第5章
加入书架 A- A+
点击下载App,搜索"The High Price of Bullion",免费读到尾

  Thiswouldbetrueatatimewhenthecurrencyconsistedwhollyofpapernotconvertibleintospecie,butnotwhilespecieformedanypartofthecirculation。Inthelattercasetheeffectofanincreasedissueofpaperwouldbetothrowoutofcirculationanequalamountofspecie;butthiscouldnotbedonewithoutaddingtothequantityofbullioninthemarket,andtherebyloweringitsvalue,orinotherwords,increasingthebullionpriceofcommodities。Itisonlyinconsequenceofthisfallinthevalueofthemetalliccurrency,andofbullion,thatthetemptationtoexportthemarises;andthepenaltiesonmeltingthecoinisthesolecauseofasmalldifferencebetweenthevalueofthecoinandofbullion,orasmallexcessofthemarketabovethemintprice。Butexportingofbullionissynonymouswithanunfavourablebalanceoftrade。Fromwhatevercauseanexportationofbullion,inexchangeforcommodities,mayproceed,itiscalled(Ithinkveryincorrectly)anunfavourablebalanceoftrade。

  Whenthecirculationconsistswhollyofpaper,anyincreaseinitsquantitywillraisethemoneypriceofbullionwithoutloweringitsvalue,inthesamemanner,andinthesameproportion,asitwillraisethepricesofothercommodities,andforthesamereasonwilllowertheforeignexchanges;butthiswillonlybeanominal,notarealfall,andwillnotoccasiontheexportationofbullion,becausetherealvalueofbullionwillnotbediminished,astherewillbenoincreasetothequantityinthemarket。

  4。Strictlyspeaking,therecanbenopermanentmeasureofvalue。

  Ameasureofvalueshoulditselfbeinvariable;butthisisnotthecasewitheithergoldorsilver,theybeingsubjecttofluctuationsaswellasothercommodities。Experiencehasindeedtaughtus,thatthoughthevariationsinthevalueofgoldorsilvermaybeconsiderable,onacomparisonofdistantperiods,yetforshortspacesoftimetheirvalueistolerablyfixed。Itisthisproperty,amongtheirotherexcellencies,whichfitsthembetterthananyothercommodityfortheusesofmoney。Eithergoldorsilvermaytherefore,inthepointofviewinwhichweareconsideringthem,becalledameasureofvalue。

  5。Whenthegoldcoinwasdebased,previouslytothere-coinagein1774,goldandsilverbullionroseabovetheirmintprices,andfellimmediatelyonthegoldcoinattainingitspresentperfection。Theexchangeswere,owingtothesamecauses,frombeingunfavourablerenderedfavourable。

  6。Anexcessinthemarketabovethemintpriceofgoldorsilverbullion,may,whilstthecoinsofbothmetalsarelegaltender,andthereisnoprohibitionagainstthecoinageofeithermetal,becausedbyavariationintherelativevalueofthosemetals;

  butanexcessofthemarketabovethemintpriceproddingfromthiscausewillbeatonceperceivedbyitsaffectingonlythepriceofoneofthemetals。Thusgoldwouldbeatorbelow,whilesilverwasabove,itsmintprice,orsilveratorbelowitsmintprice,whilstgoldwasabove。

  Inthelatterendof1795,whentheBankhadconsiderablymorenotesincirculationthaneithertheprecedingorthesubsequentyear,whentheirembarrassmentshadalreadycommenced,whentheyappeartohaveresignedallprudenceinthemanagementoftheirconcerns,andtohaveconstitutedMrPittsoledirector,thepriceofgoldbulliondidforashorttimeriseto4l。3s。

  or4l。4s。peroz。;butthedirectorswerenotwithouttheirfearsfortheconsequences。InaremonstrancesentbythemtoMrPitt,datedOctober1795,afterstating,\"thatthedemandforgoldnotappearinglikelysoontocease,\"and\"thatithadexcitedgreatapprehensioninthecourtofdirectors,\"theyobserve,\"Thepresentpriceofgoldbeing4l。3s。to4l。4s。

  [Itisdifficulttodetermineonwhatauthoritythedirectorsmadethisassertion,asbyareturnlatelymadetoparliamentitappearsthatduringtheyear1795theydidnotpurchasegoldbullionatapricehigherthan3l。17s。6d。]perounce,andourguineasbeingtobepurchasedat3l。17s。101/2d。,clearlydemonstratesthegroundsofourfears;itbeingonlynecessarytostatethosefactstotheChancelloroftheExchequer\"ItisremarkablethatnopriceofgoldabovethemintpriceisquotedduringthewholeyearinWetenhall\'slist。InDecemberitistheremarked3l。17s。6d。

  7。TherelativevalueofgoldandsilverisontheContinentnearlythesameasinLondon。

  8。ItmustbemeantthateveryguineaintheBankwouldleavethecountry,thetemptationoffifteenpercentisamplysufficienttosendthoseoutwhichcanbecollectedfromthecirculation。

  9。Theymight,onsomeoccasion,displaceBankofEnglandnotes,butthatconsiderationdoesnotaffectthequestionwhichwearenotdiscussing。

  10。Inthefollowingobservations,Iwishittobeunderstood,assupposingalwaysthesamedegreeofconfidenceandcredittoexist。

  11。IhavealreadyallowedthattheBank,asfarastheyenableustoturnourcoininto\"materials,provisions,etc。\"haveproducedanationalbenefit,astheyhavetherebyincreasedthequantityofproductivecapital;butIamherespeakingofanexcessoftheirnotes,ofthatquantitywhichaddstoourcirculationwithouteffectinganycorrespondingexportationofcoin,andwhich,therefore,degradesthenotesbelowthevalueofthebullioncontainedinthecoinwhichtheyrepresent。

  12。Atthatperiodthepriceofgoldkeptsteadilyunderitsmintprice。

  APPENDIX

  Thepublichavingcalledforaneweditionofthispamphlet,IavailmyselfoftheoccasiontoconsidertheobservationswhichtheEdinburghReviewers,inthelastnumberoftheirpublication,havedonemethehonourtomakeonsomeofthepassagescontainedinit。Iaminducedtodothisfromtheconvictionthatdiscussiononeverypointconnectedwiththisimportantsubjectwillhastentheremedyagainsttheexistingabuse,andwilltendtosecureusagainsttheriskofitsrecurrenceinfuture。

  Inthearticleonthedepreciationofmoney,theReviewersobserve,\"ThegreatfaultofMrRicardo\'sperformanceisthepartialviewwhichhetakesofthecauseswhichoperateuponthecourseofexchange。Heattibutes,\"theysay,\"afavourableoranunfavourableexchangeexclusivelytoaredundantordeficientcurrency,andoverlooksthevaryingdesiresandwantsofdifferentsocieties,asanoriginalcauseofatemporaryexcessofimportsaboveexports,orexportsaboveimports。\"TheythencommentonthepassageinwhichIhavemaintained,thatabadharvestwillnotoccasiontheexportofmoney,unlessmoneyisrelativelycheapintheexportingcountry,andconcludetheirobservationsbygivingitastheirdecidedopinion,thattheexportationofmoneyinthesupposedcaseofabadharvest,\"isnotoccasionedbyitscheapness。Itisnot,asMr。Ricardoendeavourstopersuadeus,thecauseoftheunfavourablebalance,insteadoftheeffect。Itisnotmerelyasalutaryremedyforaredundantcurrency:butitisowingpreciselytothecausementionedbyMrThornton-theunwillingnessofthecreditornationtoreceiveagreatadditionalquantityofgoodsnotwantedforimmediateconsumption,withoutbeingbribedtoitbyexcessivecheapness;anditswillingnesstoreceivebullion-thecurrencyofthecommercialworld-withoutanysuchbribe。Itisunquestionablytrue,asstatedbyMrRicardo,thatnonationwillpayadebtinthepreciousmetals,ifitcandoitcheaperbycommodities;butthepricesofcommoditiesareliabletogreatdepressionsfromaglutinthemarket;whereasthepreciousmetals,onaccountoftheirhavingbeenconstitutedbytheuniversalconsentofsociety,thegeneralmediumofexchange,andinstumentofcommerce,willpayadebtofthelargestamountatitsnominalestimation,accordingtothequantityofbullioncontainedintherespectivecurrenciesofthecountiesinquestion,and,whatevervariationsbetweenthequantityofcurrencyandcommoditiesmaybestatedtotakeplacesubsequenttothecommencementofthesetransactions,itcannotbeforamomentdoubtedthatthecauseofthemistobefoundinthewantsanddesiresofoneofthetwonations,andnotinanyoriginalredundancyordeficiencyofcurrencyineitherofthem。\"

  Theyagreewithme,\"thatnonationwillpayadebtinthepreciousmetals,ifitcandoitcheaperbycommodities,butthepricesofcommodities,\"theysay,\"areliabletogreatdepressionsfromaglutinthemarket。\'\"ofcoursetheymustmeanintheforeignmarket,andthenthewordsexpresstheopinionwhichtheyareendeavouringtocontrovert,viz。thatwhengoodscannotbesentoutsoadvantageouslyasmoney,moneywillbeexported,-whichisanotherwayofsayingthatmoneywillneverbeexported,unlessitisrelativelyredundantwithcommodities,ascomparedwithothercounties。Yetimmediatelyaftertheycontend,thattheexportationofthe\"preciousmetalsistheeffectofabalanceoftrade,originatingincauseswhichmayexistwithoutanyrelationwhatevertoredundancyordeficiencyofcurrency。\"Theseopinionsappeartomedirectlycontradictory。

  Ifhoweverthepreciousmetalscanbeexportedfromacountryinexchangeforcommodities,althoughtheyshouldbeasdearintheexportingasintheimportingcountry,whataretheeffectswhichwillfollowfromsuchimprovidentexportation?

  \"Acomparativedeficiencyinonecountry,andredundancyintheother,\"saytheReviewers,p。343。\"andthisstateofthingscouldnotfailtohaveaspeedyeffectinchangingthedirectionofthebalanceofpayments,andinrestoringthatequilibriumofthepreciousmetals,whichhadbeenforatimedisturbedbythenaturallyunequalwantsandnecessitiesofthecountieswhichtadewitheachother。\"NowitwouldhavebeenwelliftheReviewershadtoldusatwhatpointthisre-actionwouldcommence,-asatthefirstviewitappearsthatthesamelawwhichwillpermitmoneytobeexportedfromacountry,whenitisnocheaperthanintheimportingcountry,mayalsoallowittobeexportedwhenitisactuallydearer。Itisself-interestwhichregulatesallthespeculationsoftrade,andwherethatcanbeclearlyandsatisfactorilyascertined,weshouldnotknowwheretostopifweadmittedanyotherruleofaction。Theyshouldhaveexplainedtoustherefore,why,ifthedemandforthecommodityimportedshouldcontinue,thecountryimportingmightnotbeentirelyexhaustedofitscoinandbullion。Whatisundersuchcircumstancestochecktheexportationofthecurrency?TheReviewerssay,because\"acountrywithadiminishedquantityofbullionwouldevidentlysoonbelimitedinitspowersofpayingwiththepreciousmetals。\"Whysoon?Isitnotadmitted\"thatexcessanddeficiencyofcurrencyareonlyrelativeterms;thatthecirculationofacountycanneverbesuperabundant,\"(andthereforecanneverbedeficient,)\"exceptinrelationtoothercountries。\"Doesitnotfollowfromtheseadmissions,thatifthebalanceoftrademaybecomeunfavourabletoacountry,thoughitscurrencybenotrelativelysuperabundant,thatthereisnocheckagainsttheexportationofitscoin,whilstanyamountofmoneyremainsincirculation;asthediminishedsum,(byacquiringanewvalue,)willasreadilyandaseffectuallymaketherequiredpaymentsasthelargersumdidbefore?Asuccessionofbadharvestsmight,onthisprinciple,drinacountryofitsmoney,whatevermightbeitsamount,althoughitconsistedexclusivelyofthepreciousmetals。Theobservationthatitsdiminishedvalueintheimportingcounty,anditsincreasingvalueintheexportingcountry,wouldmakeitrevertagaintotheoldchannel,doesnotanswertheobjection。Whenwillthishappen?andinexchangeforwhatwillitbereturned?Theanswerisobvious-

  forcommodities。Theultimateresultthenofallthisexportationandimportationofmoney,isthatonecountywillhaveimportedonecommodityinexchangeforanother,andthecoinandbullionwillinbothcountrieshavereginedtheirnaturallevel。Isittobecontendedthattheseresultswouldnotbeforeseen,andtheexpenceandtroubleattendingtheseneedlessoperationseffectuallyprevented,inacountrywherecapitalisabundant,whereeverypossibleeconomyintadeispractised,andwherecompetitionispushedtoitsutmostlimits?Isitconceivablethatmoneyshouldbesentabroadforthepurposemerelyofrenderingitdearinthiscountryandcheapinanother,andbysuchmeanstoensureitsreturntous?

  Itisparticularlyworthyofobservationthatsodeep-rootedistheprejudicewhichconsiderscoinandbullionasthingsessentiallydifferinginalltheiroperationsfromothercommodities,thatwritersgreatlyenlighteneduponthegeneraltruthofpoliticaleconomyseldomfail,afterhavingrequestedtheirreaderstoconsidermoneyandbullionmerelyascommoditiessubjectto\"thesamegeneralprincipleofsupplyanddemandwhichareunquestionablythefoundationonwhichthewholesuperstuctureofpoliticaleconomyisbuilt;\"toforgetthisrecommendationthemselves,andtoargueuponthesubjectofmoney,andthelawswhichregulateitsexportandimport,asquitedistinctanddifferentfromthosewhichregulatetheexportandimportofothercommodities。ThustheReviewers,iftheyhadbeenspeakingofcoffeeorofsugar,wouldhavedeniedthepossibilityofthosearticlesbeingexportedfromEnglandtothecontinent,unlesstheyweredearertherethanhere。Itwouldhavebeeninvaintohaveurgedtothem,thatourharvesthadbeenbad,andthatwewereinwantofcorn;theywouldconfidentlyandundeniablyhaveprovedthattowhateverdegreethescarcityofcornmighthaveexisted,itwouldnothavebeenpossibleforEnglandtosend,orforFrance(forexample)tobewillingtoreceive,coffeeorsugarinreturnforcorn,whilstcoffeeorsugarcostmoremoneyinEnglandthaninFrance。What!theywouldhavesaid,doyoubelieveitpossibleforustosendaparcelofcoffeetoFrancetoselltherefor100l。whenthatcoffeecosthere105l-whenbysending100l。ofthe105l。weshouldequallydischargethedebtcontractedfortheimportedcorn?And,Isay,doyoubelieveitpossiblethatweshallagreetosend,orFranceagreetoreceive(ifthetransactionisonheraccount)

  100l。inmoney,when95l。investedincoffeeandexportedwillbeequallyvaluableasthe100l。whenitarrivesinFrance?ButcoffeeisnotwantedinFrance,thereisaglutofit;-allowed,butmoneyiswantedstillless,andtheproofis,thatahundredpoundsworthofcoffeewillsellformorethanahundredpoundsworthofmoney。Theonlyproofwhichwecanpossessoftherelativecheapnessofmoneyintwoplaces,isbycomparingitwithcommodities。Commoditiesmeasurethevalueofmoneyinthesamemannerasmoneymeasuresthevalueofcommodities。IfthencommoditieswillpurchasemoremoneyinEnglandthaninFrance,wemayjustlysaythatmoneyischeaperinEngland,andthatitisexportedtofinditslevel,nottodestroyit。Aftercomparingtherelativevalueofcoffee,sugar,ivory,indigo,andallotherexportablecommoditiesinthetwomarkets,ifIpersistinsendingmoney,whatfurtherproofcanberequiredofmoneybeingactuallythecheapestofallthesecommoditiesintheEnglishmarket,inrelationtotheforeignmarkets,andthereforethemostprofitabletobeexported?WhatfurtherevidenceisnecessaryoftherelativeredundanceandcheapnessofmoneybetweenFranceandEngland,thanthatinFranceitwillpurchasemorecorn,moreindigo,morecoffee,moresugar,moreofeveryexportablecommoditythaninEngland?

  Imay,indeed,betoldthattheReviewer\'ssuppositionisnotthatcoffee,sugar,indigo,ivory,etc。etc。arecheaperthanmoney,butthatthesecommoditiesandmoneyareequallycheapinbothcountries,thatistosay,thatonehundredpoundssentinmoney,orinvestedincoffee,sugar,indigo,ivory,etc。etc。

  willbeofequalvalueinFrance。Ifthevalueofallthesecommoditiesweresonicelypoised,whatwoulddetermineanexportertosendtheoneinpreferencetotheother,inexchangeforcorn;inrelationtowhichtheyareallcheaperinEngland?

  Ifhesendsmoney,andtherebydestroysthenaturallevel,wearetoldbytheReviewersthatmoneywouldonaccountofitsincreasingquantityinFrance,anditsdecreasingquantityinEngland,becomecheaperinFrancethaninEngland,andwouldbere-importedinexchangeforgoodstillthelevelwererestored。

  Butwouldnotthesameeffectstakeplaceifcoffeeoranyoftheothercommoditieswereexported,whilsttheywereequallyvaluableinrelationtomoneyinbothcountries?Wouldnottheequilibriumbetweensupplyanddemandbedestroyed,andwouldnotthediminishedvalueofcoffee,etc。inconsequenceoftheirincreasedquantityinFrance,andtheirincreasedvalueinEngland,fromtheirdiminishedquantity,producetheirre-importationintoEngland?Anyofthesecommoditiesmightbeexportedwithoutproducingmuchinconveniencefromtheirenhancedprice;whereasmoney,whichcirculatesallothercommodities,andtheincreaseordiminutionofwhich,eveninamoderateproportion,raisesorfallspricesinanextravagantdegree,couldnotbeexportedwithoutthemostseriousconsequences。HerethenweseethedefectiveprincipleoftheReviewers。Onmysystem,however,therewouldbenodifficultyindeterminingthemodeinwhich,inacasesoextremelyimprobable,asthatofanequalvalueinbothcountries,forallcommodities,moneyincluded,andcornaloneexcepted,thereturnswouldbemadesoastopreservetherelativeamountandtherelativevalueoftheirrespectivecurrencies。

  IfthecirculatingmediumofEnglandconsistedwhollyofthepreciousmetals,andwereafiftiethpartofthevalueofthecommoditieswhichitcirculated,thewholeamountofmoneywhichwouldunderthecircumstancessupposedbeexportedinexchangeforcorn,wouldbeafiftiethpartofthevalueofsuchcorn:fortherestweshouldexportcommodities,andthuswouldtheproportionbetweenmoneyandcommoditiesbeequallypreservedinbothcountries。England,inconsequenceofabadharvest,wouldcomeunderthecasementionedatpage[53]ofthiswork,ofacountryhavingbeendeprivedofapartofitscommodities,andthereforerequiringadiminishedamountofcirculatingmedium。

  Thecurrencywhichwasbeforeequaltoherpaymentswouldnowbecomesuperabundantandrelativelycheap,intheproportionofonefiftiethpartofherdiminishedproduction;theexportationofthissum,therefore,wouldrestorethevalueofhercurrencytothevalueofthecurrenciesofothercountries。Thusitappearstobesatisfactorilyprovedthatabadharvestoperatesontheexchangeinnootherwaythanbycausingthecurrencywhichwasbeforeatitsjustleveltobecomeredundant,andthusistheprinciplethatanunfavourableexchangemayalwaysbetracedtoarelativelyredundantcurrencymostfullyexemplified。

  Ifwecansupposethatafteranunfavourableharvest,whenEnglandhasoccasionforanunusualimportationofcorn,anothernationispossessedofasuperabundanceofthatarticle,\"buthasnowantsforanycommoditywhatever,\"itwouldunquestionablyfollowthatsuchnationwouldnotexportitscorninexchangeforcommodities:butneitherwoulditexportcornformoney,asthatisacommoditywhichnonationeverwantsabsolutely,butrelatively,asisexpresslyadmittedbytheReviewers。Thecaseis,however,impossible,becauseanationpossessedofeverycommoditynecessaryfortheconsumptionandenjoymentofallitsinhabitantswhohavewherewithaltopurchasethem,willnotletthecornwhichithasoverandabovewhatitcanconsumerotinitsgranaries。Whilstthedesireofaccumulationisnotextinguishedinthebreastofman,hewillbedesiroustorealisetheexcessofhisproductions,abovehisownconsumption,intotheformofcapital。Thishecanonlydobyemploying,himself,orbyloanstoothers,enablingthemtoemploy,anadditionalnumberoflabourers,asitisbylabouronlythatrevenueisrealizedintocapital。Ifhisrevenuebecorn,hewillbedisposedtoexchangeitforfuel,meat,butter,cheese,andothercommoditiesinwhichthewagesoflabourareusuallyexpended,or,whichisthesamething,hewillsellhiscornformoney,paythewagesofhislabourersinmoney,andtherebycreateademandforthosecommoditieswhichmaybeobtainedfromothercountriesinexchangeforthesuperfluouscorn。Thuswillbereproducedtohimarticlesmorevaluable,whichhemayagainemployinthesamemanner,addingtohisownriches,andaugmentingthewealthandresourcesofhiscountry。

点击下载App,搜索"The High Price of Bullion",免费读到尾