On the Method of Zadig

第2章

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第2章

On the Method of Zadig Huxley, Thomas H。

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On the Method of Zadig
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  Noonedoubtsthat,onthedayandatthehourmentionedbytheAstronomer—Royal,thepeopleofLydiasawthefaceofthesuntotallyobscured。But,thoughweimplicitlybelievethisretrospectiveprophecy,itisincapableofverification。Inthetotalabsenceofhistoricalrecords,itisimpossibleeventoconceiveanymeansofascertainingdirectlywhethertheeclipseofThaleshappenedornot。Allthatcanbesaidis,thattheprospectivepropheciesoftheastronomerarealwaysverified;

  andthat,inasmuchashisretrospectivepropheciesaretheresultoffollowingbackwards,theverysamemethodasthatwhichinvariablyleadstoverifiedresults,whenitisworkedforwards,thereisasmuchreasonforplacingfullconfidenceintheoneasintheother。Retrospectiveprophecyisthereforealegitimatefunctionofastronomicalscience;andifitislegitimateforonescienceitislegitimateforall;

  thefundamentalaxiomonwhichitrests,theconstancyoftheorderofnature,beingthecommonfoundationofallscientificthought。Indeed,iftherecanbegradesinlegitimacy,certainbranchesofsciencehavetheadvantageoverastronomy,insofarastheirretrospectivepropheciesarenotonlysusceptibleofverification,butaresometimesstrikinglyverified。

  Suchascienceexistsinthatapplicationoftheprinciplesofbiologytotheinterpretationoftheanimalandvegetableremainsimbeddedintherockswhichcomposethesurfaceoftheglobe,whichiscalledPalaeontology。

  Atnoverydistanttime,thequestionwhethertheseso—called\"fossils,\"werereallytheremainsofanimalsandplantswashotlydisputed。Verylearnedpersonsmaintainedthattheywerenothingofthekind,butasortofconcretion,orcrystallisation,whichhadtakenplacewithinthestoneinwhichtheyarefound;andwhichsimulatedtheformsofanimalandvegetablelife,justasfrostonawindow—paneimitatesvegetation。Atthepresentday,itwouldprobablybeimpossibletofindanysaneadvocateofthisopinion;andthefactisrathersurprising,thatamongthepeoplefromwhomthecircle—

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