AstoFrance,thiseraoftheentirefalloftheSpanishpowerislikewisethatfromwhichwemayreckonthatFrancegrewasformidable,aswehaveseenher,toherneighbors,inpowerandpretensions。HenrytheFourthmeditatedgreatdesigns,andpreparedtoactagreatpartinEuropeintheverybeginningofthisperiod,whenRavaillacstabbedhim。Hisdesignsdiedwithhim,andareratherguessedatthanknown;forsurelythosewhichhishistorianPerefixeandthecompilersofSully’smemorialsascribetohim,ofaChristiancommonwealthdividedintofifteenstates,andofasenatetodecidealldifferences,andtomaintainthisnewconstitutionofEurope,aretoochimericaltohavebeenreallyhis:buthisgeneraldesignofabasingthehouseofAustria,andestablishingthesuperiorpowerinthatofBourbon,wastakenup,abouttwentyyearsafterhisdeath,byRichelieu,andwaspursuedbyhimandbyMazarinwithsomuchabilityandsuccess,thatitwaseffectedentirelybythetreatiesofWestphaliaandbythePyreneantreaty;thatis,attheendofthesecondofthoseperiodsIhavepresumedtoproposetoyourlordship。
Whenthethird,inwhichwenoware,willend,andwhatcircumstanceswillmarktheendofit,Iknownot;butthisIknow,thatthegreateventsandrevolutions,whichhavehappenedinthecourseofit,interestusstillmorenearlythanthoseofthetwoprecedentperiods。Iintendedtohavedrawnupanelenchusorsummaryofthethree,butIdoubted,onfurtherrejection,whethermymemorywouldenablemetodoitwithexactnessenough:andIsawthat,ifIwasabletodoit,thedeductionwouldbeimmeasurablylong。Somethingofthiskind,however,itmaybereasonabletoattempt,inspeakingofthelastperiod:whichmayhereafteroccasionafurthertroubletoyourlordship。
Buttogivesomebreathingtime,Iwillpostponeitatpresent,andaminthemeanwhile,Mylord,yours,&;c。
LETTER7
ASketchoftheStateofHistoryofEurope,FromthePyraneanTreatyinOneThousandSixHundredandFifty-Nine,totheYearOneThousandSixHundredandEighty-EightThefirstobservationIshallmakeonthisthirdperiodofmodernhistoryis,thatastheambitionofCharlestheFifth,whounitedthewholeformidablepowerofAustriainhimself,andtherestlesstemper,thecrueltyandbigotryofPhiliptheSecond,wereprincipallyobjectsoftheattentionandsolicitudeofthecouncilsofEurope,inthefirstoftheseperiods;andastheambitionofFerdinandtheSecond,andtheThird,whoaimedatnothinglessthanextirpatingtheprotestantinterest,andunderthatpretencesubduingthelibertiesofGermany,wereobjectsofthesamekindinthesecond:soanoppositiontothegrowingpowerofFrance,ortospeakmoreproperly,totheexorbitantambitionofthehouseofBourbon,hasbeentheprincipalaffairofEurope,duringthegreatestpartofthepresentperiod。ThedesignofaspiringtouniversalmonarchywasimputedtoCharlestheFifth,assoonashebegantogiveproofsofhisambitionandcapacity。ThesamedesignwasimputedtoLouistheFourteenth,assoonashebegantofeelhisownstrength,andtheweaknessofhisneighbors。Neitheroftheseprincesasinduced,Ibelieve,bytheflatteryofhiscourtiers;ortheapprehensionofhisadversaries,toentertainsochimericaladesignasthiswouldhavebeen,eveninthatfalsesensewhereintheworduniversalissooftenunderstood:andImistakeverymuchifeitherofthemwasofacharacter,orincircumstances,toundertakeit。Bothofthemhadstrongdesirestoraisetheirfamilieshigher,andtoextendtheirdominionsfarther;butneitherofthemhadthatboldandadventurousambitionwhichmakesaconquerorandahero。Theseapprehensions,however,weregivenwisely,andtakenusefully。Theycannotbegivennortakentoosoonwhensuchpowersasthesearise;becausewhensuchpowersasthesearebesiegedasitwereearly,bythecommonpolicyandwatchfulnessoftheirneighbors。eachofthemmayinhisturnofstrengthsallyforth,andgainalittleground;butnoneofthemwillbeabletopushtheirconquestfar;