第21章
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  Bythisoperation,weseehowthetransportationofthebalancemaybecomethebusinessofthecreditorsofthenation-debtor:whichisacircumstancewehavenotasyetattendedto:afewwordswillexplainit。

  Whenthecreditorsofthenation-debtorselltheirbills,theymustpaytheexchange,ashasbeensaid。Whentheydrawbillstotheorderofafriendintheplacewherethebalanceisowing,theysuperaddtheexchange。Thistheirdebtorspay:butthentheythemselvesmustbeatthetroubleandexpenceofbringinghomethemoney。

  Itisfromthisalternativewhichbothpartieshaveofeithersendingwhattheyowetotheircreditorsinbullion,orofallowingthemtodrawforitattheadditionalexpenceofpayingtheexchange,thatacheckisputtotheextravagantprofitofexchangers:andfromthiscircumstanceariseallthedelicateoperationsofdrawingandremitting。

  Intotheseweshallnotinquire:theprincipleonwhichtheydependappearssufficientlyplain,andthisistheprincipalobjectofourattention。

  Iproceednowtoconsiderhowfarthosereciprocalprofitsandlosses,betweenmerchantsinthesamecountry,affectthetradeofitingeneral。

  Whenthebalanceisfavourable,wehavesaidthattheexporterslosetheexchange,andtheimportersgainit;andbothbeingcitizens,thecountrywouldnotbeconcernedintheirrelativeinterests,wereitnotthattheseinterestsareconnectedwiththatofthecountry,whichreapsgreatbenefitfromthetradeofthosewhodealinexportations,andlossfromtheother。

  If,therefore,exchangebefoundtohurtexportation,whenthebalanceisfavourable,inthisrespectthecountryhasaninterestinbringingitaslowaspossible。Butasitmaybesaid,thatsincethereturnofanunfavourablebalancehurtsinitsturntheinterestsofimportation,andfavoursthatofexportation,exchangetherebyoperatesanationalcompensation:I

  must,inthisplace,addonereJectionmore,inordertodestroythestrengthofthisargument。

  Werethispropositionadmitted,asIamsureitcannot,fromwhatwehavealreadysaid,itwouldaffordnoargumentagainstdoingwhatcanbedone,torenderexchangeaslittlehurtfulaspossibletoexportation,duringthefavourablebalance。Butnextastothequestionitselfofnationalcompensation,Icannotallowthatevenexportersandimportersaretherebybroughtonalevelinpointoftrade:forthisreason,thatsinceitisallowed,thatwhenthebalanceoftradeisfavourable,thepriceofexchangeisalosstothemerchantsexporters;thisexchangeinproportionasitaugments,mustdiscouragemanufacturers,whomusthaveregular,andevengrowingprofits,accordingtotheincreaseofdemand。Thesethemerchantexportercannotafford;

  becausehecannotdrawbackfromhisforeigncorrespondents,anyadvanceuponmanufacturesathome,arisingfromdomesticcircumstances。Butwhenuponanunfavourablebalance,themerchantimporterisaffectedbytheexchangeagainsthim;thisadditionalexpencehecandrawback。becausehesellstothosewhoareaffectedbyalldomesticcircumstances。

  Letusthereforedetermine,thatitistheinterestofastatetodisregardthiscompensationwhichissaidtobegiventoexportationduringawrongbalance,whichdoessomuchharm;andtoavoidthediscouragementgiventoitbyarightbalance,whichdoessomuchgood。Theonlywaytocompasstheseends,istokeepexchangeasneartoparaspossible。

  Couldreciprocaldebtsbealwaysexchangedatpar,andcouldtheexpenceofbringinghome,andsendingabalanceabroad,bedefrayedbythestate,Ithinkitwouldproveagreatadvantagetothetradeofanation。Idonotpretendtosaythat,asmattersstand,thethingispracticable;butasthisisaquestionwhichrelatestomysubject,andseemsbothcuriousandinteresting,Ishallhereexamineit。

  Atfirstsight,thisideawillappearchimerical;andsomereadersmaydespiseittoomuch,tobeatthetroubletoreadwhatmaybesaidforit。Ishallthereforesetoutbyinformingthemthattheschemehasbeentried,inagreatkingdominEurope,underagreatminister:IsayitwasattemptedinFrance,intheyear1726,undertheadministrationofCardinalFleuri,andproduceditseffect;althoughitwassoongivenup,foracircumstancewhich,Ithink,nevercanoccurinGreatBritain。

  AfterthelastgeneralcoinageinFrance,1726,exchangebecamesounfavourabletothatkingdom,astooccasionageneraloutcry。TheCardinal,toputastoptotheclamour,andtosetexchangetorights,ashethought,orderedSamuelBernard,atthattimeamanofgreatcredit,togivebillsonHollandatpar,toallthemerchants;andinordertoenablehimtoplacefundsinAmsterdam,forthepaymentofhisbills,theCardinalsuppliedthisexchangerwithsufficientquantitiesoftheoldcoin,thencrieddown,andpaidfortheexportationofittoHolland。

  Uponthis,exchangeonHollandcametopar;andtheexchangersatParislookedontheoperationwithamazement。Theminister,however,inashorttimediscovered,thatbythishewasundoingwithonehand,whathewantedtoestablishwiththeother。Hethereforestoppedinhiscareer,afterhavingpaid,perhaps,tentimesthebalanceduetoHolland。

  Byunfoldingthecombinationofthisoperation,Ishallbebetterabletocastlightonthequestionbeforeus,thaninanyotherway。

  WhenthegeneralcoinagewasmadeinFrance,bythearretofthemonthofJanuary1726,alltheoldcoinwascrieddown,andorderedtoberecoined。Themintpriceoffinegoldpermarcwasfixedat536livres14sols6deniers;thatofthesilverat37

  livres1sol9deniers。Thesewerethepricesatwhichthemintpaidforbullion,whenofferedtobecoined。ButtheKing,asifhehadarightuponthemetalintheoldcoin,commandedittobedeliveredatthemintatnohigherratethan492livresforthemarcoffinegold,andat34livresforthemarcoffinesilver:

  andtocompelthepossessorsofittobringitin,allexportationandmeltingdownwasmadehighlypenal;theavenuesfromFrancewerebesetwithguardstopreventthegoingout;andthemeltingpotswerestrictlywatched。Uponthis,thepossessorsoftheoldcoin,ratherthansellittothemintatsogreatanundervalue,hadrecoursetoexchangersforbillsuponHollandforit:andthesebeingobligedtosenditthitheratagreatexpenceandrisk,exactedaveryhighexchange,which,consequently,affectedthewholetradeofFrance。

  PoliticianspersuadedtheCardinal,thatexchangehadgotupsohigh,notfromthediscreditcastontheoldcoin,butbecauseofthewrongbalanceoftrade,andofthealterationwhichhadbeenmadeatthattimeuponthedenominationofthenewcoin:andthatassoonasthebalanceagainstFrancewaspaid,exchangewouldreturntopar。UponthistheCardinalsetBernardtowork,buthesoondiscoveredhismistake;andbyarretofthe15thofJunethesameyear,raisedthemintpriceoftheoldcoin,andthenexchangebecamefavourable。

  TheseareallfactsmentionedbyDutot,andyetheneverwillascribetheriseofexchangeinFrancetoanyothercausethantothetamperingwiththedenominationsoftheircoin:anoperationwhichmayrobonesetofpeopleinfavourofanother;butwhichhasverylittleeffectuponexchange,whenothercircumstancesdonotconcur,asinthecasebeforeus。

  NowhadthehighexchangeagainstFrancebeenowingtoawrongbalanceuponhertrade,isitnotevidentthattheCardinal’soperationwouldhavesucceeded,thatalldemandsforbillsatSamuelBernard’sofficewouldhavebeenconfinedtotheexactextentofthisbalance;thatthereciprocaldebtswouldhavebeennegociatedbetweenthemerchantsatpar;and,consequently,thatallexpenceuponexchangewouldhavebeensavedtoindividuals,atthesmallchargetogovernmentoftransportingthebalancepaidbythemerchantsatParis,forSamuelBernard’sbills?

  Wereprosperoustradingstates,thereforeconductedbystatesmen,intelligent,capable,anduninfluencedbymotivesofprivateinterest,theywouldmakeitaruletobeattheexpenceofsendingoff,andbringinghomeallbalances,withoutanychargeforexchangetothetraders;buttheconsequenceofeitherneglect,orincapacityinthepersonatthehelm,wouldthenmakeittoodangeroustoattempt,atonce,sogreatachangeinthepresentmethodofpayingbalances:butInevermakeallowancesforsuchdefectsinministers,whileIamdeducingtheprincipleswhichoughttodirecttheconductofastatesman。

  Ishallnextslightlypointoutthebadconsequenceswhich,uponanunfavourablestateofcommerce,mightresultfromsuchaplan:andwithoutrecommendinganythingtopractice,leavethereadertojudgeoftheexpediency。

  Wesee,thatbyastatesman’sgivingbillsatpar,onalloccasions,andbeinghimselfattheexpenceoftransportationandinsurance,inbringinghomeandsendingoffallbalances,exchangewouldofitselfcometopar。

  Thefirstconsequenceofthiswouldbe,thetotalannihilationoftheexchangebusiness;andif,afterthis,anyinterruptionshouldhappenbyneglectinthestatesman,trademightsufferconsiderably。

  Anotherconsequenceis,thatthemostdestructivetradewouldgoforwardwithoutacheck,aslongasmerchantscouldpaytheparofthebillstheydemandeduponforeignparts:andthistheywouldconstantlybeenabledtodo,whiletherewasneithercoinorpaperincirculation,ashasbeenexplainedintreatingbanksofcirculationuponmortgage。

  Theconsequenceofthisagainwouldbe,toobligethestatetopledgetherevenueofthecountrytostrangers,inproportiontothebalanceowing,overandabovetheextentofthemetalstodischargeit。

  Nowthequestionis,andthisIshallleavetothesagacityofmyreadertodetermine,whether,asmattersstand,therebeanycheckproceedingfromhighexchangewhichcanpreventthebadconsequencesheresetforth。Isuspectthereisnone。Weseethemostenormoussumslentbynationstonations;raisingtheexchangeagainstthelenders;turningitinfavouroftheborrowers,butneverpreventingtheloanfromgoingforward。DoesnotGreatBritain,aswellasFrance,oweamazingsumstoothernations,attheexpenceofpayingtheinterestoutoftheirrevenue?Andhavenotallthesesumsbeentransactedbyexchangers,whohavemadegreatfortunesbytheoperation?Arenotthemostunfavourablebalancespaidintheordinarymethod?

  Aretherenot,already,instrumentsinthehandsofallnations,sufficientfortheirundoing?Howthencantheirruinbeacceleratedbythisalterationinthemodeonlyofperformingthesamething?

  Butletitbeobserved,thatourbusiness,inthischapter,istosearchformethodstoadvancetheprosperityofflourishingnations,whohaveabalanceowingtothem;andherewehavebeensettingforththebadconsequenceswhichresultfromthem,tootherswhoareindecay。Everyargument,therefore,drawnagainstthisscheme,infavouroftheidleorprodigal,isanargumentinfavourofit,withrespecttotheindustriousandfrugal。Asallnationsareliabletoalternatevicissitudesofprosperityandadversity,theprinciplesherelaiddown,requiretobecarefullycombinedwithdomesticcircumstances,beforetheybeappliedtopractice。

  Itwaswithaviewtothisdistinction,that,inthetitleofthischapter,Ipointedoutthequestionthereproposed,asbeingrelativetothestateofitinaprosperoustradingnation;andI

  amnotquiteclearhowfaritmightnotbeadvantageousineverycase:butthisquestionIshallnothereenlargeupon。Whathasbeensaid,will,Ihope,besufficienttopointouttheprinciplesuponwhichthedecisiondepends;andifanystatesmaninclinetotrytheconsequencesofitnowandthen,byanexperiment,nothingissoeasyastodoit,withoutanydetriment。ThisisprovedfromtheoperationperformedbytheFrenchcardinal,ontheoccasionofaveryunfavourableandhighexchange。

  Chap。V

  How,whenotherExpedientsproveineffectualforthedischargingofBalances,thesamemaybepaidbytheMeansofCredit,withouttheInterventionofCoinorBullion;andwhoarethosewhooughttoconductthatOperationWehavenowappliedtheprinciplesformerlylaiddown,towardsdiscoveringthemostproperexpedientsforremovingorpalliatingthethreeinconveniencestobestruggledwithinregulatingexchange。First,Howtoestimatethevalueofabalancedue:Secondly,Howtopayitwiththecoinorbullionofthecountry:andlastly,Howtopreventthepriceofexchangefromaffectinganythingmorethanthebalancetobepaid,afterallreciprocaldebtshavebeencompensated。

  Itremainstoinquire,whatarethemostpropermethodstoacquitwhatanationmayowe,afterithasdoneallitcantopaythevalueoftheirbalanceintheotherway。

  Atfirstsight,itmustappearevidentthattheonlymethodhereistogivesecurity,andpayinterestforwhatcannotbepaidinanyothervalue。Thisintheendisconstantlywhatisdonebyeverynation;butastheordinarymethodsofbringingitabout,areveryperplexed,andareattendedwithexpenceswhichraiseexchangetoagreatheight,andtherebyproveaprodigiousdiscouragementtotradeingeneral:itwouldbenosmalladvantage,couldallthislossonexchangebethrownequallyuponeveryclasswithinthestate,insteadofbeingthrownentirelyuponitscommerce。

  Asthisistheexpedienttobeproposed,itwillnotbeamisstoobserve,thatforeignbalancesarisechieflyuponfourarticles。First,Thegreatimportationandconsumptionofforeignproductions。Secondly,Thepaymentofdebtsandinterestduetoforeigners。Thirdly,Thelendingmoneytoothernations。And,Fourthly,Thegreatexpenceofthestate,orofindividuals,abroad。

  Couldallthebadconsequencesarisingfromthesefourcauses,andthehighexchangeoccasionedbythem,becastuponthatinterestalonewhichoccasionsthem,Ishouldnotproposetolaythewholebodyofthenationundercontributionforrepairingtheloss。

  Butiffromthenatureofthething,asmattersstand,thewholebefoundtofallupontrade,withoutapossibilityofpreventingit;inthiscase,Ithinkitwouldbebetterforthenation,incumulo,tolenditsassistance,andtosharetheburden,thantoallowittofalluponthatpartofthebodypoliticfromwhichthewholedrawsitsvigourandprosperity。

  Itcannotbedenied,thatwhenaheavybalanceisduebyanation,ithastheeffectofraisingexchangeuponeverydraughtorremittance。Whenbillsaredemandedtopayaforeignclaim,itcannotbedeterminedfromwhichofthefourarticles,justnowmentioned,theclaimhasarisen。Whetherfornationalpurposesornot,theexchangeisthesame,andequallyaffectsthewholeinterestoftrade。

  Ifthisbeafairstateofthecase,Ithinkwemaydeterminethatsuchbalancesoughttobepaidbytheassistanceandinterventionofastatesman’sadministration。

  Theobjectisnotsogreatasatfirstsight,itmayappear。

  Wedonotproposethatthevalueofthisbalanceshouldbeadvancedbythestate:bynomeans。Theywhoowethebalancemustthen,asatpresent,findavalueforthebillstheydemand。

  NeitherwouldIproposesuchaplanforanynationwhohad,upontheaverageoftheirtrade,abalanceagainstthem;butif,onthewhole,thebalancebefavourable,Iwouldnot,forthesakeofsavingalittletroubleandexpence,sufferthealternatevibrationsofexchangetodisturbtheuniformityofprofits,whichuniformitytendssomuchtoencourageeverybranchofcommerce。

  Wehaveabundantlyexplainedthefataleffectofawrongbalancetobankswhichcirculatepaper;andwehaveshewnhownecessaryitisthattheyshouldperformwhatwehererecommend,tobedonebythestateitself。Thereisthereforenothingnewinthisproposal:itismerelycarryingtheconsequencesofthesameprincipleonestepfarther,andmakingitabranchofpolicy,forgovernmenttobeassistingtotradeinthepaymentofbalances,wherecreditabroadisrequired;andwehaveproposedthatthisassistanceshouldbegivenoutofthepublicmoney。

  Thegreatest,andindeed,Ithink,theonlyobjectiontothisscheme,is,thatbyittheconditionofourforeigncreditors,willbebettered,fornovaluereceivedfromthem。ThisIallowwillbethecasewhenthebalanceisagainstEngland:butitwillbecompensatedtothecreditorsbythelosstheywillsustainwhenthebalanceisinherfavour。Butsupposingthereshouldbeabenefittoforeigncreditors,willnotthiscircumstanceraisetheconfidenceofalltheworldintheEnglishfunds?If,uponaproposaltogovernmenttolowertherateofmoneybyrefundingthedebtswhichbearahigherinterestthanwhatmoneycanbeprocuredfor,thecontinentshouldpourherwealthintooursubscription,mightwenotthenmorereadilyexpectasupplyfromthatquarter?Besides,isnotalltheinterestduetoforeigncreditorspaidinbankpaper?Isnotthisdemandableincoin,andwillnotthiscoinbeexported,ifcreditbenotfound?WerethebankofEnglandtokeepasubscriptionopen,atalltimes,inAmsterdam,formoneytobeborrowedthere,onthepaymentoftheinterestinthatcity,whodoubtsbutloansmightbeprocuredatmuchlessexpencethanatpresent,whenwearebeatingaboutforcrediteverywhere,untilbythereturnofafavourablebalanceuponthetradeofEngland,sheshallbeenabledtofillupthevoid。

  Ifeelmyowninsufficiencytounfoldthemanyintricacieswhichsuchanoperationmustimply。Ithereforeshallnotattemptwhat,atanyrate,Imustleaveimperfect。Whathasbeensaid,togetherwithwhathasbeenthrownoutonthesamesubject,intreatingofothermatters,issufficienttogiveahint,concerningtheexpediencyoftheplaningeneral。Andastotheobjectionwhicharisesfromthepaymentstothepubliccreditorsabroad,IshallreservethemoreamplediscussionofittillI

  cometoconsiderthedoctrineofpubliccredit。

  PartIV

  OfPublicCreditChap。I

  Theprincipleswhichinfluencethedoctrineofpubliccreditarsofew,andsoplain,thatitissurprisingtoseehowcircumstancesshouldpossiblyinvolvethemintheobscurityintowhichwefindthemplungedonmanyoccasions。

  Forthebetterclearingthewaytowardsthemainobject,I

  shallshewfromexperience,andfromtheprogressofpubliccreditinsomenations,thatthetrueprincipleshavebeenoverlooked,andsoconfoundedwithextraneousobjects,astobeentirelylost。

  Thetruemethodofdecyphering,asitwere,thecomplicatedoperationsofstatesmenwithrespecttothisbranchofpolitics,istobringbacktotheirnativesimplicitysuchplansofadministration,as,fromtheinfiniteperplexityofthem,makepeoplebelieve,thattheprincipleswhichinfluencethisdistrictofthescienceliesoinvolved,astorequireapeculiarforceofgeniuseventocomprehendthem。

  Byproceedinginthisplaintrack,andbykeepingprinciplesconstantlyinview,themostperplexedsystemsofborrowing,funding,stock-jobbing,coiningandre-coiningofmoney,changingtheweight,fineness,anddenominationsofspecie,circulatingpaperinconjunctionwithit,imposinguponmankindwithbubblesandbankruptcies,andcallingthemoperationsofpubliccredit,mayberenderedintelligibletothemostslendercapacity。

  Manyofthesetopicshavebeenalreadyexplained,anddismissed。Thiswillenableustocontracttheplanofwhatremainsinproportiontotheobjectsitistocomprehend。

  Publiccreditwehavedefinedtobe,theconfidencereposedinastate,orbodypolitic,borrowingmoney,onconditionthatthecapitalshallnotbedemandable,butthatacertainproportionalpartofthesumshallbeannuallypaid,eitherinlieuofinterest,orinextinctionofpartofthecapital;forthesecurityofwhichpayment,apermanentannualfundisappropriated,withaliberty,however,tothestatetofreeitself,byrepayingthewhole,whennothingtothecontraryisstipulated。

  InthisdefinitionIhaveputinanalternative,ofpayingaperpetualinterestforthemoneyborrowed,orofpayingannuallyasumexceedingtheinterest;whichexcessisintendedtoextinguishthecapitalinacertainnumberofyears。Inbothcases,theannualpaymentiscalledanannuity。Whenitisexactlyequaltotheinterestagreedon,itiscalledperpetual;

  anddeterminate,whenitisgrantedeitherforlife,orforacertainnumberofyears。

  Thesolidityofthissecurityisessentialtotheborrowinguponthecheapestterms:letmesupposeittobeassolidasland-property,andaspermanentasgovernmentitself:whatwilltheconsequencebe?

  Ifwesupposegovernmenttogoonincreasing,everyyear,thesumoftheirdebtsuponperpetualannuities,andappropriating,inproportion,everybranchofrevenueforthepaymentofthem;

  theconsequencewillbe,inthefirstplace,totransfer,infavourofthecreditors,thewholeincomeofthestate,ofwhichgovernmentwillretaintheadministration。Thefartherconsequencesofthisrevolutionwillfurnishmatterforachapterbyitself。

  Iftheborrowingsofastatebeinproportiononlytotheextinctionoftheoldcapitals,orofwhatIhavecalleddeterminateannuities,thenthedebtswillnotincrease。

  Whenastatesman,therefore,establishesasystemofpubliccredit,thefirstobjectwhichshouldfixhisattentionistocalculatehowfartheconstitutionofthestate,anditsinternalcircumstances,renderitexpedienttothrowtherevenueofitintothehandsofamoneyedinterest。Isay,thisisthemostimportantobjectofhisdeliberation;becausethesolidityofhiscreditdependsuponit。

  If,alltheinterestsofthestatedulyconsidered,thatoftradebefoundtopredominate;lessinconveniencewillbefoundinallowingthemoneyedinteresttoswell:butinmonarchies,wherethelandedinterestiscommonly,andoughttobethemostpowerful,itwouldbedangeroustoerectsoformidablearivaltoit。Inpoliticalbodieseveryseparateinterestwillconsultitsown;andinthecontestbetweenthosewhowillbemadetopay,andthosewhoaretoreceivethetaxes,underthedenominationofcreditors,thesecurityofpubliccreditwillbecomeprecarious。

  Fromthiswemayconclude,First,Thatingovernmentswheretheswellingofamoneyedinterestisfoundtothreatenthetranquillityofthestate,careshouldbetakeneithertoestablishasinkingfund,forpayingoff,intimesofpeace,whatmayhavebeenborrowedintimesofwar,ortheplanofborrowingupondeterminateannuitiesmustbeestablished。

  Secondly,Ifnaturalcaresbelefttoworktheirowneffects,withoutasystematicalplanofborrowing,theconsequencewillbeabankruptcyandatotalfailureofpubliccredit,atleastforsometime。

  Thirdly,Ifastateshouldfindthemassoftheirdebtstoamounttosogreatasumastobeinsupportable,theymighthaverecoursetoatotal,orpartialabolitionofthembyanactofpower。

  Fourthly,Iftheyallowtheirdebtstoswellwithoutlimitation,andadheretothefaithoftheirengagements,thewholepropertyofthestatewillbeinconstantcirculation,fromoneclassofmentoanother。

  Fifthly,Ifthedebtscontractedbethepropertyofforeigners,thesewilleitherremoveintothecountry,wheretheirfundsarise,ortheproperty,thatis,thedominiumutileofthecountry,willbetransferredfromthenatives。

  Theseandmanyothercombinationswillarisefromtheextensionofpubliccredit;andanexaminationintothemostnaturalconsequencesuponeverysupposition,willbethebestwaytoacquireadistinctideaofthesubjectingeneral。Topretendtoforetellanyonecertainchainofconsequences,whichmay,infact,resultfromanyparticularcase,is,Iapprehend,impossible;becauseeveryoneofthemwilldependuponcircumstancestotallyunknown。Theseconsequences,inourwayofexaminingmattersofthiskind,arealltobefoundedUpOnsupposition。Tosupplytherefore,insomemeasure,thisdefect,I

  shallfirsthaverecoursetoexamplesofwhathashappenedinthehithertoinfantstateofpubliccredit;andastocaseswhichhavenotasyettakenplace,wemusthaverecoursetoingenuity,andendeavourtoformthemostrationalcombinationswecan。

  Chap。II

  OftheriseandProgressofPublicCreditWhilethepolicyofStatesdirectedthemtoformtreasures,therewasnooccasionforpubliccredit。ThispolicyprevaileduntiltheriseoftheRomanempire。Thenallthetreasuresoftheworldwereplundered,andthenationswereinslaved。Onthisrevolution,theexigenciesofthatgreatempireweresuppliedfromtheannualtributespaidbyconquerednations。Undergoodreigns,thisannualsupplyswelledthepublictreasure,untilaprodigalEmperorsquandereditaway;andtooktorapineandextortion,tofillupthevoid。

  UponthetotaldissolutionoftheRomanempire,Europewasoverrunbybarbarousnations,who,withaslittleindustryasever,supportedtheirpowerbythemilitaryservicesofthewholepeople。

  Aftertheestablishmentofthefeudalkingdomsunderthechiefswhofirstlaidthefoundationofthem,arosetheBarons,orprincipalvassals,who,inimitationoftheirchief,erectedsmallprincipalities,whichbydegreesgrewindependent。

  Thisdistributionofpowerintomanyhandshadtheeffectofdestroyingallsystematicplansofgovernment。Princeswereobligedtoactaccordingtotheperpetualfluctuationofcircumstances。until,byarevolutionintheirfavour,thepowerofthevassalswasswallowedup,andconfinedwithinthelimitsofamoreregularauthority。

  InproportionasthisrevolutiontookplaceamongthenationsofEurope,thesystemoftheirgovernmentresumedamorepermanentform。Justicewasadministeredwithmoreuniformity;

  andfromthisinsensiblyaroseabodyoflaws,which,insomecountries,werecalledcustoms:inothers,asinEngland,commonlaw。Warsthenbecamelessfrequent;andthemilitaryservicesnotbeingnecessaryonalloccasions,insensiblybecameconvertedintotaxes,proportionedtotheexigenciesofthetime。

  Duringthisperiod,thecoinandpreciousmetalsofEuropewereinagreatmeasure,lodged,inprivatecoffers。Ifwarsbroughtthemforthforashorttime,theysoonfoundtheirwaybackagain。Princesweregenerallypoor;becausetheyweregenerallyextravagant,andspentmoneyasfastastheygotit。Inproportionasindustryandalienationincreased,thecoincameabroad;theinhabitantsbecameeasyintheircircumstances;thestateflourished,andacquiredreputation。Therichesandpowerofastatebeganthentobeestimated,astheyoughttobe,notbytheirtreasureslockedup,butbywhatwasfoundincirculation;thatis,bytheirindustry。Venice,Genoa,andtheHanstowns,settheexample。TheJews,banishedfromFrance,onaccountoftheirextortionsinthetimeoftheholywars,fled,asitissaid,intoLombardy,andthereinventedtheuseofbillsofexchange,fordrawingtheirrichesfromthosecountriestowhichtheydurstnotresortinordertobringthemoff。Interestformoneybegantobeconsideredaslawfulinmanycases:

  merchantswereprotectedbyPrinces,forthesakeoftheconsequencesoftradeandindustry:andfromsuchsmallbeginningshasthismightyengineofpubliccreditsprung。

  WhilePrincesmortgagedtheirlandsandprincipalities,inordertoobtainasumofmoney,theyactedupontheprinciplesofprivatecredit。Thiswasthecaseinthemoreearlytimes,beforegovernmentacquiredthatsoliditywhichisnecessarytoestablishafirmconfidence。Inproportionasitdrewtowardaregularsystem,thedawnofcreditputonappearancesanalogoustothesolidityofthefunduponwhichitwasestablished。

  Thesecondstepwastoraisemoneyuponabranchoftaxesassignedtothelender,forthereimbursementofhiscapitalandinterest。Weshallshewtheconsequencesofthisplanofcreditfromsomeexamples,whichwillfullypointoutallitsinconveniences。

  Thisplanofadministrationwasattendedwithsomuchabuse,andsomuchoppression,thatstatesmenbegantodespairofcarryingonpublicaffairsbysuchexpedients;andthereforeconcludedthattheonlywaytoobtainmoneyattheleastexpence,wastoraiseitonthesubjectwithintheyear,oruponwhattheycalledshortfunds。

  Atlengthpubliccreditassumeditspresentform。Moneywasborrowedupondeterminateorperpetualannuities:afundwasprovidedforthispurpose:andtherefundingofthecapitalwas,inmanycases,leftintheoptionofgovernment,butneverintheoptionofthecreditor。

  Thisisashortviewoftheprogressofpubliccredit。Theprinciplesuponwhichitisbuiltaresofew,thatwereItoconfinemyselftoabaredeductionofthem,littleneworinterestingcouldbesaid。Ishallthereforesteeranothercourse:Ishallcollectthesentimentsofsomeeminentpoliticians,whohaveeitherwrittenupon,oractedintheadministrationofthisbranchofgovernment;andbyapplyingprinciplesaswegoalong,Ishallbeenabledtopointouttheextraneouscircumstanceswhicharesoapttoinvolvethissubjectinobscurity。Hadwenotbeforeoureyesthenumberlessexamplesofthiskind,itwouldhardlybepossibletoconceivehowsogreatconfusion,andsomanycalamities,couldhavefollowedupontheoperationsofpubliccredit。

  Chap。III

  OfAnticipations,orborrowingMoneyuponAssignmentstoTaxesfortheDischargeofPrincipalandInterest;andoftheSentimentsofDrDavenantonthisSubjectIhavealreadyobserved,thatbythecessationoftheconstantwars,inwhichallEuropewasengagedduringthefeudalgovernmentofthebarons,nationsbegantoenjoysomesortoftranquillity。Uponthisthemilitaryservicesbecameinsensiblyconvertedintotaxes:andasPrincesextendedtheirjurisdictionsoverthecities,whichhadbeenformerlymoreimmediatelyundertheprotectionofthebishopswhoresidedinthem,taxeswereaugmented。Theseimpositionswereveryinconsiderable,withrespecttowhattheybroughtintotheKing’scoffers。Thepolicyinraisingthemwasbad;thefraudsincollectingthemweregreat。

  TheseconsiderationsengagedPrincestobeginbycontractingdebts,withaview,afterwardstopaythembytemporaryassignmentstothetaxesimposed。

  Fromthisagainensuedthemostterribleextortionsonthesideofthetax-gatherers,sooftencomplainedofbythosewhohavewrittenconcerningtheaffairsofFrance,asweshallseeinthefollowingchapter。

  Philiplebel,KingofFrance,wasthefirstwho,in1301,admitted,withgreatpolicy,theinhabitantsofcitiestohaveaseatinthestatesofthekingdom。Heformedthemintoadistinctbody,andcalledthemtiersetat,orthethirdstate,aftertheclergyandthenobility。Hisviewwastofacilitatetherebythejurisdictionhewantedtoestablishoverthosecities,andtoengagethemtoconsenttotheimpositionoftaxesforcarryingonhiswarsinFlanders,andforopposingtheambitiousviewsofBonifaceVIII。Accordingly,thepeoplebegantopaywillingly,whenoncetheyfoundthattheyhadavoteinwhatconcernedthem。

  Itakeitforgranted,thateverytax,aboutthattime,wasimposedforaparticularpurpose,andassignedeithertocreditors,ortopeoplewhoadvancedmoneyuponit:becausewearetoldthatthefirstimpositiongrantedbythestatestoaKingofFranceasapermanentbranchofrevenue,wasanexciseuponspirituousliquorsgrantedtoPhilipdeValois,intheyear1345;atwhichtime,however,accordingtoMrd’Eon’sMemoirespourserviral’HistoiregeneraledesFinances,therewerenotlessthantwentytwodifferenttaxesknowninFrance,whichheenumeratesasfollows:

  Tailles,complaintes,charges,redevances,coutumes,peages,travers,passages,centiemes,cinquantiemes,魌es,chevauch閑s,subventions,exactions,chevaleries,aides,mariages,toultes,impositions,prisons,servitudes,andnouvellettes。

  Thatalltheseimpositionsmusthavebeenmeretrifles,I

  gatherfromacircumstanceinthePoliticalHistoryofFrance,mentionedbytheauthorjustcited,whichbeingitselfexceedinglycuriousandtendinggreatlytoconfirmmanythingswhichIhaveadvancedconcerningthesmallcirculationinformertimes,Ishallherebrieflyrelateit。

  In1356,John,KingofFrance,appliedtotheStatesfor50,000livres,about9165l。sterling,topayhisarmy。TheStates,besidesseveralothertaxesimposedtopaythissum,grantedhim8deniersonthelivre,or31/3percentuponallmeat,drink,andmerchandise,soldinFrancewithintheyear;

  thatistosay,uponthewholealienationsofFrance。Thetax,waslevied,butfellfarshortofthesumrequired,andthedeficiencywasmadeupbyapoll-tax。

  CananyexamplebebettercalculatedforforminganotionofthecirculationofFranceatthattime?

  Itmaybehereallegedthatthepricesofeverythingwerethensoverylow,thatnojudgmentcanbeformedconcerningthequantityofalienationfromthesmallnessofthesum。Thisobjectionisofnoforce,asIshallpresentlyshew。

  WeknowfromtherecordsofthesellingpriceofgraininFrance,whichwasthenremarkablycheapinproportiontotheyearswhichfollowedandwhichhadpreceded,thatin1356,theseptierofwheat,ornearly4Winchesterbushels,soldfor17

  sols8deniersofthethencurrency,whichwas12livrestothemarcfinesilver,andaFrenchsoldier’sallowanceforbreadtothisday,is3septiers,ornearly12Winchesterbushelsayear。

  Nowletmesuppose,thatthewhole50,000livreshadbeenraisedbythisimpositionof31/3percentor1/30ofthetotalvalueofthesinglearticleofcornsoldatmarket,whichwasfarfrombeingthecase,andthencomparethiswiththenumberofmenwhocouldhavebeensubsistedwithallthecornsoldinFranceatthattime。

  If1/30ofthepricewerethetax,thenbymultiplying50,000

  livresby30,wehavethevalueofthecornsold;towit,1,500,000livres:dividethissumbythevalueofwhatamanconsumesinayear,towit,3septiersat17sols8deniers,whichmake2livres13sols,andthequotientwillbethenumberofportionsforaman,towit,566,037。Since,therefore,the50,000livrescouldnotberaisedinconsequenceofthetax,itfollows,thatthewholealienationofFrance,atthattime,fellfarbelowthevalueofasmuchwheataswouldhavefed566,037

  men。

  WhatapoorideadoesthiscommunicateofthestateofEuropesolatelyas400yearsago!Itwouldbeinvaintoseekforexamplestoillustrateanyprincipleofourcomplicatedmodernoeconomyinthehistoriesofthosetimes:theirtaxes,theircredit,andtheirdebts,resembledoursinnothingbutthename。

  Ishallnowcomenearerhome,andgiveanaccountoftheideasofpubliccreditformedbyDavenant,whoflourishedaboutthetimeoftherevolutionin1688,whichImaytaketobetheaeraofpubliccreditinEngland。

  Nopersonatthattime,whosewritingsIhaveseen,appearstohavesothoroughlyunderstoodthesemattersasDavenant。Hewasamanoftheory,aswellasknowledgeoffacts:hehadanopportunitywhich,andhefewpeoplehave,tobewellinstructedintheoneandtheother;turnedhistalentstothebestadvantageforpromotingtheinterestofhiscountry。Hehaswrittenmanytractsonpoliticalsubjects,which,whencarefullyreadandcomparedwithwhatexperiencehassincetaughtus,castgreatlightuponmanyquestionsrelativetothesubjectofthisinquiry。

  Davenant,likeothergreatmenofhistime,wasofopinionthatborrowingmoneyuponwhathecallsshortfunds,wasmuchpreferabletothatuponperpetualinterest;andhethoughtthemostadviseableplanofall,coulditbeaccomplished,wastoraisethemoneywantedwithintheyear。

  Men,atthattime,hadaterroruponthemincontractingdebtsforthepublic:theyconsideredthenationastheywouldaprivateman,whoseinterestisone,uncompounded,andrelativetohimselfalone:inthislight,creditorsappearedasformidableasenemies;theywerelookeduponbyministersassuch;andthisgeneralopinionononeside,contributed,nodoubt,tomakethemoniedpeoplelessinterestedinthedistressofgovernment,andmorereadytolayholdofeveryopportunityofimprovingsuchoccasions,fortheirownadvantage。

  Governmentwasinconstantwarwithcreditors:whenreadymoneyfailedinEngland,ithadnothingtopaywithbutexchequertallies,uponthetaxesimposed。theseweremuchmoreeasilyissuedthanacquitted。Whenthefirstyear’samountofataxwasengaged,peopleconsideredthesecurityforwhatwastofollowasveryprecarious;consequently,thevalueofitdiminished。

  Thismethod,however,succeededfarbetterinpayingoffdebtsalreadycontracted,thanincontractingnewones;andthehardshipsputuponthosewhohadalreadyadvancedmoneytogovernment,andwhowerepaidbyassignmentsupontaxespreviouslyengaged,madepeopleverydiffidentafterwards,exceptuponpropersecurity。ThelimitedformoftheEnglishgovernment,preventedtheviolentproceedingsofministers,withrespecttothepubliccreditors,whichwerecommoninFrance;andthiscircumstancecontributed,nodoubt,toestablishthecreditoftheformeruponthebetterfooting。Butstillthelongexpectationofpaymentforthecapitalandinterest,uponadistantfund,madeDavenantacknowledgethat700,000l。inreadymoneywouldatanytimegofartherthanamillionintallies;andyethethoughtitwasbetterforthestatetoborrowthemillionuponaplanofdischargingthedebtinthreeorfouryears,thantoobtainthe700,000l。attheexpenceofaperpetualinterestof8percent。

  ThereweremanymoreconsiderationswhichmovedDavenanttopreferwhathecallsshortfundstoperpetualinterest。

  Itwasthegeneralopinioninhistimenothisownindeed,forheendeavouredtoshewthefallacyofitthatmoneyborrowedupontheanticipationofafund,raisedandappropriatedforthedischargeofit,wasnotadebtuponthestate;becauseitdidnotdiminishtheformerrevenue。Wehavearemarkableinstanceoftheprevalenceofthisopinion,inthefamousmemorialpresentedbyM。DesmaretztoPhilipDukeofOrleans,afterthedeathofthelateKingofFrance;whereinheadvanced,thatduringsevencampaigns,from1708tothepeaceofRastad,whilehehadbeenattheheadoftheKing’sfinances,hehadnotincreasedthepublicdebtsbymorethanninemillionsoflivrescapital:andyetwhenhecameintotheadministration,in1708,theKing’sdebtsdidnotamountto700millions;andwehaveseen,thatatthetimeofhisdeath,theywereupwardsof2000millions。ButDesmaretzdidnotreckonthedifference,whichwasnolessthan1300millionsasanydebtatall;becausehehadsettledituponfundsofhisowncreation。Thiswassomuchthelanguageofthetimes,thatnocriticismwasmadeuponit。

  Itisremarkable,thatDavenant,ingivinganaccountofthedebtsofEngland,duringtheperiodofwhichhewrites,thatis,fromtherevolutiondowntothepeaceofRyswick,hardlyevertakesnoticeofthesumspaidforinterestuponthem。Themindsofmenatthattimeweretotallytakenupwiththepaymentofcapitals;andprovidedthesecouldbedischargedinafewyears,itwasnomatter,theythought,whattheycostinthemeantime。

  Aslongasnationsatwarobservethesamepolicyintheirmethodsofraisingmoney,thewaysinwhichtheyproceedareofthelessimportance:butwhenanyonestatemakesanalteration,bywhichmoremoneyisthrownintotheirhandsthantheycouldformerlyobtain;thiscircumstanceobligeseveryotherstatetoadoptthesamemethod。ThuswhilePrincesmadewarwiththeamountoftheirtreasuresandannualincome,thebalanceoftheirpowerdependedonthebalanceofsuchresources:whentheyanticipatedtheirincomeonbothsides,forafewyears,thebalancewasinproportionstill:when,afterwards,theyadoptedlongfundsandperpetualinterest,thesuppliesincreased;butstillthebalancewasdeterminedasformerly。

  Theusefulness,therefore,ofaninquiryintotheprinciplesofpubliccredit,hasnotsomuchforitsobjecttodiscovertheinterestofstatesinadoptingonemodeofcreditpreferablytoanother,astodiscovertheconsequencesofeveryoneinparticular;andtopointoutthemethodsformakingthemseverallyturnouttothebestaccountnotonlyforthestate,consideredasabodypoliticbyitself,butalsofortheindividualswhichcomposeit。

  Whensomanydifferentrelationsaretakenin,thesubjectbecomesmuchmorecomplex,andthereforetheconsequenceswhichcanbeguessedonlyatmustbelessdeterminate:butontheotherhand,itopensthemind,andsuggestsmanyhintswhichwithtimemaybeimprovedforthegoodofsociety。

  Peoplewhobarelyrelatepoliticalfacts,affordonlyanexcercisetothememory:thosewhodeduceprinciples,andtraceachainofreasoningfromthem,giveexercisetotheunderstanding;

  andasasmallsparkmayraiseamightyflame,soahintthrownoutbyaslendergeniusmaysetallthegreatmenofanationonaplanofgeneralreformationandimprovement。

  LetusnowtakeaviewofthestateofpubliccreditinEngland,atthepeaceofRyswick;inordertoshewhowDavenantcametobesogreatanenemytolongfunds,andmoreespeciallytoperpetualinterest。Weshallatthesametimepointoutfromwhatcausesproceedsthegreatchangeofsentimentsatpresent。

  AtthepeaceofRyswick,thedebtsofEngland,accordingtoDavenant,inhisfifthdiscourseuponthepublicrevenuesandtradeofEngland,stoodat17,552,544l。sterling;callit17

  millionsandahalf,aswehavenooccasiontocalculatewithexactness。

  Ofthisdebtthecapitalof31/2millionswassunk,ashecallsit;because1,300,000l。wasonlivesat14percentandwhatwasovertomakeupthe31/2millions,wasintendedtoremainaperpetualburthenonthenation。

  Forpayingtheinterestofthissum,nolessthan400,000l。

  ayearwasnecessary,whichmakesonthewholeabove11percent。

  Butthenitmustbeobserved,thatmorethanonethirdofthesumwasuponlivesat14percent:thedebtduetothebank,ofwhichwehavespokeninanotherplace,was1,200,000l。forwhichwaspaid100,000l。ayear,including4000l。allowedforthechargeofmanagement:theremainingmillionwasuponlotterytickets,bearingabout8percentthepriceatwhichthebankhadlent。

  Thesecondbranchofdebtswasnear11millions,which,hesays,wereincourseofpayment;becausetheyweresecureduponbranchesofrevenueengagedfordischargingthem。Apartofthisclassofdebtswastobeextinguishedintheyear1700:andwheneverthiswasdone,thenaproportionoftheappropriatedtaxes,amountingyearlytoaboveamillionsterling,wasimmediatelytobetakenoff。

  Thethirdclassofdebtswerethosenotprovidedforatall;

  whichintheplacereferredto,hemakestoamounttonomorethan3,200,000l。butheafterwardsfindshismistake,andthattheyinfactamountedtoabove5millionsandahalf,whichmakesthedebtsofEnglandatthepeaceofRyswick,tohavebeennear20millions。

  Wasitthenanywonder,thatamanwhowishedwelltohiscountry,shouldpreferborrowinguponshortfundsatanyexpencewhateverinthemeantime,ratherthanatperpetualinterest,whenhefoundthatparliamentscouldnotbeprevailedupontoallowanytaxtosubsistoneinstantafterthedischargeofthedebtsforthepaymentofwhichithadbeenappropriated?

  Besides,therewasverylittletobegainedbyborrowinguponlongfundsandperpetualinterest,aslongasthelendersconsideredtheiradvantagetoconsistprincipallyingettingtheircapitalsrefunded。

  Theplainmatteroffactwas,thattradeatthattimewasonlybeginningtotakerootinEngland,anddemandedfundstocarryiton。Theuseofbanksforturningpropertyintomoney,hadnotthenbeendiscovered。Circulation,consequently,wasconfinedtothecoin;andprofitsontradewereverygreat。Allthesecircumstancesrenderedcapitalsofessentialuse;andtheconsequencewas,toraiseinteresttoanexcessiveheight。

  Comparethissituationwiththepresent。Werethecapitalof140millionssterlingthrownbyGreatBritain,inafewyears,intothehandsofthepresentcreditors;wereFrance,ontheotherhand,tothrowinasmuch,whattradecouldabsorbit?

  Capitalsnowareofvalue,inproportiononlytotheinteresttheybring;andsolongastheinterestpaidonpublicdebtsissufficienttokeepcirculationfull,andnomore,interestwillstandasitis:whenthisceasestobethecase,asintimeofwar,weseeinterestbeginstorise;andwhen,ontheotherhand,theinterestpaid,provesmorethansufficientfortheusesofcirculation,asuponareturnofpeace,then,fromthesameprinciples,interestmustdiminish。

  Davenant,likeanablepolitician,whohadthestateoffactsbeforehim,reasonedaccordingtoactualcircumstances。Whateverwasborrowedonlongfunds,waschargedonthestandingrevenueofthestate,whichparliamentwasveryunwillingtoincreaseinproportiontothechargeslaiduponit。This,ofitself,wasargumentsufficientwithhimtocasthisviewuponshortappropriations,oruponhisfavouriteobject,ofraisingmoneywithintheyear,tosupplytheexigenciesofthestate。

  Butinthisoperationhefoundgreatdifficulties。Inhistreatiseofwaysandmeans,articleexcises,whereheissearchingforexpedientstoprovidemoneyforthewar,heplainlyshewsathoroughknowledgeofthisimposition。IthadtakenplaceinEnglandasfarbackasthegreatcivilwar,andformedattherevolutionabout1/3ofalltherevenue:butwhatisveryextraordinary,andwhichatpresentwillhardlybecredited,theexcisehadatthattimetheeffectofsinkingthepriceofthesubjectexcised,insteadofraisingthepriceofwhatwasproducedfromit。Thustheexciseuponmalt,aftertherevolution,hadtheeffectofloweringthepriceofbarley,insteadofraisingthepriceofbeer。

  ThiseffectofexcisesDavenantsaw;fromwhichhe,andsincehim,manymorehaveconcluded,thatallexcisesfallultimatelyupontheland。

  Thiscircumstance,togetherwithafeelingfortheinterestofthegreatnumberofidlepooratthattime,whomustconstantlysufferbyexcises,engagedDavenanttoproposehavingrecoursetotheland-propertyandpoll-taxes,forraising,withintheyear,thesumsrequiredforcarryingonthewar。

  Accordingtohisproposal,therewastobenolessthan3

  millionsraisedbyalandtax,besideshalfamillionbyaquarterlypoll,whichmadetogether,above100,000l。morethanallthepermanenttaxesofEnglandputtogether。

  AproposalofthiskindcomingfromDavenant,shewsthedifferenceofsituationbetweenthosetimesandthepresent。Onthissubjectmoreistobelearnedbycomparingfacts,thanbyallthereasoningintheworld。

  WehaveseenhowcreditstoodinEnglandduringthereignofWilliamIII。Itwastheninitsinfancy,andwassetupontheprinciplesofafreeandlimitedauthority,exercisedbyministersofstate,atalltimesresponsibletoparliamentattheriskoftheirheads,incaseofanyopenviolationofthepublicfaith。Thisisthebestofallsecuritiesagainstthebadexerciseofpower。

  WhoeverreadstheadmirablewritingsofDavenant,andcompareshisideaswithwhatexperiencehassincetaughtus,concerningthenatureoftaxesandpubliccredit,willplainlydiscoverthatthegreatdistressofEnglandatthattime,proceededfromthefollowingcauses。

  Thewartheywereengagedin,wasfarbeyondtheirpowertoSUppOrt,althoughtheyhadthegreatestpartofEuropetoassistthem。

  ThebraveryoftheBritishnationwasillsupportedwithmoney,thesinewsofwar。

  Thecoinsoonaftertherevolutionfellintothegreatestdisorder,whichsentitaway;noexpedientwasfoundtosupplyitsplacefortheusesofdomesticcirculation;and,consequently,thefixedrevenuecouldnotbepaid,norindustrycarriedon。

  Thepeoplewereunaccustomedtotaxes,tunnageandpoundage,thebranchwithwhichtheywerebestacquainted,andwhichtheyborewiththeleastmurmuring,becauseitwaslittlefeltbyindividuals,togetherwiththeexciseuponbeerandale,thehearthmoney,theposthouse,andwine-licences,composedthewholeofthepermanentrevenueofthestate,andamountedtoaboutonemillionandahalfsterling:besideswhich,theparliamenthadgrantednewcustomsalltoceasebefore1690totheamountofabouthalfamillionmore,uponwines,tobacco,sugar,andFrenchlinnen。Thiswasthestateoftherevenueattherevolution。

  OnewouldimaginethatEngland,undersosmallaburthen,mighthavebeenabletomakethegreatestefforts。

  WerewenowtograpplewithFrance,undersuchcircumstances,whatsanguinehopesshouldwenotformofsuccess!Thecaseturnedoutwidelydifferent:thefirstbenefitthenationexpectedinconsequenceoftheirlibertyrestored,wasanabolitionofthehearthmoney;ataxwhichraisedoverthewholekingdom,245,000l。Thiswasconsideredasaninsupportableburthen。

  SuchsentimentsanddispositionsintheEnglishnation,mighthavebeenasufficientindicationofwhatwastobeexpectedfromthewar;theconsequencesofwhichhad,before1695,producedthefollowingchangesintherevenue。

  Thetunnageandpoundage,whichattherevolutionproduced600,000l。wasbythistimereducedto286,687l。

  Theexciseuponbeerandale,from666,383l。wasreducedto391,275l。

  Thehearthmoneywasabolished。

  Thepost-house,from65,000l。wasreducedto63,517l。

  Thewine-licences,from10,000l。to5000l。

  Thetemporarycustomswhichsubsistedattherevolution,werenowexpired,andhadbeeneithercontinuedbynewgrants,orbyothersofthesamenatureintroducedintheirstead。Theformerhadproduced415,472l。thenewproduced373,839l。

  Thelastandmostimportantgrantofall,wasanadditionalexciseuponbeerandale,whichproduced450,000l。

  Therevenueattherevolutionproduced,clearofallcharges,2,001,855l。sterling。Arevenueestablishedatprettymuchthesamerate,andnearlyonthesameobjects,withanadditionofanewexcise,whichproduced450,000l。producednetin1694,nomorethan1,570,318l。sothat,deductingthenewexcise,theoldrevenuewasdiminishedinitsproduce,nolessthan1,081,527l。

  oraboveonehalf,infiveyearstime。

  InacountrylikeEngland,atthattime,taxeswereoflittleusetothestate,andwereanexcessiveburthenonthepeople。

  Whatcouldtheybepaidoutof?Notoutofthevalueinthehandsofthepeople;becausetherewasnowayprovidedforturningthisvalueintomoney。Thewholeofthemoneycoinedbeforetheendofthewarin1697,didnotamountto81/2

  millions。Itwasnottobeexpectedthatduringthewar,foreigncoinwastocomein,exceptinconsequenceofborrowing;andwemaybeverycertain,thatallthatwasborrowed,andagreatpartofwhathadbeencoinedathome,hadgoneoutfromtheyear1695

  to1697。underthesecircumstances,theexchequerissuedtalliesofwood,anotablyexpedientforfacilitatingcirculation!AndthebankofEnglandlentnotonefarthinguponmortgage。allthatwaspossibletoberaisedonthelandandonthepeople,bypound-rate,assessment,andpoll-tax,wasimposed。

  Nowletusrecallourprinciplesconcerningcirculation,alienation,andbankinguponmortgage,andcombinethesewithwhatwehavesofrequentlyrepeated,andIthinkdemonstrated,viz。thatinproportiontotheextentofalienation,andthedemandsformoney,acirculatingequivalentshouldbeprovided,soastobereadyatthehandofeverypersonwhohaspropertytopledgeforit;andthendecidewhetheritwasanywonderthatcreditinEnglandshouldhavebeenatsolowanebbatthepeaceofRyswick;thattaxesshouldhavediminishedintheirproduce;

  thatinterestshouldhaverisentosuchanextravagantheight;

  thatthepeopleshouldhavegroanedunderaloadfromwhichtheycouldnotrelievethemselves。

  Undersuchcircumstances,Englandappearstomeinthelightofadumbmanputtothetortureinordertoextortaconfession。

  Wereeightorninemillionssterlingincoin,andafewwoodensticks,thetallies,constantlysoldatagreatdiscount,acirculatingvaluesufficienttosupplytheexigenciesofastatewhichwasspendingannuallyattherateoffiveorsixmillions?

  Theconsequenceofthistotaldrainofmoney,was,thatpeoplecouldneitherconsumeexciseablecommodities,orpaythetaxeslaidupontheirpersonsandsolidproperty。

  Theexcisesfailed,becausethebodyofthepeople,whopaidthem,wereinterruptedintheirindustry,forwantofmoneytocarryonalienation。Thosewhowereliabletothearbitraryimpositions,suchasthelandlords,couldnotpay;becausewhattheyhad,theirland,couldnotbegiveninpayment。

  FromwhatIhaveherelaidtogether,wemaydetermine,thatasalienationsamongindividualscannotexceedtheproportionofthecirculatingequivalentofacountry,soastatesmanwhenheintendssuddenlytoaugmentthetaxesofhispeople,withoutinterruptingtheirindustry,whichthenbecomesstillmorenecessarythanever,shouldaugmentthecirculatingequivalentinproportiontotheadditionaldemandforit。

  This,accordingtomynotions,cannotbesowellcompassedas,1。byestablishingbanksofcirculationuponmortgage:2。byrelievingthosecompaniesoftheloadofpayingforeignbalancesbygivingbillsatpar,oratasmallexchange:and3。byprovidingfundsabroadforthepaymentofthem,accordingtotheprinciplesabovededuced。

  Suchexpedientswillworktheireffect,inanationwherethepublicfaithstandsuponthesolidsecurityofanhonestparliament,anduponthatresponsibilitywhichisfixeduponthosewhoaretrustedwiththeexertionsoftheroyalauthority。

  IthinkImayillustratethisoperationbyasimile。

  Agentlemanchoosestoformacascadeofthewaterwhichservestoturnhiscorn-mill;consequently,themillstops;butinitsstead,heimmediatelyerectsanotherwhichturnswiththewind。Coinisthewater,bankpaperisthewind,andbothareequallywellcalculatedfortheusetheyareputto。

  Chap。V

  OfthePresentStateofPublicCreditinGreatBritainWehave,inapreceedingchapter,givenageneralviewofthestateofpubliccreditinEngland,attheendofthelastcentury。Inthis,Ishallbrieflyrunthroughthemostremarkablerevolutions,bothinsentimentsandevents,whichhavesucceededsincethattime。

  AttherevolutiontherevenueofEnglandwasabouttwomillionsterling,affectedbytwodebts。Thefirstwascalledthebankersdebt,contractedbyCharlesIIand,byletterspatent,chargeduponhishereditaryexcise,totheamountofupwardsof1,300,000l。Thisdebtwasarbitrarilyreducedtoonehalf,inthelastyearsofKingWilliam,andputat6percentperpetualannuity,tocommencenosoonerthan1706。Theotherwasadebtof60,000l。duetothatPrince’sservants,neglectedtobepaidbyhissuccessor,anddischargedaftertherevolution。

  AtthepeaceofRyswick,thenationaldebtamountedtoabout20millions。Thebranchesoftaxessubsistingattherevolution,andcontinuedtillthen,producednomorethanabout800,000l。;

  butbyadditionaltaxeslaidoninthereignofKingWilliam,thewholerevenueextendedto3,355,499l。ofwhichaboveonemillionwastoceasebefore1700,ashasbeensaid。Thisreducedtherevenue,atthebeginningofQueenAnne’sreign,tonearlywhatithadbeenattherevolution:outofwhichifwededucttheinterestofthenationaldebtthensubsisting,andtheexpenceofthecivillist,weshalldiscovertheextentofthefundspreparedforengaginginthewarwithFrance;andthenbycomparingthestateofthenationatheraccession,withwhatitwasatherdeath,weshallformageneralnotionoftheprogressofcreditatthatperiod。

  TherevenueofEnglandattheaccessionofQueenAnnemaybestatedatabout——2,272,000

  Thedebtssubsistingonthe31stofDecember1701,were——6,748,780

  Uponwhichtheannualinterestwas——566,165

  QueenAnne’scivillist——600,000

  Whichtwosumsamountingto——1,166,165

  Beingdeductedfromtherevenue,therewillremainforthecurrentserviceofthestate——1,105,835

  WhattheexactamountoftherevenueofEnglandwasatthedeathoftheQueen,Icannotjustlysay。Butasitmaybecomprehendedunderthethreegeneralbranchesofcustoms,excises,andotherinlandduties,wemayformaguessatit,thoughimperfectly,Iallow,fromthenumberofarticlesineach。

  Atheraccession,thecustomscomprehendedfifteenarticles;

  atherdeath,theyamountedtothirty-seven:atheraccession,theexcisescomprehendedtenarticles;atherdeath,theyamountedtotwenty-seven:atheraccession,theotherinlanddutiescomprehendedeightarticles;atherdeath,theyamountedtosixteen,includingthelandtax,thenbecomeinamannerperpetual,althoughlaidonfromyeartoyear。

  Atheraccession,thepublicdebtsamountedasabovetonearsevenmillions,atherdeaththeyexceededfiftymillions。

  Infourteenyears,fromtherevolutiontoheraccession,themoneygrantedbyparliament,partlyraisedonthesubject,andpartlyborrowed,ortakencreditfor,accordingtothecustomofthetimes,amountedtoabovefifty-fivemillions。Duringthe13

  yearsofQueenAnne,themoneygrantedbyparliamentraisedonthesubject,orborrowedasabove,amountedtoupwardsof80

  millions。

  BythisgeneralsketchIdonotmeantoenterintoexactdetails:factsmustbesoughtforinbookswhichtreatoffacts:

  ourchiefobjectistoexaminetheprinciplesuponwhichthepubliccreditwassupported,lettheexactsumofmoneyraisedbewhatitwill。

  TheexpencesoftheFrenchwarfirstengagedthenationtorevivethosetaxeswhichhadbeensuppressed;andtoimposemanyothersforaconsiderablenumberofyears,inproportiontothemoneyborroweduponthem,accordingtotheprinciplesoftheformerreign。

  In1702,interestwassolow,thatgovernmentgotmoneyat5

  percent。Itcontinuedsotill1704,whensomeloansbegantobemadeat6percentandatthisrateitstoodduringthewar。

  Butin1706,theexigenciesofgovernmentwerefargreaterthanwhatallthemoneytobeborrowed,orraisedonthesubject,couldsupply。Thisopenedadoortotheabuseofpayingthegrowingdeficienciesuponthetaxeswithexchequerbills,chargeableondistantfunds。Thesefellconstantlytogreatdiscount;andtheunhappyservantsofthestate,whoreceivedtheminpayment,wereobligedtodisposeofthemtopeoplewhocouldwaitforanusuriousreimbursementbyparliament。

  Whentheseexchequerbillshadoncegotintothehandsofthemoniedpeople,theyhadinterestwithgovernmenttoengagethebanktocirculatethemat6percentinterest:butasthefundsuponwhichtheyweresecuredhappenedatthattime,1706,tobeengagedfordischargingdebtspreviouslycontracted,thebank,duringthatinterval,couldreceivenopaymentofthisinterestof6percentsotheexpedientfallenupon,wastopaythebankcompoundinterestforallthetalliesandbillstheyweretodiscount,untilthefundsappropriatedshouldberelieved。

  Thisexpedient,badasitwas,andburdensometothestateinthehighestdegree,provedofinfiniteservice,bothinestablishingthecreditofexchequerbills,andrelievingthosewhoreceivedpaymentinthem。

  Thisoperationwasquitesimilartothoseofbanksofcirculationuponmortgage。ThebankofEnglandwashereemployedinconvertingintomoneyexchequerbills,secureduponthefaithofgovernment。Banksuponmortgageconvertintomoneythepropertyofindividualsuponprivatesecurity。Had,therefore,banksuponmortgagebeenestablishedinEnglandatthistime,allthosewhohadpropertywouldhavegotcreditsfromthem,andwouldhavebeenenabledtherebytopaytheirtaxes,andcarryontheirindustry,withoutdiminishingtheirconsumption。Theexchequerwouldthenhavehadnooccasiontoissuediscreditedbillsandtalliesformakingupdeficiencies;becausetaxeswouldhavebeenproductive,andthestatewouldhavebeenrelievedofthisexcessiveburdenofinterestat6percentaccumulatedquarterlyinfavourofthebank。

  Whatextraordinaryprofitmusthaveaccruedtothebankbythisoperation,everyonemustperceive。Theywerenothereprocuringfundstolendatagreatexpence;alltheydidwastoaugmentthequantityoftheirpaperupongovernmentsecurity;

  whichtheyknewwellwouldremaincurrentinthecommoncircleofpaymentswithinthecountry;andthepublicborrowingsweresufficienttofurnishcreditforthesumssentoutofthecountry。Inthisviewwemayconclude,thatalmostthewholeaccumulatedinterestpaid,becameapureprofittothebank,aswellasagreataugmentationofthenationaldebt。

  Thisoperationofthebankin1706,didnotpreventsubsequentdeficiencies,inthepaymentofthenavy,army,ordnance,andofmanyotherarticles。In1710,theyamountedtoaboveninemillionssterling。Thiswastoogreatasumtobeborrowed;andthebankdurstnotventuretodiscountmorethanwhatdomesticcirculationcouldsupport:sothatafterthisgreatdebthadcirculateduponthediscreditedobligationswhichhadbeenissuedforit,andinthiswayhadfallenagainintothehandsofmoniedpeople,at30and40percentbelowpar,thenewproprietorsofitwereallincorporatedintoonegreatcompany,withagovernoranddirectors,whogot6percentforthewholecapital,withanallowanceof8000l。ayearforchargesofmanagement。

  Thusalltheoriginalcreditorsforthesedeficiencieslostthediscount;themoniedpeoplegainedit,andthepublicpaidforall。

  Whencreditisinthislanguidstate,everyexpenceofgovernmentmustriseinproportiontothediscreditofthepaperwithwhichtheypay,tillatlastthewholesum,withinterest,accumulation,andexpence,fallsuponthestate,asifeveryfarthingofithadbeenfrugallyexpendedinreadymoney。

  ThisisageneralviewofthestateofcreditinQueenAnne’sreign。

  Governmenthadnot,asintheformerwar,theinconveniencesflowingfromthedisorderinthecointocombatwith。Thesecontributedmorethananyothercircumstance,toraisethecapitalofthedebtsatthepeaceofRyswick。Circulation,too,wasconsiderablyaugmented,inconsequenceoftheincreaseoftaxes,publicdebts,andtheoperationofthebankincirculatingexchequerbillsandtallies。Yetmoneywasstillscarce,incomparisonofwhatitnighthavebeen,hadpropermethodsbeencontrivedtopreserveituponalevelwiththeoccasionsforit。

  Theincorporation,also,ofninemillionscapitalinthehandsofacorporation,whichafterwardswascalledtheSouthSeaCompany,wasanassistancetopubliccredit,byincreasingamoniedinterest,theprincipalviewofwhichwastofillthegovernmentloans,onthelucrativeconditionsofferedforthem。

  Andlastofall,thestrictlyadheringtothepublicfaithofengagements,withoutseeking,byactsofpower,toindemnifythestateforthelossesithadbeenobligedtoincur,fromthecircumstancesofthetimes,laidthesolidbasisofnationalcreditforthefuture。

  Althoughthemanytaxesaddedtotheformerrevenue,didnotincreaseitinanyproportiontotheloadlaiduponthesubjectduringthiswar,theyserved,however,asagoodfoundationforimprovement,assoonastheeffectsofpeacerestoredthemtotheirfullproduction。Butthesecuritiesaffectingthesetaxeshavingbecomeeveryyeargreater,governmentwasobligedtoengagecertainfundsforthirty-twoyearstocome,andsometimeslonger;andmanybranchesoftaxes,whichformerlyhadbeengrantedforshortterms,werethenmadeperpetual。AfterthepeaceofUtrecht,theexpencesofthestateweregreatlydiminished,andmoneybegantoregorge:sothatintheyear1716,thefirstfoundationofthesinkingfundwaslaid,byopeningasubscriptionforpayingoffabouttenorelevenmillionssterling,atthattime,chargeduponseveralbranchesoftaxes,theproduceofwhichamountedannuallyto724,849l。sterling。

  Theproprietorsofthesedebtswereallowedtosubscribeintothisnewfund,ataninterestof5percentredeemablebyparliament:andincasethewholesubscriptionshouldnotfillatthatrate,thebankandSouthSeacompanybecameboundtomakeitup,uponreceivingalikeannuityinproportiontotheirsubscriptions。

  Thebankers’debt,ofwhichwehavespoken,theonlypublicdebtowingattherevolution,madepartofthosewhichweretobesubscribedfor。

  Thetaxeswhichhadbeenappropriatedforthedischargeofthosecapitals,fromtemporary,weremadeperpetual;withaclauseadded,thatwhenthesurplusofthefund,afterpaymentoftheinterest,haddischargedthecapitalsofallthenationaldebtduethe25thofDecemberinthatyear,thewholeproduceofthefunditselfshouldremainatthedisposalofparliament。

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