastate,bytheactorconsentofthelegislature,inordertodefraytheexpencesofgovernment。

  Thisdefinitionmay,Ithink,include,ingeneral,allkindsofburdenswhichcanpossiblybeimposed。Byfruitsareunderstoodeitherthoseoftheearth,ofanimals,orofmanhimself。Byservice,whatevermancaneitherbylabouroringenuityproduce,whilehehimselfremainsfree。Andundermoneyiscomprehendedtheequivalentgivenforwhatmaybeexactedintheothertwoways。

  Ihavenooccasiontoconsiderthenatureofsuchtaxesasarenotinuseinourdays。Tributesofslavesfromconquerednationsareaslittleknowninourtimes,ascontributionsofsubsistencefromthesubjectsofthestate。

  Idivide,therefore,moderntaxesintothreeclasses。

  1。Thoseuponalienation,whichIcallproportional:2。Thoseuponpossessions,whichIcallcumulativeorarbitrary:and3。

  Thoseexactedinservice,whichIcallpersonal。Thesetermsmustnowbefullyexplained,thatImayusethemhereafterwithoutbeingmisunderstood。

  Aproportionaltaxpresentsasimplenotion。

  Itispaidbythebuyer,whointendstoconsume,atthetimeoftheconsumption,whilethebalanceofwealthisturningagainsthim;andisconsolidatedwiththepriceofthecommodity。

  Examplesofthistaxareallexcises,customs,stamp-duties,postage,coinage,andthelike。

  Bythisdefinition,tworequisitesarenecessaryforfixingthetaxuponanyone:first,hemustbeabuyer;secondly,hemustbeaconsumer。Letthisberetained。

  Acumulativeorarbitrarytax,presentsvariousideasatfirstsight,andcannotwellbedefineduntilthenatureofithasbeenillustratedbyexamples。

  Itmaybeknown,First,Bytheintentionofit;whichistoaffectthepossessorinsuchamanner,astomakeitdifficultforhimtoaugmenthisincome,inproportiontothetaxhepays。

  Secondly,Bytheobject;wheninsteadofbeinglaiduponanydeterminatepieceoflabourorarticleofconsumption,itismadetoaffectpastandnotpresentgains。

  Thirdly,bythecircumstancesunderwhichitislevied;whichimplynotransitionofpropertyfromhandtohand,noranychangeinthebalanceofwealthbetweenindividuals。

  Examplesofcumulativetaxesareland-taxes,poll-taxes,window-taxes,dutiesuponcoachesandservants,thatuponindustrie,inFrance,andmanyothers。

  Apersonaltaxisknownbyitsaffectingtheperson,notthepurseofthosewhoarelaidunderit。

  Examplesofitarethecorv閑,inFrance;thesixdayslabouronthehighroads,andthemilitiaservicebeforepaywasallowedinEngland。1*

  HavingthusexplainedwhatImeanbyproportional,cumulative,andpersonaltaxes,itispropertoobserve,thathoweverdifferenttheymayproveintheireffectsandconsequences,theyallagreeinthis,thattheyoughttoimpairthefruitsandnotthefund;theexpencesofthepersontaxed,notthesavings;theservices,notthepersonsofthosewhodothem。

  Thisholdstrueineverydenominationoftaxes。Informerdays,whenannualtributesofslavesweremade,andevenatpresentamongtheTurks,whereitiscustomarytorecruittheseragliosofgreatmenbysuchcontributions,Iconsidertheyoungwomenwhoaresent,aspartofthefruitsofthepeoplewhosendthem。Thisisafundamentalprincipleintaxation;andthereforepubliccontributions,whichnecessarilyimplyadiminutionofanycapital,cannotproperlyberangedundertheheadoftaxes。ThuswhentheDutchcontributed,notmanyyearsago,thehundredthpartoftheirpropertytowardstheserviceofthestate,Icannotproperlyconsiderthisinthelightofatax:

  itwasindeedamostpublicspiritedcontribution,anddidmorehonourtothatpeople,fromthefidelitywithwhichitwasmade,thananythingofthekindeverboastedofbyamodernsociety。2*

  Chap。II

  OfproportionalTaxes,andtheirproperObjectWhateverexistsfortheuseofman,sofarasitisconsideredasafundfortaxation,maybeclassedunderthefollowingheads:1。Theproduceorfruitsoftheearth;2。theproduceoftheindustryofman;or3。hispersonalservice。

  Farther,Fruitscannotbeobtainedwithoutthenecessarylabourofmanandcattle。Asthislabourpresupposesallthenecessaryconsumptionofmaintenance,&c。theproduceofthelandmustbeunderstood,relativelytotaxes,tobethatpartonlyofthefruitswhichremainsafterdeductinganequivalentforallnecessaryexpencesinmakingtheearthproducethem。Thenetproducealoneoftheearthistobeconsideredasafundliabletotaxation;andeverycontributionwhichbearsnotajustproportiontothisquantity,iswrongimposed,asshallbeshewnaswegoalong。

  Again,astotheproduceofwork:thiscannotbebroughtintoexistencewithoutsomeexpence,viz。themaintenanceoftheworkman;thatistosay,hisfood,raiment,fire,lodging,andtheexpenceheisatfortools,andeveryothernecessary。Thisweshall,forthefuture,callhisphysical-necessary。Thevalueofthework,overandaboveanequivalentforthesearticles,istheonlyfundtobetaxedwithregardtotheworkman。

  Astoworkitself,wehaveseenaboveBookII。chap。26。inthegeneraldistributionofthingswhichmaybepurchasedwithmoney,howitwasrangedundertheclassofthingsincorporeal。

  Forthisreason,theworkperformedcannotcomeundertaxation;

  andthereforethepersonworking,whobyworkacquiresabalanceinhisfavour,isbroughttobeaffectedbyproportionaltaxesuponthearticlesofhisconsumption;andwhenitisfoundthatthesearticlessuffernoalienationbeforetheyareconsumedbyhim,andconsequentlyescapetaxation,thenhemayeitherbelaidunderthecumulativetaxes,whichwillaffecthiswealth,orunderthepersonal,whicharepaidinworkitself,andinthisrespectmaybeconsideredasthefruitoftheman。

  Nothingwouldbesoeasyasageneralruleforimposingproportionaltaxes,didthelabourersofthegroundactuallyconsumeapartofthefruitsoftheearth,andtheotherindustriousclassesapartoftheirownwork,inlieuofthewholeofthisphysical-necessary。Inthiscase,nothingbutwhatremainedoffruitsandwork,notalreadyconsumedbytheimmediateproducers,wouldcometomarketfortheuseofthosewhodonotwork;butwhohaveanequivalenttogiveforit,outoftheproduceofpastindustry。Werethis,Isay,thecase,thenatthetimeofalienationor,asweexpresseditinthe26thchapterofthesecondbook,atthetimewhenthebalanceofwealthisgoingtoturninfavouroftheindustrious,againsttheidleconsumerataxproportionaltothevalueofthealienationmight,withthegreatestpropriety,beimposed,asweshallpresentlydiscover。

  This,Ihope,willrecalltomindtheprinciplesdeducedinthechapterabovecited,wherewemadeitappear,howtheindustriousclasses,whofurnishconsumablecommoditiesforthepriceoftheiroverplus,mustconstantlyhavethebalanceofwealthturningintheirfavour:andwhenoncetheyarriveatacertaindegreeofease,proportionaltotheirambition,thentheygiveoverworking,andbecomeincorporatedintotheclassofthosewhohaveenrichedthem。

  Thusmattersgooninaperpetualcircle。Theindustriousbecomeeasy,andthepubliclaystheconsumersunderaperpetualcontributioninproportiontotheirexpence。

  Thehypothesiswehavemade,isnotentirelyagreeabletomatteroffact;becausetheoperationoftaxesisfarmorecomplexthanwehavedescribedittobe;butbysimplifyingit,asIhavedone,itservestogiveanideaoftheresult,orgeneralconsequenceofproportionaltaxes,which,whenproperlyimposed,doaffecttheidleonly,butnevertheindustrious。

  Were,Isay,theoperationoftaxationassimpleaswehaverepresentedit,nothingwouldbemoreeasythantodeduceitsprinciples。Nothingwouldcometoberefundedtothelabourerorworkman,atthesaleofhissurplus。Thissurpluswouldbeequaltothewholeproduceoftheearth,andwholeindustryofthecountry,deductingthephysical-necessaryofalltheindustrious;

  andthisphysical-necessaryneednotthenbededucted;becauseitissupposedtobeconsumedintheveryproductionofthesurplus,astheaqueouspartofseawaterisconsumedbeforeyoucanhavethesalt。

  Thisillustrateswhathasbeensaid,viz。thatthefruitsoftheearthareonlytobereckonedtoexist,afterdeductingthenecessaryexpenceofprovidingthem。Forthoughinfactafarmerpossessesallhiscropafterharvest,yetpartofit,astohim,isvirtuallyconsumedeitheroutofhisownstock,orthatofothers,whohavefurnishedhimfoodandnecessariesallthetimeitwascomingforward;thispartconsequently,canneitherbelongtotheground,ortothefarmer。

  Ifitbeurgedstill,thatthewholemustbesupposedtoexistwithregardtothestate,Iagreetotheproposition;butaccordingtoourargument,itcannotbesupposedtoexistinfavourofthestate,totheprejudiceofthefarmer;becausethetotalofthefarmer’sexpencemustbeunderstoodtohavebeentakenfromthesurplusofotherpeople’sindustry,andthereforeifthecropbesupposedtoexistwithrespecttothestate,becauseitisinthefarmer’syard,thesurplusofotherpeople’sindustrywhichhehasconsumedmustnotbesupposedtoexistinfavourofthestate,atthesametime。Butasthefarmerissupposedtohavepaidthetaxuponwhathehasborrowedandconsumed,hemustdrawitbackfromthosewho,intheirturn,aretoconsumehiscrop:andifhedrawsitback,hecannotbesaidtopayit,althoughthestateprofitsofitasmuchasifhedid。

  Doesitnotappearfromthisanalysis,thatastatecantakegratuitouslyandproportionallyoutofthesurplusonlyoffruitsandindustry?Nowwhatisherecalledsurplus,relativelytotheindustrious,isthenecessaryfundofconsumptionforalltherichandidle;consequently,werethestatetodiminishanypartofthequantity,theidleandtherichwouldbedeprivedofasufficiency:butinregardthatthosewhodonotworkgivemoney,whichisthepriceofallthings,inexchangeforwhattheyconsume,thestatestepsinatthetimeofthisexchange,andsays,weasknothingofthosewhohavenothingbuttheirphysical-necessary,thistheyhavebeenallowedtotake;wetakenoneoftheirsurplusfromthem,thisweallowthemtoselltoyou:butasforyou,whodonotwork,andhaveinyourcofferswherewithaltopurchasethelaboursofyourindustriousbrethren,thislabouryoushallnotprofitof,unlessyougivethestateacertainvalueoutofyourwealth,inproportiontotheworkandfruityouaregoingtoconsume,althoughyouhavecontributednothingtowardstheproductionofit。

  Henceitappearsevident,thatwithoutmoneytherecouldbenotaximposed:forwerethestatetotaketheirproportionoftherealsurplus,anddisposeofitoutofthecountry,apartoftheinhabitantswouldbestarved。Butbyanequivalent’sbeingfound,quitedifferentfromthesurplusitself,ofnouseforsubsistence,thewholeproduceofindustryisleftfortheuseofthosewhohaveit;thestatetakeswhatpartoftheequivalenttheypleasefromtheidle;andnobodystarves,exceptsuchashaveneithermoney,norindustry,northetalentofexcitingthecompassionofthecharitable。

  Bythissimplerepresentationofamostcomplicatedoperation,Ihavebeenabletodeducethecapitalprincipleofproportionaltaxation。Ifthereasoningbefoundsolid,itmayberetained:becauseweshallhaveoccasiontorecurtoit,atalmosteverynewcombination。

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