A Laodicean

第15章

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第15章

A Laodicean Thomas Hardy

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A Laodicean
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  \'Youwantittothrowitaway。Idon\'tapproveofit;socomewithme。\'

  \'But,\'saidDare,\'Iarrivedherewithahundrednapoleonsandmore,expresslytoworkoutmytheoryofchancesandrecurrences,whichissound;Ihavestudiedithundredsoftimesbythehelpofthis。\'Hepartiallydrewfromhispocketthelittlevolumethatwehavebeforeseeninhishands。\'IfIonlypersevereinmysystem,thecertaintythatImustwinisalmostmathematical。Ihavestakedandlosttwohundredandthirty-threetimes。Allowingoutofthatonechanceineverythirty-six,whichistheaverageofzerobeingmarked,andtwohundredandfourtimesforthebackersoftheothernumbers,Ihavethemathematicalexpectationofsixtimesatleast,whichwouldnearlyrecoupme。AndshallI,then,sacrificethatvastfoundationofwastechancesthatIhavelaiddown,andpaidfor,merelyforwantofalittlereadymoney?\'

  \'Youmightpersevereforatwelvemonth,andstillnotgetthebetterofyourreverses。Timetellsinfavourofthebank。

  Justimagineforthesakeofargumentthatallthepeoplewhohaveeverplacedastakeuponacertainnumbertobeonepersonplayingcontinuously。Hasthatimaginarypersonwon?

  Theexistenceofthebankisasufficientanswer。\'

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